First significant snows for Coastal Northeast today

By: trHUrrIXC5MMX , 11:52 AM GMT on December 10, 2013

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This is my Christmas Conference Room... join us around the hearth!


Snowfall expected to accumulate from New York City up to south of Boston, MA.
The heaviest snowfall accumulations are expected in the State of Connecticut



At 4:04 AM, A winter weather advisory was issued for most of the NYC Area

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS
MORNING TO 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE LOWER
HUDSON VALLEY...AND SUFFOLK COUNTY.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND 30.


* VISIBILITIES...OCCASIONALLY AT OR BELOW 1/2 MILE IN BRIEF BANDS OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP TOWARDS THE END OF THE MORNING
RUSH...AND CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON. THE SNOW SHOULD TAPER
OFF DURING THE FIRST PART OF THE AFTERNOON RUSH HOUR.

* IMPACTS...ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL CREATE ICY AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL
CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE DAY...INCLUDING AT LEAST THE START OF
THE AFTERNOON RUSH.


Forecast snowfall from the NYC NWS Office (Upton [Long Island], NY)
Updated at 4:51 AM


Snowfall Forecast:
It's expected to snow all across the NYC Area today as temperatures will remain just below freezing. Snow bands are already sliding by north of our area and those to move through the big city in a few hours from now.

Areas around Battery Park, World Trace Center Memorial and all down-mid town Manhattan area. Long Island: All Brooklyn, Jamaica Bay, John F. Kennedy Int'l Airport and all southern Long Island (southern Kings, Queens, Nassau and Suffolk) also Staten Island and The Statue of Liberty. In NJ, just west of the Hudson, Jersey City, Union City into Newark, Elizabeth and Woodbridge.
All of the places listed above will be up for 2-4" of snow... locally 5-6"

Now, the northern half of Long Island, uptown Manhattan, Bronx, NJ Bergen County, crossing the state line into NY's Rockland, Putman and Westchester counties. In Connecticut: Fairfield, New Haven, Middlesex, New London, parts of Windhamd and Tolland are up for the highest snowfall so far. Also Narragansett and south-North Kingston in Washington County in Rhode Island.
All of the places listed above will be up for 3-6" of snow, locally 6". It's possible that some places in Connecticut may reach half a foot of snow out of this.
Although I did not include Carmel, NY (Putman county) under the 3-6", I think they will be up for such amounts as well.

For SW Connecticut:
Along I-84: Danbury, Newtown into Waterbury and Meriden and Merritt Parkway-Interstate 95 from Port Chester, Greenwich, Stamford, Darien, Norwalk, Fairfield, Bridgeport, Stratford into New Haven, Hamden and Wallingford... all are up for 3-6"

I think there will be a slight limitation for coastal areas, the highest snowfall will not come for them but for interior places around the Merritt Parkway into I-84. Im sure anywhere from Danbury south into Bethel, Ridgefield, North Stamford, New Canaan, Monroe, Shelton and Trumbull will pick up the best.

Here is my snowfall forecast for the Metro Area
Im adding northern Long Island for the highest snowfall as well
Remember, IF the banding takes place this is the expected accumulations.
Now we must begin to consider the sun angle not being able to warm up the environment too much to limit the snow accumulations.
Again


Current Winter alerts from the NWS
The winter advisories were issued today at 4:04 AM for the NYC Area and at 4:34 AM for the Rhode Island-Mass area


More updates in the comment section later... keep up with the NWS updates
If more snowfall is anticipated, don't be surprise of an upgrade to winter storm warning, calling for more than 6".

______

The Winners of the Hurricane Scorecard will be announced to you between Dec 25-30, 2013.

Mark your calendar: Winter Solstice takes place on Sat December 21 at 17:11 UTC (12:11 PM EST). The longest night of the year that will be as we officially enter the winter season.

Almost 6,000 deaths are being confirmed from Typhoon Haiyan which impacted the Philippines with an extremely violent force. The damages left are now estimated near $5.8 billion. Im sure this storm will be remembered through the ages.




