THE PARADE BEGINS...

By: whitewabit , 4:08 AM GMT on July 31, 2007

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THE PARADE HAS BEGUN




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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
-------------------------------------------------------

000
ABNT20 KNHC 030903
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT FRI AUG 3 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA IS MOVING RAPIDLY
WESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO BRING CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS TO
JAMAICA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND CENTRAL AMERICA TODAY AND
SATURDAY. THERE IS STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FORMATION BEFORE THE WAVE REACHES CENTRAL AMERICA IN A DAY OR SO.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE REMAIN DISORGANIZED.
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


--------------------------------------------------------

000
AXNT20 KNHC 031114
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI AUG 03 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...
WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1045 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 33W/34W SOUTH OF 19N
MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT. WEAK MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC
FLOW IS NEAR 14N34W. ANY NEARBY PRECIPITATION REALLY SEEMS
TO BE RELATED ONLY TO THE ITCZ AND NOT THIS WAVE.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 49W/50W SOUTH OF
24N MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS FROM
20N TO 24N BETWEEN 40W AND 46W...AND ONE PRECIPITATION CELL
NEAR 21N47W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 71W SOUTH OF 20N
MOVING WEST 15 KT. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE
SHOWERS/POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 14N TO 19N BETWEEN
69W AND 76W. UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS ON TOP OF THIS
WAVE...AROUND A 16N67W ANTICYCLONE. THE BAHAMAS-TO-STRAITS
OF FLORIDA PRECIPITATION HAS DISSIPATED. ISOLATED MODERATE
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE NORTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 16N TO 20N BETWEEN 82W
AND 87W. ONE PRECIPITATION CELL REMAINS NEAR 25N81W IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 85W/86W SOUTH OF 20N
MOVING WEST 15 KT. RAWINSONDE DATA FROM THE LAST 12 TO 24 HOURS
SHOW THAT THIS WAVE PASSED JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS
ALREADY. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS IN THE BAHAMAS SOUTH OF 25N
WEST OF 77W IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHERN END OF THIS WAVE.
STRONG CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS NOTED WITHIN A 15 NM RADIUS
OF 23.5N80W JUST OFF CUBA. SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO
ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 17N TO 20N BETWEEN
81W AND 86W IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
ONE PRECIPITATION CELL REMAINS NEAR 25N81W IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 97W/98W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 15 KT.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALONG THE MEXICO COAST IN THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.

...THE ITCZ...
14N17W 12N26W 11N33W 11N48W TO TRINIDAD NEAR 10N63W.
ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS FROM
6N TO 15N BETWEEN 30W AND 60W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED
MODERATE SHOWERS TO ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 7N TO
14N BETWEEN AFRICA AND 27W.

...DISCUSSION...
THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA
TO THE LOUISIANA GULF COAST TO THE MIDDLE TEXAS-TO-LOWER TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS. AN ATLANTIC OCEAN STATIONARY FRONT PASSES OVER
BERMUDA TO 32N70W TO SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...TO A 1012 MB LOW
PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 29N87W...TO THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST.
ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS ARE NORTH OF 25N EAST OF 95W IN THE
GULF OF MEXICO. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW IS ENTERING
THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE AREA...AROUND THE TROUGH MOVING
THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
LARGE SCALE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW IS EVERYWHERE
WEST OF 76W. THE 85W/86W TROPICAL WAVE IS SPREADING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE BAHAMAS/STRAITS OF FLORIDA...INTO THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS
THE AREA EAST OF 74W DUE TO A 16N67W ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER. UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW IS MOVING FROM SOUTHERN
NICARAGUA EAST-NORTHEASTWARD...STAYING SOUTH OF 16N...AND
APPROACHING THE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW WITH THE 16N67W
ANTICYCLONE.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN STATIONARY FRONT PASSES OVER BERMUDA TO 32N70W
TO SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. THE TROUGH THAT WAS CONNECTED TO THIS
FRONT APPEARS TO BE SEPARATE NOW...AND IT RUNS FROM EXTREME
SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA TO A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR
29N87W...TO THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST. ONE PRECIPITATION CELL
REMAINS NEAR 25N81W IN THE FLORIDA KEYS. ISOLATED MODERATE
SHOWERS/POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NORTH OF 30N BETWEEN 58W AND
THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S.A. COAST. A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
RUNS FROM A 32N54W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER TO 25N58W AND
16N58W. A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RUNS FROM A 31N16W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER TO THE CANARY ISLANDS...TO 27N28W TO
27N37W. A BROAD TROUGH EXISTS FROM THE SURFACE/LOW LEVELS TO THE
MIDDLE LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE FROM THE AFRICA COAST NEAR
16N18W TO 12N27W. A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1028 MB HIGH
PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 36N36W THROUGH 32N50W TO 28N62W 27N76W NEAR
THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS.

$$
MT




---------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTIC TROPICAL SURFACE ANALYSIS

TROPICAL ATLANTIC WINDS

ATLANTIC TROPICAL WIND SHEAR


US SURFACE ANALYSIS


WATER VAPOR




-----------------------------------------------------------


A WARM WELCOME TO ALL WHO VISIT MY BLOG...

