SUPERSTORM SANDY.... The horrible night of impact

By: trHUrrIXC5MMX , 12:48 AM GMT on October 30, 2013

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The Northeast US Remembers Hurricane Sandy Today...a year later


Big Halloween Storm?

Expect some rough weather... rain and gusty winds.
Stating PA/NY area as midnight Thu-Fri. Expect the rain and winds on Thu west of PA/NY and then Friday east of PA/NY


_



Sun rises on Monday Oct 29 after the nice weekend we had over in Norwalk, CT (my hometown after NYC).
I couldn't ignore every hour what was happening in the News. Especially the announcement NJ Gov. Chris Christie gave to the public on Saturday at 11:10 AM ET "Mandatory evacuation for widespread areas, a state of emergency declared".
So did NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo, CT Gov. Dannel Malloy and MA Gov. Deval Patrick signing the State of Emergency declaration to which many Obama approved.

I did begin to feel that anxiety, I wasn't in that that open-to-the-world kind of mood that Monday. Unlike any neighbors who only took simple measures to prepare to the storm, especially those living at the coast.

High Wind Warnings were in effect for my area calling for gusts ranging from 80 to 95 mph, hurricane force wind warnings for marine areas, rough surf and flash flood warnings.

We went outside, with some preparation done, just to look around... mom decided to but some more stuff at the store. We had enough water, canned food, candles, matches, blankets, cash, gasoline and charged batteries and phones.

We were talking about this storm all day long... nothing else could have been more important this day than Sandy, a hurricane to strike the Northeast.
I don't blame those who expected the "hurricane warnings", they needed that strong phrase in order to act but they never came... a big challenge from the storm

Norwalk was then placed under mandatory evacuations and travel bans were issued in the early afternoon for the entire state of Connecticut.

The day had been clear up to early afternoon, you would say that indeed the day was awesome with scattered clouds in the sky but that was a false and horrible sense of reality


It turned a bit breezy later in the early evening hours. By then not even mosquitoes were making noise. Everything was so quiet outside, nothing was going on. I decided to move away from the windows my computer, my bookcase, my bureau in which I threw in most of the stuff and papers I has on my desk.
In fact I took my computer to the living room. I was doing the blogging from there.

It was nearly 7 PM... Mom, sister and I didn't really feel like cooking...none of us, so we just had a noodle sup for each one. Winds were quite gusty by then.

Here is the turning point... we thought winds were to slowly pick up over the course of the night, that was highly underestimated. By 8-9 PM as we were talking about how school was going, we felt a big shake coming from the left side of the house then I looked at my cup with the wavy water. I knew something, a major change has taken place.

All our laughs, jokes and fun were over...

I went into my room, carefully looking ouside as I could not believe how the trees were bending, lots of leaves, branches and trash containers were just being ragged up (why trash containers?... they pick up the garbage on Thursdays in Norwalk but some people a just lazy to bring in back their trash cans 'til the week after...pathetic).

Then I run back to the kitchen to warn mom and sister... "At any minute we could be in big danger here, these windows could shatter blowing away everything" They were frighten as they now heard the howling hurricane gusts outside, we didn't finish eating our noodle sup btw.

I tried to move heavy things to place them covering the windows... like the big refrigerator, my book case, the TV cabinet..etc, a mistake we did, not covering windows.

My sister and I all tried to stay together in the master room with mom watching TV to try to get our mind distracted even though It was very difficult.
We live about a mile inland from the shore. How do you think people living next to the shore are?

It was nearly midnight now, obviously we could not sleep. I was feeling cold and a bit shaky even though I had 2 blankets. I let sister sleep with mom and I tried the floor.

It was 12:30 AM Oct 30... power goes out

to be continued...






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102. DaveFive
2:09 AM GMT on November 15, 2013
Hello trHUrrIXC5MMX, thank you for reading my blog and for your comment. I have read your blog about "The Big Halloween Storm" that is great info. I do like your photos and weather maps.
Member Since: August 16, 2013 Posts: 9 Comments: 311
101. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
12:04 AM GMT on November 03, 2013
trHUrrIXC5MMX has created a new entry.
100. originalLT
10:26 PM GMT on November 02, 2013
Hi Max looking foreword to your new Blog. Got up to 70F here today at my house, much warmer than they predicted. We had partly sunny skies, the leaves around here are in Peak color! Also on High Ridge Rd. , A new Trader Joe's opened up a couple of days ago, went there about 5pm this afternoon. Was very crowded, but had some nice food stuffs in there. Was never in a Trader Joe's before. It's gonna take some business away from A&P down the street, and Grade A Supermarket that I visit a lot. Bought some stuff for dinner there.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7500
99. trHUrrIXC5MMX
8:27 PM GMT on November 02, 2013
working on a new blog
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
98. trHUrrIXC5MMX
7:16 AM GMT on November 02, 2013
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
97. trHUrrIXC5MMX
7:08 AM GMT on November 02, 2013
I might be able to see just a bit

Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
96. trHUrrIXC5MMX
7:00 AM GMT on November 02, 2013
Good morning all

I went to sleep at 9 pm yesterday as I felt so tired and here I am now at 3 Am blogging
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
95. Astrometeor
4:41 AM GMT on November 02, 2013
Quoting 94. trHUrrIXC5MMX:


so... ?


He's referencing a song. He said "evenin'", which on the internet, is correct.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10217
94. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:56 AM GMT on November 02, 2013
Quoting 93. SPLbeater:


It's 5 o'clock somewhere. ;)




Me too. I had just under those numbers, around 25-35mph(with higher gusts). And im even further away...


so... ?
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
93. SPLbeater
12:46 AM GMT on November 02, 2013
Quoting 84. trHUrrIXC5MMX:

Evening?


It's 5 o'clock somewhere. ;)

Quoting 87. Bluestorm5:
Sandy was just CRAZY... I still felt her wrath of 35-45 mph sustained winds with 60 mph gusts 900 miles from the center during landfall.



Me too. I had just under those numbers, around 25-35mph(with higher gusts). And im even further away...
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
92. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:01 AM GMT on November 02, 2013
Quoting 85. Astrometeor:
Well, apparently this happened:

0930 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 SE NASHVILLE 36.16N 86.77W
10/31/2013 DAVIDSON TN EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 1 FATAL *** A 9 YEAR-OLD BOY WAS KILLED WHEN HE
CAME IN CONTACT WITH A DOWNED POWER LINE. THE POWER LINE
WAS KNOCKED DOWN BY A LARGE FALLING TREE LIMB.


oh well... this was a bad storm for sure
Im sorry about that happening
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
91. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:00 AM GMT on November 02, 2013
Quoting 87. Bluestorm5:
Sandy was just CRAZY... I still felt her wrath of 35-45 mph sustained winds with 60 mph gusts 900 miles from the center during landfall.


yep... Sandy became the largest hurricane ever...

Surpassing Igor's 920 mile gale diameter


Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
90. trHUrrIXC5MMX
11:54 PM GMT on November 01, 2013
Quoting 88. Astrometeor:
Lowest pressure at my house from last night's storm was 29.50 inches. Lowest in the last three or four years I've been keeping up with pressure.


for those who aren't too familiar (like myself) with the inches of mercury Astro provided, here it is in millibars: 998.98mb.

I think you have gotten even lower pressures than that.

I remember seeing pressures in the 960s mb for Sandy across Norwalk

____

Just getting home...
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
89. Astrometeor
10:39 PM GMT on November 01, 2013
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10217
88. Astrometeor
10:34 PM GMT on November 01, 2013
Lowest pressure at my house from last night's storm was 29.50 inches. Lowest in the last three or four years I've been keeping up with pressure.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10217
87. Bluestorm5
10:17 PM GMT on November 01, 2013
Sandy was just CRAZY... I still felt her wrath of 35-45 mph sustained winds with 60 mph gusts 900 miles from the center during landfall.
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 7961
86. Astrometeor
10:13 PM GMT on November 01, 2013
For some reason the NWS has 20% slight chance of rain in my Saturday forecast. I don't see where that comes from. Intellicast has 0% all day in the hourly forecast, and the cloud forecast only makes it to 23%. Not enough for rain. Usually, after a strong front like last night, the air dries out and doesn't allow another system, and I don't see anything nearby that can give me rain.

Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10217
85. Astrometeor
7:39 PM GMT on November 01, 2013
Well, apparently this happened:

0930 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 SE NASHVILLE 36.16N 86.77W
10/31/2013 DAVIDSON TN EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 1 FATAL *** A 9 YEAR-OLD BOY WAS KILLED WHEN HE
CAME IN CONTACT WITH A DOWNED POWER LINE. THE POWER LINE
WAS KNOCKED DOWN BY A LARGE FALLING TREE LIMB.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10217
84. trHUrrIXC5MMX
4:59 PM GMT on November 01, 2013
Quoting 82. SPLbeater:
Evenin Max.

