QUIET

By: whitewabit , 11:31 PM GMT on September 30, 2006

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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT WED OCT 4 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

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TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED OCT 04 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 40W S OF 18N WITH A 1011 MB LOW ON THE
WAVE NEAR 12N MOVING W 10-15 KT. LOW LEVEL ROTATION AND BROAD
INVERTED-V SIGNATURE ARE NOTED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. WAVE IS ON
THE E SIDE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RESULTING IN SOUTHWESTER
SHEAR. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM
10N-15N BETWEEN 34W-39W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE FROM 16N40W-19N35W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 50W/51W S OF 17N MOVING W 5-10 KT. WEAK
LOW AMPLITUDE INVERTED-V SIGNATURE. WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITH DRY
AIR SO THERE ARE ONLY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN THE ITCZ FROM
8N-10N BETWEEN 46W-52W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 69W S OF 21N MOVING W 10 KT. WEAK WAVE IS
ON THE E SIDE OF AN UPPER TROUGH MASKING THE LOW LEVEL SIGNATURE
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY IS DUE TO THE UPPER
LEVEL FEATURE.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 90W/91W S OF 18N MOVING W AT 10-15 KT.
WAVE IS INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND IS WEAK IN THE E PACIFIC
REGION. ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY IS DUE TO UPPER LEVEL FEATURES.

...THE ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 10N11W 4N26W 10N49W 7N60W ACROSS THE
SOUTH AMERICA INTO THE E PACIFIC REGION. SCATTERED STRONG
CONVECTION IS MOVING OFF AFRICA FROM 13N-18N E OF 20W. CLUSTERS
OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 1N-6N
BETWEEN 12W-37W.

...DISCUSSION...
GULF OF MEXICO...
SHARP UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM E/CENTRAL TEXAS AND JUST OFF THE
E COAST OF MEXICO INCLUDING THE GULF W OF 93W. BROAD UPPER RIDGE
EXTENDS FROM THE E BAY OF CAMPECHE/W YUCATAN OVER THE GULF OVER
THE E US COVERING THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. THIS COMBINATION IS
ADVECTING AN ABUNDANCE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA
GIVING MOST OF THE GULF SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF THE FAR E GULF N OF 25N E OF 86W WHERE CLEAR SKIES
PREVAIL. A SURFACE RIDGE COVERS THE N GULF WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDING ALONG FROM 27N94W TO THE YUCATAN NEAR 19N89W.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE W ATLC EXTENDS S INTO THE CARIBBEAN
TO 13N FROM HISPANIOLA TO 85W WITH AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE E
CARIBBEAN ALONG 66W. THIS IS GIVING MUCH OF THE AREA SCATTERED
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 74W84W WHERE CLEAR SKIES PREVAIL.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS OVER THE W ATLC INTO THE CARIBBEAN
FROM 71W TO OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA WITH THE ASSOCIATED
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING THROUGH 32N58W SW ALONG 27N67W TO OVER
THE S BAHAMAS NEAR 22N73W. LARGE CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE S OF 29N BETWEEN 70W-80W WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 200 NM NW OF THE
REMAINDER OF THE SURFACE TROUGH. THE UPPER RIDGE FROM THE
CARIBBEAN EXTENDS ACROSS PUERTO RICO ALONG 23N65W THEN NE BEYOND
32N56W. THIS IS GIVING THE AREA FROM 10N-23N BETWEEN 61W-67W
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. A SECOND INDUCED UPPER
HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 25N50W BY A DEEP LAYERED TROUGH THAT
EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW NEAR 30N34W SW TO 18N43W. THE AREA
FROM 15N-30N BETWEEN 42W-60W IS UNDER STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND DRY
AIR...THUS NO SHOWER ACTIVITY. AT THE SURFACE...A PAIR OF 1015
MB LOWS ARE CENTERED NEAR 28N36W AND 32N33W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 27N35W-33N32W.
BROAD UPPER RIDGE HAS AGAIN SET UP ALONG THE COAST OF AFRICA TO
WELL N OF THE CANARY ISLANDS.

