Colossal Saturn became so not for DC for NE.

By: trHUrrIXC5MMX , 8:04 PM GMT on March 08, 2013

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A forecast challenge snowstorm...

With the storm finally leaving the area after the unexpected snow dump I got here, everything is slowly coming back to normal. Many roads unpaved yet and other jobs left to do still from this storm.


First off..my latest snowmap


This storm was indeed full of surprises, initially thinking it was "supposed" to be a Mid-Atlantic crippling snowstorm which ended up being a bust for them. But that is as far as it went because here we got what they did not get; heavy snow, coastal flooding and gusty winds.

Initialy when the storm was moving in from the Canadian Border into Montana and North Dakota models trended the storm towards the southeast, moving south and around the Great Lakes, bringing up to 9" to Chicago. By this time over a foot was recorded in ND and over 2' in Montana. At the point where the storm was located by the Great lakes the GFS began trending the storm a little northward, the EURO did not agree with it and that's when everything became difficult to forecast.

As consistent as it was, EURO kept the storm heading out to sea from the Mid-Atlantic. Winter storm watches and advisories were posted for the entire DC area, snowfalls ranging from 4-8" across the city and over 15" in the high slopes of the Appalachians.

In many states such as South Dakota, Minnesota, Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Michigan, Wisconsin and Ohio snowfall reports of 9 to 15" were submitted.

The big and unexpected news came out of the Baltimore/Washington DC NWS Office announcing that the significant snowfall forecasts they had up for DC area were not going to be met.

The early thinking was that the storm itself was going to generate it's cold air layer aloft making the snow fall to the warm ground as wet heavy snow and accumulate fast...the ground never cooled enough instead it was warmer than needed.
This happened when they noticed that the only shot they had to get snow and heavy was not going to happen, warmer than expected temperatures were expected now, this brought down significantly they snowfall for the entire urban area from over half a foot to only few inches. Still keeping a 1'+ for the Appalachians.

Then the attention turns to what the GFS/NAM are saying for the East Coast, the issuance of alerts was delayed so much because nome of the most reliable models came to agree, so decided to go with the consensus.

Snow was possible from New Jersey into Maine, then shrunk from Northern NJ into southern New Hampshire. Winter storm watches were issued for eastern Mass and southern New Hampshire calling from 4-8".

Yesterday evening the entire southern New England was filled with advisories and warnings. A significant threat besides snow was going to be coastal flooding which did happen, especially along the coast of Massachusetts.

Gusty wind also whipped the area two days ago


Scituate, MA today after some significant flooding moved in flooding streets, yards, house basements and some houses too.


Today, the storm located roughly 530 miles east of NY was still able to bring moisture into land, a trough from the Great Lakes aided the precipitation chances after merging with the main circulation of Saturn.




Another threat was also the beach erosion... this is highly inevitable.

NOTE: Seriously you guys, think of all the potential odds that could play against you wherever you want to build your house at in the future...there are some obvious no-no locations as you can see.


Notice how large the entire circulation of Saturn is...ironic, Saturn!!!

In regards to the Mid-Atlantic snowfalls,
areas in PA reported 12" (high terrains).
Virginia 20" in Fisherville, 17" in Haywood.
West Virginia reports 24" in Franklin, 1" in Augusta.
Maryland 12.5" in Frostburg, 12" in Oakland and 5.8" in Manchester.

You can get more reports info from the WPC site here..


Pictures...

It seemed that the snow coming from the Atlantic was never going to end


Today, 2 snowplows came by few hours ago bumped lots of salt, some streets clean..for now

Chicago 200+ snow plows in action

last night


Milwaukee, WI


Big DC bust




Route 15..Merritt Parkway


__
Not such a big bust for us here in NE...
Winter storm warnings were unexpectedly extended as the unexpected snow increased this morning



Some very significant snowfall amounts



Cool links...

yesterday night ion 1-95 while going to Stamford, CT




In Stamford, Yes, those are Christmas lights!


For the NE snowfall reports follow here, pretty cool site

My earlier forecast for Saturn, it was a major mistake for the Mid-Atlantic. Apologies to all.

The art of forecasting, playing a major role while doing this forecasting.

If you want to see some pictures/info related to the last significant NE snowstorm, Blizzard Nemo

I hope you like my entry, plus it and comment if you wish to..


MaxWeather

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22. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
5:54 PM GMT on March 10, 2013
trHUrrIXC5MMX has created a new entry.
21. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:49 AM GMT on March 10, 2013
Quoting originalLT:
Hi Max, good morning, hope your grocery shopping went OK, the stores shouldn't have been too busy now.(unless you went to Stew Leonards !) Are you going to make a "final snow map" for New England? If so remember to put a "snow guard shield " over Stamford! HA HA. I only did get 6", It would have been alot more had the temps. been just a couple of degrees or so colder. Very interesting storm though.


Sorry, I just saw your comment...
YES, Stew Leonard's! That's where I was at, you nailed it!
Sure, I was also thinking on doing that. A final snowmap with the"shield" you wanted.

