Invest 96L Tuesday Early AM Discussion

By: weatherboykris, 7:05 AM GMT on September 28, 2010

It's starting to look like we'll have a developing tropical cyclone making it's way through south Florida on Wednesday afternoon and night. Invest 96L in the Western Caribbean is slowly becoming better organized. A broad center appears to be forming, and pressures are gradually falling. I expect that we will have a Tropical Depression by late this afternoon and Tropical Storm Nicole by tomorrow morning. The models are extremely consistent in terms of the ...

First SE Cool Front of Year;94L

By: weatherboykris, 2:04 AM GMT on October 03, 2007

The first cool front to push that SE ridge around this autumn will come later this week.Not a huge cooldown,with highs remaining in the 80s about everywere.A much more significant drop could be seen in about two weeks or so,which is about normal.Front's in the Midwest right now.94L is looking like it may develop.A bit of convection and a better defined low would get this thing going fast.A track into Mexico is most likely,but the previously mentioned front might pul...

Updated: 8:08 PM GMT on October 08, 2007

Arctic Sea Ice Nearing Summer Minimum

By: weatherboykris, 2:08 AM GMT on August 29, 2007

As discussed in an earlier blog,Arctic sea ice is at a record low this summer.It is now nearing it's annual summer minimum,as shown in the graph below.It appears as though the minimum extent this year will be near 4.5 million km^2.As noted in the weekly NSIDC blog:Figure 2 is the updated time series of daily ice extent for 2007, which can be compared to the time series for 2005 and to the 1979 to 2000 average. Compared to conditions described in our last entry on Au...

Thursday Nighly Discussion

By: weatherboykris, 3:16 AM GMT on August 24, 2007

Not really anything to comment on.No invests,no waves(seriously,quikscat tonight found no shifts in the normal trade winds anywhere in the basin).So,there's not really much more to say.Of one thing to note is that Dean did not signifcantly affect SSTS in the basin.

Teusday Nightly Discussion

By: weatherboykris, 3:10 AM GMT on August 22, 2007

This post will be short but sweet.Dean made landfall last night as a Cat 5 and has re-emerged into the BOC as a Cat 1.The inner core seems ill-defined(strongest winds were 70 miles from the center) and the pressure is 979mb...a stark contrast to last night's 906.Dean is moving quickly and does not have enough time or inner core organization to become anything more than a mid range Cat 2 before landfall tomorrow.As far as 92L goes,interaction with an upper low has ki...

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