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Winning the chart numbers... there is an "equal" chance for all.
 By: trHUrrIXC5MMX, 12:33 AM GMT on August 01, 2013 +5

Hurricane Scorecard 2013

Hi everyone, yes Im back to touch up with you some extra things about it, this will be about winning your prediction!

First off, note that we already have four named storms in the Atlantic Basin: Andrea, Barry, Chantal and Dorian

As you know Im the creator of the Hurricane Score Card which lists many hurricane predictions of those who participated.

This is how it's going to work...

If you think you got a number right I urge you to check the following, there are two ways of winning

1. If you submitted a range of numbers, you must get two of them right (out of the three)
2. If you submitted exact numbers, you just have to get one right (of out the three)

Submitting exact numbers have a higher chance for being wrong but you can still bingo. The greater probabilities go for those why submitted range of numbers but again, everyone has an equal chance. Im telling you, there should be many winners out of the 142 of you.
so based on the 2 ways, you can win.

For example, Im going to pick randomly 2 bloggers out of the list to give you a better understanding

a) Aussiestorm: 18-25 named storms, 9-13 hurricanes and 3-6 majors
...Aussie could only win if he gets two of the three predictions right because he did a range prediction

b) OriginalLT: 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 3 majors
...Mr. LT could only win if he gets only one of the three predictions right

lets assume the 2013 hurricane season numbers end up being 19 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 4 majors...

Aussie wins the range, 19 in 18-25 named storms AND 4 in 3-6 majors
LT wins the exact numbers, he got the prediction of 7 hurricanes right.

Its harder to nail exact numbers than a number within a range, that's why for a range prediction I want 2 of the three and not 1 like in exact number prediction.
Do you understand the rules? Tell me otherwise please.

now, the ULTIMATE WINNER will be the one who wins the entire prediction... either all exact numbers or all range. You will have a "higher regard".

Rewards, I'll make a list of all winners for display in the Main Blog, including any ultimate winners. Please congratulate them and remember that this is only for fun.

If you lose, don't worry, you can try again next year! I urge you to and those who didn't participate to do next season please!

Final Hurricane Season results... Hopefully by December the season will be over and all the storms we end up having will stay the same in the NHC PSA (Post Storm Analysis), hopefully we won't get a storm like Sandy making landfall as a 110 mph hurricane but reanalyzed as a 115 major hurricane. This is a significant change and many of you may be affected if this kind of situation happens, top which I may delay to publish the final results into next year.

Speaking of next year, on April 2nd, the poll will re-open for the new Hurricane Scorecard 2014. more info by then...

Remember, you can always find the hurricane chart under my recommended links menu to the right.

_______________________

Storm Track

Tropical Storm Flossie...
Flossie fizzled out as it neared Hawaii and the TS warnings were cancelled. Nonetheless, heavy rains and some gusty winds impacted Maui.

I would like to share with you some of the pictures Civicane49 (a fellow blogger from Honolulu) sent me. Appreciations extended to him.

From Kailua

Paia, HI

Oahu, HI

Flossie is now gone...the final advisory was written on it by the CPHC.

Hurricane Gil

Gil became a hurricane...no land threat

NHC

NWS

MaxWeather
hurricaneZONE
Tropical Awareness

Atlanta, GA

PS. This is how I say goodbye to the long J months... finally over with.
Happy August everyone!
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Viewing: 151 - 200