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Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 431 - 381

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431. whitewabit
1:31 PM GMT on August 03, 2007
Ray...lol...bad shape you are...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
430. Raysfan70
10:20 AM GMT on August 03, 2007
Good Morning {{Wab}}!
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
429. whitewabit
4:46 AM GMT on August 03, 2007
Night All
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
428. whitewabit
4:43 AM GMT on August 03, 2007
Off to bed early tonight...

Dark and 70 here at the house...

Observed at: Peoria, Illinois
Elevation: 659 ft / 201 m

76 F / 24 C
Haze
Humidity: 79%
Dew Point: 69 F / 21 C
Wind: Calm
Pressure: 29.99 in / 1015 hPa (Rising)
Visibility: 6.0 miles / 9.7 kilometers
UV: 0 out of 16
Clouds: Clear -

(Above Ground Level)

Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
427. whitewabit
3:20 AM GMT on August 03, 2007
hello Scarlett...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
426. whitewabit
3:18 AM GMT on August 03, 2007
HH...lol..well put something on the itch and leave it alone...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
425. ScarlettOHara
3:02 AM GMT on August 03, 2007
Hi Wab ... blog hopping a bit ...

here's my kindof parade .. LOL Night! ;)

(warning ...long)
link

Member Since: October 25, 2006 Posts: 186 Comments: 5805
424. Gatorxgrrrl
1:25 AM GMT on August 03, 2007
Wab this was found in my blog - I believe it belongs to you!

Member Since: May 10, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 15605
423. HateHurricanes
1:24 AM GMT on August 03, 2007
Well Wabit, that's like telling me not to scratch a mosquito bite!
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3080
422. whitewabit
1:18 AM GMT on August 03, 2007
HH...don't look!!!
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
421. HateHurricanes
1:13 AM GMT on August 03, 2007
Wabit, everytime I look it just keeps getting worser and worser!
HH
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3080
420. whitewabit
11:50 PM GMT on August 02, 2007
crab...Gotta be the Glasses...

Hey Ray...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
419. Raysfan70
11:32 PM GMT on August 02, 2007
Crab- You must be using different color Lenses. :-)
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
418. hurricanecrab
11:23 PM GMT on August 02, 2007
WHOA! Wabit! LOL! The Parade...... something like that happened to me in 1973. Or at least I think it did. The parade of tropical angst? ha. Seems like JM's blog is a wee bit less quirky than previous years. or.... OR ... I'm just using different colored lenses. ;o)

Member Since: January 20, 2005 Posts: 64 Comments: 9245
417. Raysfan70
10:41 PM GMT on August 02, 2007
Wab I will send it all through Auburn.
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
416. whitewabit
10:25 PM GMT on August 02, 2007
Rays...will need some early next week...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
415. Gatorxgrrrl
10:18 PM GMT on August 02, 2007


The parade marches on......
Member Since: May 10, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 15605
414. Raysfan70
10:12 PM GMT on August 02, 2007
{{Wab}}. If you need some rain I will be glad to send you some I am ready to see the Sun.
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
413. whitewabit
9:23 PM GMT on August 02, 2007
doin good sitting in the AC...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
412. charlesimages
9:14 PM GMT on August 02, 2007
yeah forgot about lil ol me there huh =(

LOL only joking.. how are you!?
Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 347 Comments: 29278
411. whitewabit
9:11 PM GMT on August 02, 2007
hey Charles..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
410. whitewabit
9:11 PM GMT on August 02, 2007
Hello Everyone!!!!

Fridays are always nice Oakland and Rays....

HH ..its suppose to be scary like the blobs that are heading toward us...

Hey incog and Gator...

Skye...sorry I just missed you last night...

Hello Mia!!!
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
409. charlesimages
9:08 PM GMT on August 02, 2007
HEY!!
Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 347 Comments: 29278
408. whitewabit
9:05 PM GMT on August 02, 2007
Sunny and hot here at the house... 95 and feels warmer with the humidity...