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35. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
3:05 AM GMT on December 13, 2013
trHUrrIXC5MMX has created a new entry.
34. trHUrrIXC5MMX
11:23 PM GMT on December 12, 2013
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
33. trHUrrIXC5MMX
11:21 PM GMT on December 12, 2013
impressive 942 mb low

Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
32. trHUrrIXC5MMX
5:59 AM GMT on December 12, 2013
Thanks Colonel... Im going to sleep now

gotta work tomorrow as I kinda forgot, as you see
:(

T-10 days left to my return home... getting closer and closer
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
31. trHUrrIXC5MMX
5:56 AM GMT on December 12, 2013
Mariachi singing "Mananitas"

This is in Marietta, GA at the church parish center


Just some people stood after the party was over to keep on with the music by midnight... I took that picture btw

I'll upload some more where Im in. Just so you know I was wearing a real bishop costume

Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
30. BaltimoreBrian
5:37 AM GMT on December 12, 2013
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 8714
29. trHUrrIXC5MMX
5:36 AM GMT on December 12, 2013
Based on this... there is a chance for 4" for SW coastal CT

over 6" inland
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
28. trHUrrIXC5MMX
5:33 AM GMT on December 12, 2013
I just getting home...

The play and all the night party was OUTSTANDING!!!!

We were singing with the mariachi for nearly 2 hours up to now. Absolutely wonderful!
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
27. Astrometeor
1:52 AM GMT on December 12, 2013
This happened this morning up where I live, Nashville itself didn't see this occur:

Snow from Fog
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10425
26. originalLT
5:49 AM GMT on December 11, 2013
Wow, A multi-talented Max! Good luck!!
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7724
25. trHUrrIXC5MMX
3:25 AM GMT on December 11, 2013
Quoting 24. originalLT:
What performance? Am I missing something that you told Astro about? Well, I hope it goes well, I'd like to "know who Max is"!!
It's a play Im working on.

I'll have a costume...
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
24. originalLT
3:18 AM GMT on December 11, 2013
What performance? Am I missing something that you told Astro about? Well, I hope it goes well, I'd like to "know who Max is"!!
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7724
23. trHUrrIXC5MMX
2:49 AM GMT on December 11, 2013
Tomorrow is the day of my performance.. if everything goes well, I promise I will upload a picture of all of us for you to see. Then you'll know who Max is

Best of luck!
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
22. trHUrrIXC5MMX
2:30 AM GMT on December 11, 2013
really nice picture this is!!!


Sharon, MA 1.5"
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
21. trHUrrIXC5MMX
2:28 AM GMT on December 11, 2013
Hamden, CT

Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
20. trHUrrIXC5MMX
2:13 AM GMT on December 11, 2013
Ya can make out the Empire State Building in the background
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
19. trHUrrIXC5MMX
2:12 AM GMT on December 11, 2013
somewhere in CT

Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
18. trHUrrIXC5MMX
2:06 AM GMT on December 11, 2013
Newtown wants peace, it's very hard for a small town to get over such devastating tragedy all the entire world found out about.

They have not yet, and will not, recovered from the terror many underwent through at that school.

I support ad respect their decision.

Plus, the CT State and local Police are backing them up, any media van will be towed or removed from any area near the disaster.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
17. trHUrrIXC5MMX
2:03 AM GMT on December 11, 2013
Top scoring in CT

Prospect... 5.5" - New Haven (This place nearly hit the 6" as the local high)
Cromwell...4.3" - Middlesex
Newtown...3.9" Fairfield

Newtown, CT... it's been nearly 1 year since the deadly school shooting.
Local people DO NOT want ANY MEDIA doing reports, broadcasting etc... from their town..

please CBS, FOX, ABC, NBC, CNN et al, STAY AWAY!
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
16. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:57 AM GMT on December 11, 2013
NY Westchester, Suffolk, Putman, Nassau, Bronx
NJ Bergen
CT New Haven, Fairfield, Middlesex and New London

from the Taunton, MA NWS
CT Hartford, Tolland and Windham

all passed! snowfall in the 3-6" range


Prividence County in Rhode Island
North Foster 3.2"
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
15. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:52 AM GMT on December 11, 2013
Thanks Larry

Indeed my forecast verified for southwest CT.
Newtown, CT reports 3.9" (that's in the 3-6" initially forecasted) and the bolded ones below