 151. trHUrrIXC5MMX 3:37 AM GMT on August 05, 2013 Quoting 150. Astrometeor:Idk...knowing the probabilities for precipitation in the Middle East is a weather task. As in, how many inches of shells and bullets are going to fall today?lets have the Lieutenant Brian come here to enlighten us.... Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 152. trHUrrIXC5MMX 4:13 AM GMT on August 05, 2013 Gnite all... a new big week starts today...back to my routine...sigh Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 153. originalLT 4:16 AM GMT on August 05, 2013 G'nite Max--just checked up on the blog, was out for the day. Always like to read your's and Astro's, "banter".! Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 6836
 154. trHUrrIXC5MMX 11:22 AM GMT on August 05, 2013 Gmorning everyone...happy Monday (..err) Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 155. trHUrrIXC5MMX 4:16 PM GMT on August 05, 2013 Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 156. trHUrrIXC5MMX 12:11 AM GMT on August 06, 2013 Henriette is developing an eye on vis sat... I expect this to be at least 80 mph by 11 pm Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 157. Astrometeor 2:54 AM GMT on August 06, 2013 Quoting 156. trHUrrIXC5MMX:Henriette is developing an eye on vis sat... I expect this to be at least 80 mph by 11 pmNope, 70 mph storm. EPac not doing good this year. Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 76 Comments: 7666
 158. BaltimoreBrian 2:58 AM GMT on August 06, 2013 Quoting 150. Astrometeor:Idk...knowing the probabilities for precipitation in the Middle East is a weather task. As in, how many inches of shells and bullets are going to fall today?High shells and bullets in Syria with popcorn bombs in Iraq.Speaking of terror plots see a Norweigan army platoon disabled in seconds by the Harlem Sheik.I asked Cody about the Capulets and Montagues thing in chat a while ago but he didn't respond. Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 7375
 159. BaltimoreBrian 3:02 AM GMT on August 06, 2013 For my high school student readers--academic assistance services. No need to log in! They take your online courses for you!No Need To StudyWe Take Your ClassBoost My GradesBoost My Grades guarantees at least a 'B' grade for \$700 per online course. Do the math. If you can ;) Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 7375
 160. Astrometeor 3:11 AM GMT on August 06, 2013 Quoting 159. BaltimoreBrian:For my high school student readers--academic assistance services. No need to log in! They take your online courses for you!No Need To StudyWe Take Your ClassBoost My GradesBoost My Grades guarantees at least a 'B' grade for \$700 per online course. Do the math. If you can ;)I don't know how those sites are legal, that basically falls under the definition of "scam" and "fraud". Cheating to win a degree will almost certainly backfire at some point. Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 76 Comments: 7666
 161. Astrometeor 3:14 AM GMT on August 06, 2013 Quoting 158. BaltimoreBrian:High shells and bullets in Syria with popcorn bombs in Iraq.Speaking of terror plots see a Norweigan army platoon disabled in seconds by the Harlem Sheik.I asked Cody about the Capulets and Montagues thing in chat a while ago but he didn't respond.The Harlem Shake video, lol, I would be the guy banging his head on the wall. Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 76 Comments: 7666
 162. BaltimoreBrian 3:14 AM GMT on August 06, 2013 Quoting 160. Astrometeor:I don't know how those sites are legal, that basically falls under the definition of "scam" and "fraud". Cheating to win a degree will almost certainly backfire at some point.Backfire? Almost certainly.But remember, it's not cheating, it's 'professional academic assistance'! Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 7375
 163. BaltimoreBrian 3:16 AM GMT on August 06, 2013 Quoting 161. Astrometeor:The Harlem Shake video, lol, I would be the guy banging his head on the wall.My favorite is the guy with the Norwegian flag falling out the window ;) Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 7375
 164. trHUrrIXC5MMX 10:10 AM GMT on August 06, 2013 isued: Aug 05, 2013 11:00 pm HSTSPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKFor the central north Pacific, between 140°W and 180.1. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu Hawaii is issuing advisories on tropical storm Gil, located about 1035 miles east-southeast of Hilo Hawaii, under AWIPS header TCPCP2 and WMO header WTPA32 PHFO. Gil was upgraded to tropical storm intensity as of 1100 pm HST.Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected through late Wednesday nightgood morning all Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 165. trHUrrIXC5MMX 10:13 AM GMT on August 06, 2013 well, Gil revived and up for another big timeBULLETINTROPICAL STORM GIL ADVISORY NUMBER 28NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP0720131100 PM HST MON AUG 05 2013...GIL INTENSIFIES TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT CONTINUES WESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION -----------------------------------------------LOCATION...13.3N 141.0WABOUT 1035 MI...1660 KM...ESE OF HILO HAWAIIABOUT 1245 MI...2000 KM...ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAIIMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GIL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.0 WEST. GIL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM... FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. THE FORECAST TRACK KEEPS GIL OVER 80 DEGREE FAHRENHEIT WATER ANDMOVING THROUGH AN AREA WITH ONLY LIGHT SHEAR. GIVEN THE CURRENTTREND IN THE APPEARANCE OF GIL ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THEGENERALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT I HAVE FORECAST A SLOWINTENSIFICATION THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/0900Z 13.3N 141.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 06/1800Z 13.2N 142.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 07/0600Z 13.2N 143.3W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 07/1800Z 13.5N 144.8W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 08/0600Z 13.8N 146.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 72H 09/0600Z 14.5N 149.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 96H 10/0600Z 14.5N 153.0W 50 KT 60 MPH120H 11/0600Z 14.5N 155.5W 50 KT 60 MPH \$\$ Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 166. Civicane49 10:14 AM GMT on August 06, 2013 Quoting 164. trHUrrIXC5MMX:isued: Aug 05, 2013 11:00 pm HSTSPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKFor the central north Pacific, between 140ďż˝W and 180.1. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu Hawaii is issuing advisories on tropical storm Gil, located about 1035 miles east-southeast of Hilo Hawaii, under AWIPS header TCPCP2 and WMO header WTPA32 PHFO. Gil was upgraded to tropical storm intensity as of 1100 pm HST.Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected through late Wednesday nightgood morning allMorning.Both Gil and Henriette should be close to my area by early next week. Might make a new blog by 10-11 am HST. Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 82 Comments: 7055
 167. trHUrrIXC5MMX 10:16 AM GMT on August 06, 2013 Quoting 166. Civicane49:Morning.Both Gil and Henriette should be close to my area by early next week. Might make a new blog by 10-11 am HST.looking forward to it...11 am HST will be 5 pm here. its currently 6:15 am here...just getting upIm surprised about Gils comeback, it may now be a long tracker Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 168. trHUrrIXC5MMX 10:17 AM GMT on August 06, 2013 Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 169. VR46L 10:47 AM GMT on August 06, 2013 Hey Max , I wish I had revised my numbers .... Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6375
 170. trHUrrIXC5MMX 10:54 AM GMT on August 06, 2013 Quoting 169. VR46L:Hey Max , I wish I had revised my numbers ....Hi Liz...you want to see your numbers? go here Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 171. trHUrrIXC5MMX 4:30 PM GMT on August 06, 2013 Well. ..Henriette may be the first one to reach cat 2...although nhc only takes it to 90 mph Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 172. trHUrrIXC5MMX 12:52 AM GMT on August 07, 2013 Good evening allSorry, I went to sleep early and missed the fun Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 173. galvestonhurricane 12:58 AM GMT on August 07, 2013 Quoting 170. trHUrrIXC5MMX:Hi Liz...you want to see your numbers? go hereMy numbers should be 16-6-3. The other numbers on the chart were a joke. Member Since: June 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 499
 174. trHUrrIXC5MMX 3:16 AM GMT on August 07, 2013 Quoting 173. galvestonhurricane:My numbers should be 16-6-3. The other numbers on the chart were a joke.So should I think everyone else's numbers were also a joke. Everyone joking around about them? Even the blogs people have done about explaining why they forecast such activity?This was NOT meant ever to be taken foolishly... Please next time be serious about it and no, I won't be changing numbers to anyone, I made countless announcements (many which were ignored) all throughout the 4 months gathering information. July 1 was the end.Please think about it for next year. Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 176. trHUrrIXC5MMX 3:55 AM GMT on August 07, 2013 What do you think my 50th blog should be about...This blog is a bit dated now and should move on. I want to write about something... But got nothingLeaving it up to you.Btw technically this is the 50th blog but you see 49 since they count blog 0 as your 1st one Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 177. originalLT 4:51 AM GMT on August 07, 2013 Hey Max, quite a story! I wouldn't worry about the 50th blog--what it should be. The weather's been kind of boring around hear lately. Just give it a little more time, I think things will "pick-up". A new blog topic will take care of itself. As for that guy wanting to change his #'s on the chart, I think you gave ample time and notice(s).--As you pointed out. If you "snooze, you lose"! Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 6836
