Wintry Mix Today; Wednesday/Thursday Soaker; Arctic Blast Late Week
Good evening all. I hope you all had a great day, despite the cold, wet, and white day for some of you. Areas NW of Richmond saw a wintry mix all day, and picked up anywhere from a dusting to around 2", with the totals increasing the further north you went. The roads aren't looking too bad, but up in northern VA, which picked up 1-2", the roads are a little bit slushy so if anyone plans on traveling up there, exercise a little caution. Places such as Orange, Louisa, Charlottesville, Goochland, Montpelier, Gum Spring, Mineral, and even Ashland saw a little snow today. For the metro, it was mostly a cold rain, with a few ice pellets mixing in as temperatures were in the upper 30s, which is a bit too warm for snow to fall. After seeing the photos of snow on the Facebook weather fan pages I feel like going to a corner and weep, that rain/snow line came within 30 miles of reaching the metro area. If the system were stronger, then we would see the temperatures drop quicker and possibly get in on a little snow, but it was weak... oh well, it will be our turn soon. Things don't exactly go our way here in Central VA when it comes to winter weather.
The system that brought us a cold rain, and for some of us snow, is now offshore. The only areas that are seeing any snow at this time are Delaware and southern Jersey, otherwise the low will pull off into the Atlantic. After morning lows dipping to around the freezing mark tomorrow, we will quickly warm up, along with partly cloudy skies, as highs should reach 60°. It will be a dry day in between two wet days. Wednesday morning clouds will build ahead out of a storm system moving through the interior south, that will bring us a good amount of rain for the 2nd half of Wednesday. After morning lows dipping to the mid 30s, it will warm up to around the mid 50s. The rain should arrive by early Wednesday afternoon, and it will pick up throughout the evening and overnight hours, and will continue through the 1st half of Thursday. By the lunch hour though, the rain will begin to taper off, followed by clearing skies with highs in the lower 60s. Late Thursday evening though, an arctic front will move through, ushering in some very cold air, as Friday morning temperatures will be at the freezing mark, and we could even see a little light snow as a result of the front that moved through. It will remain cold Friday with highs being hard pressed to hit 40, and same goes for Saturday with morning lows in the mid-20s. During the weekend, a new storm system will be taking shape in the Gulf, and shortly thereafter could form into an elongated area of low pressure, possibly bringing us a moderate snow for us Sunday into Monday (Martin Luther King Day). It's still a week away so this will change several times before it gets here. If the models still show this Friday/Saturday, I'll begin to watch this more closely, until then, I'll keep an eye on it. A pattern change could take place in the near future, with NAO forecasted to go negative, along with an extremely negative AO, and a neutral PNA. All that will come together for a colder and possibly snowier pattern in the next week or so. I'll keep monitoring it.
Have a great week!
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