Thank God we got through the 31st of October...Good to be in No-Shave- November! :D Got a small non-zero threat for tornadoes and wind damage today in my area, and some light rain is not far from moving in. I don't expect much, but it is windy.

Evening?
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
83. trHUrrIXC5MMX
4:56 PM GMT on November 01, 2013
Breaking news

Bullets flying around at LAX. People running outside into the buildings
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
82. SPLbeater
4:08 PM GMT on November 01, 2013
Evenin Max.

Thank God we got through the 31st of October...Good to be in No-Shave- November! :D Got a small non-zero threat for tornadoes and wind damage today in my area, and some light rain is not far from moving in. I don't expect much, but it is windy.
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
81. originalLT
2:47 PM GMT on November 01, 2013
Max, the squall line came through, was not that bad here. Brief heavy rain, and winds were 30-35mph. Rain has stopped now winds only 2-7mph. Was kind of a "bust" here, really not too bad. I hope it was OK at your Mom's house in Norwalk, I'm sure it was.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7500
80. originalLT
1:53 PM GMT on November 01, 2013
I'm on alert, Max, I'll report in exactly what I get--if I have power!
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79. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:49 PM GMT on November 01, 2013
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... FAIRFIELD COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT... WESTCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... EASTERN BERGEN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... ROCKLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... * UNTIL 1030 AM EDT... * AT 940 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM PEEKSKILL TO ORADELL...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM PEEKSKILL TO RIDGEWOOD...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. 


Be on alert Larry
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
78. originalLT
12:52 PM GMT on November 01, 2013
A thin squall line is moving towards the NYC Metro area. We will have brief heavy rains and winds of 45-55mph. Then some general rains after that for a few hours. This squall line is moving from West to East and should be in the immediate NYC Metro area within one hour. or so.
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77. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:10 PM GMT on November 01, 2013
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
76. trHUrrIXC5MMX
10:10 AM GMT on November 01, 2013
Good morning all

Happy month of November... Just 60 days left of 2013
This is the last month before the very last one
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
75. Astrometeor
4:39 AM GMT on November 01, 2013
Pathetic system. No thunder whatsoever. Just some wind. The only damage was a tipped-over pot, a few small dead branches, and a pear tree lost a limb. I don't understand why they issued a tornado watch. The conditions were horrible. Around 8 o'clock the wind shifted, and the shear that had been present went away. Then, no real storms developed. It was just windy and rainy. It's clear outside right now, actually. Still a bit windy, but nothing major as far as I can tell.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10217
74. originalLT
4:11 AM GMT on November 01, 2013
Hi Max, know you went to sleep awhile ago. We made it through the main Trick or Treat time, 6-9pm with only some very light showers, and it was mild, about 60F. Now at mid-night, we have steady light rain, but still no wind to speak of. Should get windy here after about 6am. I'll let you know what happens up here in SW CT. Good Night. PS hope Astro is OK with those T.Storms down there in TN.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7500
73. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:35 AM GMT on November 01, 2013
Gnite all
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
72. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:01 AM GMT on November 01, 2013
Tornado watch for Nashville

Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
71. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:46 AM GMT on November 01, 2013
Tornado Warning for Cape Girardeau and Sikeston, MO
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
70. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:22 AM GMT on November 01, 2013
Looks like it's raining in Norwalk...since around 7:45 PM
Hows it going in Stamford Larry?
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69. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:21 AM GMT on November 01, 2013
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
68. trHUrrIXC5MMX
5:22 PM GMT on October 31, 2013
Lunch time...

It is a bit breezy here
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
67. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:24 PM GMT on October 31, 2013
Feliz Dia de las brujas...

Q tengan un espantoso dia..jejeje
Salgan a asustar a gente hoy
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
66. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:22 PM GMT on October 31, 2013
Happy Halloween boooooo!
Good morning

I'm gonna freak out some people today.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
65. originalLT
4:15 AM GMT on October 31, 2013
Hi guys, I see Max has hit the hay for the night. Just finished watching our New England team, The Boston Red Sox become World Series Champions by easily defeating the St. Louis Cardinals. Up here, Halloween does not look too bad . Hopefully the showers will hold off till after 9pm on Thurs. And it will be mild, with highs in the mid 60's. I will be answering the door bell wearing a hideous mask--I'll scare a few kids I'm sure.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7500
64. wxgeek723
3:43 AM GMT on October 31, 2013
Quoting 63. TropicalAnalystwx13:

2nd.