$$
WALLACE


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ATLANTIC TROPICAL SURFACE ANALYSIS

TROPICAL ATLANTIC WINDS

ATLANTIC TROPICAL WIND SHEAR


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ALASKA VOLCANO OBSERVATORY

WAB's BLOG DIRECTORY
HURRICANE CHECK-IN

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CHILD SEEK NETWORK

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Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 279 - 229

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279. whitewabit
6:04 PM GMT on October 04, 2006
New Blog Up Soon...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 361 Comments: 31280
278. Raysfan70
5:44 PM GMT on October 04, 2006
{{wabit}}
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
277. CATAWIFE1
4:51 PM GMT on October 04, 2006
Good Day {{{wab}}} Hope you have a wonderful day!
Member Since: September 13, 2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1739
276. Raysfan70
9:56 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Good Morning ((wab)).
Make it a Wunderful Wednesday! :)

Quite- That's what i like to see. :)
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
275. Lovethetropics
6:35 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Good morning Wab!! Wake up, it's Wednesday!!
Make it a great day!!!
Member Since: August 18, 2005 Posts: 236 Comments: 11302
274. mobal
4:39 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Night Cat. Safe trip!
Member Since: August 3, 2005 Posts: 482 Comments: 5331
273. whitewabit
4:36 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
nite Cat...have a safe trip!!!!
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 361 Comments: 31280
272. CATAWIFE1
4:35 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Thanks mobal...heading out...sweet dreams!
Member Since: September 13, 2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1739
271. CATAWIFE1
4:35 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Thanks for the chat!
I will be back another day!
Enjoy the warm while you can!
Nite to all...Cat :)
Member Since: September 13, 2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1739
270. mobal
4:34 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Cat, Sorry for the circumstances.
Member Since: August 3, 2005 Posts: 482 Comments: 5331
269. whitewabit
4:33 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Cat yes that will be a very long trip...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 361 Comments: 31280
268. whitewabit
4:33 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Hey skye...down to 73 here now humidity's gone up to 70%...calling for storms later and tomorrow...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 361 Comments: 31280
267. CATAWIFE1
4:32 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Thank you wab..she was an amazing woman!
Member Since: September 13, 2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1739
266. CATAWIFE1
4:31 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
First we are stopping in Montana to pick up his Mother...Gonna be a long trip!...she can not..or will not fly.
Member Since: September 13, 2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1739
265. whitewabit
4:31 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Cat..am sorry to hear that...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 361 Comments: 31280
264. Skyepony (Mod)
4:31 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Hey mobal, CAT & wab flying through off to sleep... Wabit we got about the same temp tonight...
~77.9
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 161 Comments: 37455
263. CATAWIFE1
4:30 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
mobal..this will be my first time there!
Member Since: September 13, 2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1739
262. CATAWIFE1
4:30 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
I hope its not cold..we are going there to bury my husbands sister who passed on last night...I hope it is sunny & warm.
Member Since: September 13, 2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1739
261. mobal
4:29 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Cat, I love Idaho, Twin Falls is a great city.
Member Since: August 3, 2005 Posts: 482 Comments: 5331
260. CATAWIFE1
4:28 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Waterloo? about 65 miles, its in between Madison And Janesville.
Member Since: September 13, 2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1739
259. mobal
4:28 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
I bet they wont buy a Coat with a big "N" on it...LOL
Member Since: August 3, 2005 Posts: 482 Comments: 5331
258. whitewabit
4:26 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
could be cold there Cat...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 361 Comments: 31280
257. whitewabit
4:26 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Cat how far is that from Illinois line???
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 361 Comments: 31280
256. CATAWIFE1
4:25 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
I have to go to Bosie Idaho on Saturday...wonder what kind of weather is in store there?
Member Since: September 13, 2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1739
255. whitewabit
4:25 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Thursday only high in the low 60's here...
LOL jacket they will need their winter coats...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 361 Comments: 31280
254. mobal
4:24 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Night {{{Code}}}
Member Since: August 3, 2005 Posts: 482 Comments: 5331
253. whitewabit
4:23 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
nite Code...smooches back...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 361 Comments: 31280
252. mobal
4:23 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
TWC just reported that Lincoln Nebraska will be 44 Thursday morning. Hope if any southerners are up there they brought a jacket...LOL