Observed at: Peoria, Illinois
Elevation: 659 ft / 201 m

90 F / 32 C
Partly Cloudy
Humidity: 43%
Dew Point: 65 F / 18 C
Wind: Calm
Pressure: 29.98 in / 1015 hPa (Falling)
Heat Index: 92 F / 33 C
Visibility: 9.0 miles / 14.5 kilometers
UV: 6 out of 16
Clouds: Few 5500 ft / 1676 m

(Above Ground Level)

Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
407. oakland
6:50 PM GMT on August 02, 2007
{{Wabit}}


glitter-graphics.com

Hope you have a great Thursday, what's left of it anyway.
Member Since: September 4, 2005 Posts: 41 Comments: 7526
406. HateHurricanes
5:56 PM GMT on August 02, 2007
That parade pic is grossing me out.
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3080
405. Gatorxgrrrl
1:31 PM GMT on August 02, 2007
Member Since: May 10, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 15605
404. Raysfan70
11:43 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
Good Morning {{Wab}}

glitter-graphics.com
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
403. miawolf
9:55 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
{{Wabit}}

glitter-graphics.com
How is your back?
402. incogkneetoe
9:54 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
Good Morning

Have a great day.
Wishing you luck and happiness
Take care, be safe and enjoy

Gary
Member Since: June 18, 2007 Posts: 447 Comments: 9370
401. Skyepony (Mod)
6:45 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
I think my late night shift has ended. Off for sleep.

Sweet Dreams you two:)

73.2
.28"today
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 299 Comments: 41208
400. whitewabit
6:42 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
Thank You...nite...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
399. whitewabit
6:41 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
Auburn... All are welcome here...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
398. auburn (Mod)
6:41 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
Sweet one to ya...and yours
Member Since: August 27, 2006 Posts: 548 Comments: 51474
397. auburn (Mod)
6:39 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
Wab you the best...thanks for letting me in your blog...I am honored
Member Since: August 27, 2006 Posts: 548 Comments: 51474
396. whitewabit
6:39 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
Nite All...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
395. whitewabit
6:37 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
Dark and 65 here at the house at 1:38 cdt....

Observed at: Peoria, Illinois
Elevation: 659 ft / 201 m

72 F / 22 C
Clear
Humidity: 87%
Dew Point: 68 F / 20 C
Wind: Calm
Pressure: 30.00 in / 1016 hPa (Rising)
Visibility: 7.0 miles / 11.3 kilometers
UV: 0 out of 16
Clouds: Clear -

(Above Ground Level)

Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
394. auburn (Mod)
6:36 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
night CI...sweet ones
Member Since: August 27, 2006 Posts: 548 Comments: 51474
393. whitewabit
6:35 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
think I am going too...have some e-mails to write to family...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
392. auburn (Mod)
6:35 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
Guess I need to go to bed...big day ...(err not)but I do have to get up kinda early
Member Since: August 27, 2006 Posts: 548 Comments: 51474
391. whitewabit
6:34 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
Night Charles...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
390. charlesimages
6:33 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
whoops.. forgot i was talking in here!! lol i was searching my images there and helping a buddy with some girl problems..

I think i'll go for the night now

had fun even though i was barely here!!

night aub, and wab! take care have a great one!
Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 347 Comments: 29278
389. auburn (Mod)
6:32 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
LOL...I guess Wab...dont have the balls to ask her..she rides around on the deere,,,but all the rest is junk
Member Since: August 27, 2006 Posts: 548 Comments: 51474
388. whitewabit
6:30 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
must be the green color...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
387. auburn (Mod)
6:30 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
I guess you are right as always Wab
Member Since: August 27, 2006 Posts: 548 Comments: 51474
386. whitewabit
6:28 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
well everyone needs something to do...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
385. auburn (Mod)
6:27 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
she likes the John Deere...why is that????
Member Since: August 27, 2006 Posts: 548 Comments: 51474
384. auburn (Mod)
6:26 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
but Wab...I collect them...she hates them now...LOL...I even collect parts of them..she hates them all...hehhehehehehe
Member Since: August 27, 2006 Posts: 548 Comments: 51474
383. whitewabit
6:24 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
Good...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046
382. auburn (Mod)
6:23 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
tell her she is my tractor in life...and she is
Member Since: August 27, 2006 Posts: 548 Comments: 51474
381. whitewabit
6:22 AM GMT on August 02, 2007
the Lady's usually love them...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35046

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About whitewabit

Retired weather junkie, currently living in Central Illinois. worst hurricane I've been through was Camille, in Biloxi, Ms. A Blog Moderator .

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Personal Weather Stations

Highland Lakes
Brooksville, FL
Elevation: 62 ft
Temperature: -90.0 °F
Dew Point: 49.0 °F
Humidity: 0%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 0.0 mph
Updated: 12:24 PM EDT on July 27, 2015
Webster Ave.
Eureka, IL
Elevation: 755 ft
Temperature: 78.7 °F
Dew Point: 66.0 °F
Humidity: 65%
Wind: 1.0 mph from the West
Wind Gust: 3.0 mph
Updated: 7:21 PM CDT on July 29, 2015

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