Member Since: August 28, 2008 Posts: 79 Comments: 3545
63. TropicalAnalystwx13
3:38 AM GMT on October 31, 2013
Quoting 61. SPLbeater:


The world may never know...

2nd.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31858
62. SPLbeater
3:10 AM GMT on October 31, 2013
Quoting 53. trHUrrIXC5MMX:
Looks like Raymond's total ACE was 17.445
Raymond's ACE was the biggest contribution to the seasonal ACE of the basin from a ingle storm...

26.96% (27%) of the 64.69 (65) Epac ACE was done by Raymond... good!

this info is operational... we need to get the best-track one after the PSA (post storm analyses) are done


There is a grocery store somewhere round here called Ingles. I think. COuld be wrong. Watch out for those grocery store storms. :D
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
61. SPLbeater
3:08 AM GMT on October 31, 2013
Quoting 41. Astrometeor:
SPL, what grade are you in?


The world may never know...
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4481
60. trHUrrIXC5MMX
2:21 AM GMT on October 31, 2013
Gnite all

Astro you are in charge here now... say hi to Larry when he comes in
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
59. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:53 AM GMT on October 31, 2013
Quoting 58. wxgeek723:


I think the Irene precedent is part of what made Sandy a perfect storm though.


yes...a perfect Halloween trick
excellent for the occasion
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
58. wxgeek723
1:48 AM GMT on October 31, 2013
Quoting 57. trHUrrIXC5MMX:


indeed. Irene took the hurricane warnings that were missing for Sandy
Irene took the seriousness that should have been placed for Sandy
Irene took so many things that Sandy should have had.

Irene was not a hurricane when it arrived in NYC (hurricane warnings were in effect there earlier)... Sandy was a hurricane (by wind force) when it arrived

so contradictory...


I think the Irene precedent is part of what made Sandy a perfect storm though.
Member Since: August 28, 2008 Posts: 79 Comments: 3545
57. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:46 AM GMT on October 31, 2013
Quoting 56. wxgeek723:


Oh it was definitely due to Irene, at least partially. The media succeeded in panicking the general public around here during Irene, and we resorted to rare protocols in that situation. Several states had to dust off age old evacuation plans and that will tell you about the lack of hurricane experience in the Mid Atlantic. People are afraid of what they don't know, and since a threat of this magnitude was a first time for many people, they took that threat very seriously. But as we all know the forecast didn't pan out, and people returned to their unscathed homes in anger and frustration. So when Sandy came around most people, not understanding the urgency, took it lightly. A lot of people on the local news were saying "I'm not evacuating for a category 1." And ironically the local media even seemed to underhype Sandy as it approached, until the actual zero hour arrived.

I think Sandy made the system we have in place appear really inadequate just because there was no way we could be equipped enough to handle a storm that bizarre.


indeed. Irene took the hurricane warnings that were missing for Sandy
Irene took the seriousness that should have been placed for Sandy
Irene took so many things that Sandy should have had.

Irene was not a hurricane when it arrived in NYC (hurricane warnings were in effect there earlier)... Sandy was a hurricane (by wind force) when it arrived

so contradictory...
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
56. wxgeek723
1:41 AM GMT on October 31, 2013
Quoting 5. TropicalAnalystwx13:
Sadly, it takes a natural disaster for our flaws to become visible. What did we learn to Sandy? People have become complacent and refuse to heed warnings from officials anymore. Whether this was because of Irene or because those said people live in the Northeast where hurricanes uncommonly strike -- it doesn't matter. Sandy wasn't the worst case scenario and people need to be prepared for the next one, whether that's in 2014 or 2114.

It also documented our improvements in weather modeling and forecasting. The ECMWF indicated the potential for a freak event to occur shortly after the storm first formed! This gave ample warning to those who actually heeded the warnings. The clean-up from the system was generally excellent as well. Many people are beginning to gain a sense of normalcy again.

As a meteorologist, I would love to see another Sandy-like system.

As a person, I hope it never happens again.