Very interesting/hard-to-forecast storm.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14870
20. originalLT
3:37 PM GMT on March 09, 2013
Hi Max, good morning, hope your grocery shopping went OK, the stores shouldn't have been too busy now.(unless you went to Stew Leonards !) Are you going to make a "final snow map" for New England? If so remember to put a "snow guard shield " over Stamford! HA HA. I only did get 6", It would have been alot more had the temps. been just a couple of degrees or so colder. Very interesting storm though.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7403
19. AETHOMAS
9:15 PM GMT on March 08, 2013
Quoting originalLT:
Thanks AETHOMAS, I corrected it.


You are welcome! :D
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


a little crazy there!


LOL
Member Since: February 6, 2010 Posts: 15 Comments: 243
18. WunderGirl12
9:08 PM GMT on March 08, 2013


This GIF is SO like Tazmainian...
Member Since: January 9, 2011 Posts: 23 Comments: 810
17. trHUrrIXC5MMX
9:03 PM GMT on March 08, 2013
Quoting AETHOMAS:
lol! :D I love tornadoes... ahh... I have a really funny picture of a cop looking at a tornado asking if he should ticket the car that's going 100 miles an hour INSIDE the tornado... :D LOL


a little crazy there!
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14870
16. originalLT
9:01 PM GMT on March 08, 2013
Thanks AETHOMAS, I corrected it.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7403
15. AETHOMAS
8:56 PM GMT on March 08, 2013
lol! :D I love tornadoes... ahh... I have a really funny picture of a cop looking at a tornado asking if he should ticket the car that's going 100 miles an hour INSIDE the tornado... :D LOL
Member Since: February 6, 2010 Posts: 15 Comments: 243
14. trHUrrIXC5MMX
8:56 PM GMT on March 08, 2013
Quoting originalLT:
Nice Post Max, but as I said in Dr. Masters Blog, my post #113, Max on your snow map, you should put a "snow guard shield" over stamford. I got only 6" and after 9am, no further accumulation. Just intermittent light snow(now completely over) 37F Don't know how you had so much more in Norwalk. Now only about 3-4" on my front lawn, melting or compacting fast.


I measured 7"...someone reported 9.5" idk about that...
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14870
13. trHUrrIXC5MMX
8:55 PM GMT on March 08, 2013
Quoting AETHOMAS:
Cool! Thanks! I didn't know what the little 1 meant, so I didn't take any heed to it.


yep that's what 1 is...thumbs up!

I like the tornado chase sign...lol
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14870
12. AETHOMAS
8:54 PM GMT on March 08, 2013
Quoting originalLT:
Nice Post Max, but as I said in Dr. Mastwers Blog, my post #113, Max on your snow map, you should put a "snow guard shield" over stamford. I got only 6" and after 9am, no further accumulation. Just intermittent light snow(now completely over) 37F Don't know how you had so much more in Norwalk. Now only about 3-4" on my front lawn, melting or compacting fast.


Did you Mean Dr. Masters? Just thought you might want to know that you misspelled it. :D
Member Since: February 6, 2010 Posts: 15 Comments: 243
11. AETHOMAS
8:53 PM GMT on March 08, 2013
Oh, do you like my profile picture?
Member Since: February 6, 2010 Posts: 15 Comments: 243
10. originalLT
8:53 PM GMT on March 08, 2013
Nice Post Max, but as I said in Dr. Masters Blog, my post #113, Max on your snow map, you should put a "snow guard shield" over stamford. I got only 6" and after 9am, no further accumulation. Just intermittent light snow(now completely over) 37F Don't know how you had so much more in Norwalk. Now only about 3-4" on my front lawn, melting or compacting fast.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7403
9. AETHOMAS
8:53 PM GMT on March 08, 2013
Cool! Thanks! I didn't know what the little +1 meant, so I didn't take any heed to it.
Member Since: February 6, 2010 Posts: 15 Comments: 243
8. trHUrrIXC5MMX
8:50 PM GMT on March 08, 2013
Quoting AETHOMAS:
You are welcome! :D Can you do the same to mine?

I did long ago
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14870
7. AETHOMAS
8:50 PM GMT on March 08, 2013
You are welcome! :D Can you do the same to mine?
Member Since: February 6, 2010 Posts: 15 Comments: 243
6. trHUrrIXC5MMX
8:49 PM GMT on March 08, 2013
Quoting AETHOMAS:
Sure, I think I did it right, press the little green button up top?!?!?!

Quoting WunderGirl12:
AWESOME POST Max!! :D


thanks you both!
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14870
5. WunderGirl12
8:23 PM GMT on March 08, 2013
AWESOME POST Max!! :D
Member Since: January 9, 2011 Posts: 23 Comments: 810
4. AETHOMAS
8:22 PM GMT on March 08, 2013
Sure, I think I did it right, press the little green button up top?!?!?!

Member Since: February 6, 2010 Posts: 15 Comments: 243
2. trHUrrIXC5MMX
8:20 PM GMT on March 08, 2013
Quoting AETHOMAS:
Thanks Max. :D Nicely Done. :D


thanks...it took me more than 1.5 hours to get it they way I wanted it..
Give it a thumbs up please!..do you mind?
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14870
1. AETHOMAS
8:05 PM GMT on March 08, 2013
Thanks Max. :D Nicely Done. :D
Member Since: February 6, 2010 Posts: 15 Comments: 243

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About trHUrrIXC5MMX

I'm just a 21 year old weather graphic geek. Most of you know Max.

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