 179. trHUrrIXC5MMX 11:21 AM GMT on August 07, 2013 Quoting 178. Bluestorm5:It's like that few times a day at Walmart... thankfully I'm done with that place.you're done? what do you mean?Gmorning everyone Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 180. trHUrrIXC5MMX 11:23 AM GMT on August 07, 2013 Quoting 177. originalLT:Hey Max, quite a story! I wouldn't worry about the 50th blog--what it should be. The weather's been kind of boring around hear lately. Just give it a little more time, I think things will "pick-up". A new blog topic will take care of itself. As for that guy wanting to change his #'s on the chart, I think you gave ample time and notice(s).--As you pointed out. If you "snooze, you lose"!strongly agreed! Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 181. trHUrrIXC5MMX 4:45 PM GMT on August 07, 2013 Im under a flood watch here..anywhere from 3-8" of rain.... peachy! Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 182. trHUrrIXC5MMX 1:00 AM GMT on August 08, 2013 Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 183. trHUrrIXC5MMX 1:06 AM GMT on August 08, 2013 Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 184. Civicane49 1:07 AM GMT on August 08, 2013 Quoting 182. trHUrrIXC5MMX:Should pass safely south of Hawaii during early next week. Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 82 Comments: 7055
 185. trHUrrIXC5MMX 1:56 AM GMT on August 08, 2013 Quoting 184. Civicane49:Should pass safely south of Hawaii during early next week.it will...you are safe Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 186. trHUrrIXC5MMX 12:00 PM GMT on August 08, 2013 Gmorning everyone. .. wet but fresh morning. I see on radar a big thunderstorm being nearly stalled over Nashville. Could pick up about 5 inches. Flashi flood warning in effect for that area. Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 187. trHUrrIXC5MMX 2:03 AM GMT on August 09, 2013 Good evening all..I'll have a blog tomorrow about the Nashville, TN flooding...That was a very unexpected thing going on there Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 188. trHUrrIXC5MMX 2:09 AM GMT on August 09, 2013 Henriettes eye is now gone on visible sat... Weakening now Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 189. trHUrrIXC5MMX 4:23 AM GMT on August 09, 2013 gnite all...im surprised how quiet my blog has gotten... well, its the way it is... Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 190. originalLT 4:25 AM GMT on August 09, 2013 Hey Max, we got very little rain here in SW CT., but NYC, NE NJ, and portions of the Lower Hudson Valley received some heavy thunderstorm action. In Rockland Co. they had some damage from a "micro-burst" that hit them with winds measured at 77mph. Trees down on houses, etc.---I see Astro is "Missing" again! Maybe too much school work. Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 6836
 191. trHUrrIXC5MMX 4:25 AM GMT on August 09, 2013 oh, this could potentially devastate Manila and be an extremely dangerous storm in China Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 192. trHUrrIXC5MMX 4:27 AM GMT on August 09, 2013 Quoting 190. originalLT:Hey Max, we got very little rain here in SW CT., but NYC, NE NJ, and portions of the Lower Hudson Valley received some heavy thunderstorm action. In Rockland Co. they had some damage from a "micro-burst" that hit them with winds measured at 77mph. Trees down on houses, etc.---I see Astro is "Missing" again! Maybe too much school work.hey LT... yeah, I got an email of a thunderstorm warning for Fairfield county...more rain to come Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 193. Astrometeor 12:38 AM GMT on August 10, 2013 Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 76 Comments: 7666
 194. trHUrrIXC5MMX 3:17 AM GMT on August 10, 2013 Good evening all..working on the Nashville blog...been too busy lately with legal stuff from NYC area where Im from besides my work... Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 195. trHUrrIXC5MMX 3:18 AM GMT on August 10, 2013 Manila better prepare for this one... could even brow bigger to the force of major hurricane equivalent to rake them there Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 196. trHUrrIXC5MMX 3:19 AM GMT on August 10, 2013 you can barely see Henriette there Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 197. trHUrrIXC5MMX 3:20 AM GMT on August 10, 2013 Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 198. trHUrrIXC5MMX 3:21 AM GMT on August 10, 2013 Quoting 193. Astrometeor:thanks Astro... what the heck happened there with this sudden major rainfall? Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 199. trHUrrIXC5MMX 3:21 AM GMT on August 10, 2013 Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 97 Comments: 13914
 200. WunderAlertBot (Admin) 3:46 AM GMT on August 10, 2013 trHUrrIXC5MMX has created a new entry.

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