Oh it was definitely due to Irene, at least partially. The media succeeded in panicking the general public around here during Irene, and we resorted to rare protocols in that situation. Several states had to dust off age old evacuation plans and that will tell you about the lack of hurricane experience in the Mid Atlantic. People are afraid of what they don't know, and since a threat of this magnitude was a first time for many people, they took that threat very seriously. But as we all know the forecast didn't pan out, and people returned to their unscathed homes in anger and frustration. So when Sandy came around most people, not understanding the urgency of course, brushed it off. A lot of people on the local news were saying "I'm not evacuating for a category 1." And ironically the local media even seemed to underhype Sandy as it approached, until the actual zero hour arrived.

I think Sandy made the system we have in place appear really inadequate just because there was no way we could be equipped enough to handle a storm that bizarre.
Member Since: August 28, 2008 Posts: 79 Comments: 3545
55. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:39 AM GMT on October 31, 2013
HALLOWEEN IN THE NORTHEAST

2011: Disrupted by the "Snowtober"... near 3' in western Mass.
2012: Post-Hurricane Sandy... devastation
2013: Storm Again? No break?
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
54. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:37 AM GMT on October 31, 2013
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
53. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:34 AM GMT on October 31, 2013
Looks like Raymond's total ACE was 17.445
Raymond's ACE was the biggest contribution to the seasonal ACE of the basin from a ingle storm...

26.96% (27%) of the 64.69 (65) Epac ACE was done by Raymond... good!

this info is operational... we need to get the best-track one after the PSA (post storm analyses) are done
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
52. Astrometeor
1:33 AM GMT on October 31, 2013


000
WWUS84 KOHX 302119 AAA
SPSOHX

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
419 PM CDT WED OCT 30 2013

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-31 0900-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PI CKETT-BENTON-
HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSO N-TROUSDALE-
SMITH-JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKM AN-LEWIS-
WILLIAMSON-MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-
CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-
GILES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...CLARKSVILLE...SPRINGFIELD...
GALLATIN...LAFAYETTE...CELINA...BYRDSTOWN...CAMDE N...ERIN...
WAVERLY...DICKSON...ASHLAND CITY...NASHVILLE...LEBANON...
MOUNT JULIET...HARTSVILLE...CARTHAGE...GAINESBORO...COOK EVILLE...
LIVINGSTON...JAMESTOWN...LOBELVILLE...CENTERVILLE ...HOHENWALD...
FRANKLIN...BRENTWOOD...COLUMBIA...LEWISBURG...MUR FREESBORO...
WOODBURY...SMITHVILLE...SPARTA...CROSSVILLE...SHE LBYVILLE...
TULLAHOMA...MANCHESTER...MCMINNVILLE...ALTAMONT.. .SPENCER...
WAYNESBORO...LAWRENCEBURG...PULASKI
419 PM CDT WED OCT 30 2013

...STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE ON
THURSDAY...

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM...BRINGING AHEAD OF IT AN INCREASING CHANCE
OF SHOWERS ACROSS LOCATIONS WEST TO EAST ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THE MID MORNING HOURS...AND THEN
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING
HOURS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS...IS EXPECTED
ACROSS THE MID STATE AS THE DAY PROGRESSES ON THURSDAY. EVEN THOUGH
OVERALL INSTABILITY AND THUS THE OVERALL POTENTIAL OF LIGHTNING
WITH THIS EVENT WILL BE LIMITED ALSO...A STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL
JET DEVELOPS ACROSS THE AREA ALSO AS THURSDAY MORNING PROGRESSES...
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS OF
30 TO 35 MPH
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING
HOURS ALSO...AND THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A HIGHLY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE MID STATE. THUS...AS THE AFTERNOON HOURS
APPROACH AND PROGRESS...AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS ALSO...SOME
OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH STRONG TO
DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED
ALL OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON
THURSDAY. IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE THAT ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY FORM
ACROSS THE AREA. ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL DUE TO HIGH ATMOSPHERIC
MOISTURE CONTENT EXPECTED WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS THE DAY PROGRESSES
ON THURSDAY. THIS COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING POTENTIAL ALSO.
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ENTER WESTERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND PROGRESSING EASTWARD THROUGH THE CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU BY LATE EVENING.

PLEASE EXERCISE CAUTION ON ANY OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES PLANNED FOR
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. TO MONITOR THE LATEST IN WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION...VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/NASHVILLE...STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...AND/OR
LOCAL MEDIA SOURCES.

$$
31
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I'm just a 21 year old weather graphic geek. Most of you know Max.

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