SHELTON 3.3 405 PM 12/10 TRAINED SPOTTER
FAIRFIELD 3.1 415 PM 12/10 PUBLIC
DANBURY 3.0 400 PM 12/10 TRAINED SPOTTER

NEW CANAAN 2.5 330 PM 12/10 TRAINED SPOTTER
WESTON 2.1 300 PM 12/10 TRAINED SPOTTER
BRIDGEPORT AIRPORT 1.7 430 PM 12/10 CO-OP OBSERVER
STAMFORD 1.5 1100 AM 12/10 PUBLIC
DARIEN 1.0 1200 PM 12/10 CT DOT
1 NNE MILL HILL 1.0 946 AM 12/10 NWS COOP
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
14. originalLT
1:08 AM GMT on December 11, 2013
Max, we did end up with about 3" of snow here in the Stamford/Norwalk area. Hard to measure because of compaction of the wet snow as it lay on the ground, and melting while it was snowing. The temp. was 33-34F during the time it was snowing. Now the temp. is falling pretty fast, down to 25.6F. Probably will be 18-23F by morning in our area. Not too windy yet. Baro. going up, at 30.01" Now on to the next storm for the Sat/Sun. time period! Just cold until then.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7724
13. trHUrrIXC5MMX
7:24 PM GMT on December 10, 2013
I know what you mean Larry. Trust me, there is many people who think that way
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
12. trHUrrIXC5MMX
7:21 PM GMT on December 10, 2013
Much of the winter weather advisories west of NYC discotinued. And around the NYC area
Fairfield county as well.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
11. originalLT
6:21 PM GMT on December 10, 2013
Yup, you are right, Max. But I guess it's human nature, that when one hears, 3-6", the number 6 stands out. I gave that figure to my wife, and she's "on my case" cause we didn't get 6". I said ,3-6 I told her, but she expected 6 !. Still some more light snow to go, and the temp. is finally starting to fall. Down to 33F, was 34.5. Wind has switched to the West, but is still very light. Barometer 29.87", more or less steady.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7724
10. trHUrrIXC5MMX
5:41 PM GMT on December 10, 2013
Quoting 9. originalLT:
Max, despite those reports about the NYC Metro area, of up to 6", it will be about 3", 4 at most. The temps. are staying above freezing , 33-34F so that is inhibiting snow depths. We do have about 2" in Stamford, snowing lightly, really not too bad, schools should not have been cancelled.


See Larry that's the thing. I'm not there to really know what's going on.
If you say temps may not support the snow then ok.

Remember its 3-6" as I did in the map. It does not mean 6"... anywhere from 3" to the maximum of 6".
Anything in that range
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
9. originalLT
5:31 PM GMT on December 10, 2013
Max, despite those reports about the NYC Metro area, of up to 6", it will be about 3", 4 at most. The temps. are staying above freezing , 33-34F so that is inhibiting snow depths. We do have about 2" in Stamford, snowing lightly, really not too bad, schools should not have been cancelled.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7724
8. trHUrrIXC5MMX
5:25 PM GMT on December 10, 2013
Stamford is reporting 1.5"

Staten Island and all central NJ is included for the 3-6"

Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
7. trHUrrIXC5MMX
5:17 PM GMT on December 10, 2013
UPDATE

Now all NYC boroughs, all Long Island, NJ Hudson and Bergen counties are included for the 3-6" accumulation
.

Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
6. trHUrrIXC5MMX
5:14 PM GMT on December 10, 2013
2" of snow reported in Norwalk
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
5. originalLT
2:12 PM GMT on December 10, 2013
Morning Max, your discussion and snow maps are right-on! We are having light to Moderate snow here now at 9:11 am, temp. is 32.8F no wind, Baro. at 29.96" and falling slowly. I think the snow will start to taper off by 2-4pm this afternoon. The precipitation shield is moving ENE to NE pretty fast. Of course later I'll give you snow totals for my house. So far, close to 1".
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7724
4. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:12 PM GMT on December 10, 2013
Rain is finally over in my area... Im sick of it
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
3. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:09 PM GMT on December 10, 2013
Look at the time differences for sunrise and sunset for Norwalk CT and Atlanta GA

Norwalk
Sunrise: 7:08 AM (happening right now)
Sunset: 4:25 PM

Atlanta
Sunrise: 7:33 AM (happening in about 25 mins)
Sunset: 5:29 PM

About 25 mins difference for sunrise but over an hour difference for sunset
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
2. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:04 PM GMT on December 10, 2013
they are predicting less snowfall...
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
1. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:03 PM GMT on December 10, 2013
All schools across southwest Connecticut are closed today
Check the IAN School cancelation site for the full list

Norwalk PS, webpage
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873

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I'm just a 21 year old weather graphic geek. Most of you know Max.

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