Looks like cold front is moving East.
Member Since: August 3, 2005 Posts: 482 Comments: 5331
251. CATAWIFE1
4:21 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
oh. ok, I live in Waterloo Wi, this is a little to far north for me weather wise. I love the fall, but for me the spring is to wet and the winter way to cold!
Member Since: September 13, 2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1739
250. code1
4:20 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
{{{mobal}}} Dogs out for the last time and I am signing off now. smooches wab. lol
Member Since: September 18, 2005 Posts: 66 Comments: 13872
249. whitewabit
4:20 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
some basement flooding in a couple of hospitals
and other office buildings...winds recorded in the 70-80 range...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 361 Comments: 31280
248. whitewabit
4:19 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
yes live down around Peoria...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 361 Comments: 31280
247. mobal
4:18 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Wabit, bad flooding?
Member Since: August 3, 2005 Posts: 482 Comments: 5331
246. CATAWIFE1
4:18 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Do you live in Ill?
Member Since: September 13, 2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1739
245. whitewabit
4:18 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Mobal...was low humidity most of the day..but is on the rise now...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 361 Comments: 31280
244. CATAWIFE1
4:17 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
I bet! Chi town seems to flood easy.
Member Since: September 13, 2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1739
243. CATAWIFE1
4:17 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Hubby was just wrapping up a storm sight up there..looks like he will be headed back by next week now.
Member Since: September 13, 2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1739
242. whitewabit
4:16 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
was up in Chicago today and there was a lot of flooding on the southside from last nights storms...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 361 Comments: 31280
241. CATAWIFE1
4:15 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
I miss 90 deg weather...just not the mugginess!
Member Since: September 13, 2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1739
240. mobal
4:15 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Muggy? what 50% humidity...lol
Member Since: August 3, 2005 Posts: 482 Comments: 5331
239. whitewabit
4:15 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Cat not sure what went on...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 361 Comments: 31280
238. CATAWIFE1
4:14 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Hubby is in MN, he just called to let me listen to the "golf" ball sized hail!
Its been stormy here in Wi, on and off.
Member Since: September 13, 2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1739
237. CATAWIFE1
4:13 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Hey wab, whats going in the blogs? I left for 2 days and it looks like all H#ll broke loose!
Member Since: September 13, 2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1739
236. whitewabit
4:13 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
doing good Cat...tis hot and muggy here tonite...still 77...got up to 93...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 361 Comments: 31280
235. whitewabit
4:11 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
hi Mobal...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 361 Comments: 31280
234. CATAWIFE1
4:11 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Hi mobal
Member Since: September 13, 2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1739
233. mobal
4:10 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Hi all!
Member Since: August 3, 2005 Posts: 482 Comments: 5331
232. CATAWIFE1
4:08 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Not much...same ole same o! :)
How about you?
Member Since: September 13, 2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1739
231. code1
4:07 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Hope to wab, you too! Stay out of dark corners in that chair my friend. lol G'nite.
Member Since: September 18, 2005 Posts: 66 Comments: 13872
230. CATAWIFE1
4:07 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
I need spell check!!!!!!!!!!!
Member Since: September 13, 2006 Posts: 27 Comments: 1739
229. whitewabit
4:06 AM GMT on October 04, 2006
Hi Cat...what U up too????
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 361 Comments: 31280

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About whitewabit

Retired weather junkie, currently living in Central Illinois. worst hurricane I've been through was Camille, in Biloxi, Ms. A Blog Moderator .