Winning the chart numbers... there is an "equal" chance for all.

By: trHUrrIXC5MMX , 12:33 AM GMT on August 01, 2013

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Hurricane Scorecard 2013

Hi everyone, yes Im back to touch up with you some extra things about it, this will be about winning your prediction!

First off, note that we already have four named storms in the Atlantic Basin: Andrea, Barry, Chantal and Dorian

As you know Im the creator of the Hurricane Score Card which lists many hurricane predictions of those who participated.

This is how it's going to work...


If you think you got a number right I urge you to check the following, there are two ways of winning

1. If you submitted a range of numbers, you must get two of them right (out of the three)
2. If you submitted exact numbers, you just have to get one right (of out the three)

Submitting exact numbers have a higher chance for being wrong but you can still bingo. The greater probabilities go for those why submitted range of numbers but again, everyone has an equal chance. Im telling you, there should be many winners out of the 142 of you.
so based on the 2 ways, you can win.


For example, Im going to pick randomly 2 bloggers out of the list to give you a better understanding

a) Aussiestorm: 18-25 named storms, 9-13 hurricanes and 3-6 majors
...Aussie could only win if he gets two of the three predictions right because he did a range prediction

b) OriginalLT: 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 3 majors
...Mr. LT could only win if he gets only one of the three predictions right


lets assume the 2013 hurricane season numbers end up being 19 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 4 majors...

Aussie wins the range, 19 in 18-25 named storms AND 4 in 3-6 majors
LT wins the exact numbers, he got the prediction of 7 hurricanes right.

Its harder to nail exact numbers than a number within a range, that's why for a range prediction I want 2 of the three and not 1 like in exact number prediction.
Do you understand the rules? Tell me otherwise please.

now, the ULTIMATE WINNER will be the one who wins the entire prediction... either all exact numbers or all range. You will have a "higher regard".

Rewards, I'll make a list of all winners for display in the Main Blog, including any ultimate winners. Please congratulate them and remember that this is only for fun.

If you lose, don't worry, you can try again next year! I urge you to and those who didn't participate to do next season please!

Final Hurricane Season results... Hopefully by December the season will be over and all the storms we end up having will stay the same in the NHC PSA (Post Storm Analysis), hopefully we won't get a storm like Sandy making landfall as a 110 mph hurricane but reanalyzed as a 115 major hurricane. This is a significant change and many of you may be affected if this kind of situation happens, top which I may delay to publish the final results into next year.

Speaking of next year, on April 2nd, the poll will re-open for the new Hurricane Scorecard 2014. more info by then...


Remember, you can always find the hurricane chart under my recommended links menu to the right.


_______________________

Storm Track

Tropical Storm Flossie...
Flossie fizzled out as it neared Hawaii and the TS warnings were cancelled. Nonetheless, heavy rains and some gusty winds impacted Maui.

I would like to share with you some of the pictures Civicane49 (a fellow blogger from Honolulu) sent me. Appreciations extended to him.

From Kailua


Paia, HI


Oahu, HI


Flossie is now gone...the final advisory was written on it by the CPHC.


Hurricane Gil


Gil became a hurricane...no land threat

Thanks for reading!



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PS. This is how I say goodbye to the long J months... finally over with.
Happy August everyone!

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Quoting 145. trHUrrIXC5MMX:


not weather related...

we have PBS, CNN, FOX, ABC and countless others to do the job...


Idk...knowing the probabilities for precipitation in the Middle East is a weather task. As in, how many inches of shells and bullets are going to fall today?
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
Quoting 148. Astrometeor:


I can't tell if that thing is even rotating anymore. I wouldn't be too surprised if it started to weaken. Looks pathetic.


well, it was raised to 50 mph even though it "apparently" looks pathetic
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting 147. trHUrrIXC5MMX:
the real cyclone has a lot of garbage tstorms all around it... a bit hard to locate but you can bell by the loop



I can't tell if that thing is even rotating anymore. I wouldn't be too surprised if it started to weaken. Looks pathetic.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
the real cyclone has a lot of garbage tstorms all around it... a bit hard to locate but you can tell by the loop

Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
oh, something Larry should read...

Today for the first time I see a car on I-75 with a license plate from my dear Connecticut, and it had a frame about "New Haven".... I love that city!

New Haven is awesome, the prestigious Yale University is there!
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting 144. Astrometeor:


It's a travel warning. They are doing a public service by broadcasting that out. Any US site should, try to get word out about it. Just like how the NWS and local transportation officials coordinate Amber Alerts. Same thing.


not weather related...

we have PBS, CNN, FOX, ABC and countless others to do the job...
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting 142. trHUrrIXC5MMX:
why TWC have "news" about Al-quaeda...? how further off weather can they go..?


It's a travel warning. They are doing a public service by broadcasting that out. Any US site should, try to get word out about it. Just like how the NWS and local transportation officials coordinate Amber Alerts. Same thing.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
Quoting 141. Astrometeor:
In reply to your edit, this is why I am talking to you in your own blog. If I deemed this necessary to talk via e-mail, I would. But this meets no such criteria.


you want this to be seen I know.
I got a visit from that location already last time I checked the map loco thing map
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
why TWC have "news" about Al-quaeda...? how further off weather can they go..?
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
In reply to your edit, this is why I am talking to you in your own blog. If I deemed this necessary to talk via e-mail, I would. But this meets no such criteria.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
Quoting 139. Astrometeor:


Did you know that Shakespeare never wrote that play? It is an Italian play, that Shakespeare plagiarized and used for his own profit.

Anyways, I don't think you can compare you and Cody with the Capulets and Monatagues.

I don't care if he ever did or did not... btw
I mean about the families hate toward each other
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting 138. trHUrrIXC5MMX:


see umm, Capulets and Montagues... they hated each other to death but their "offspring" loved each other so much they died for love despite the families' issue


Did you know that Shakespeare never wrote that play? It is an Italian play, that Shakespeare plagiarized and used for his own profit.

Anyways, I don't think you can compare you and Cody with the Capulets and Monatagues.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
Quoting 136. Astrometeor:


:)

Can't move on till you two get on friendly footing again.

There's my lecture for ya. Not going to waste my breath beating on a dead horse. Just going to give it a whack every once in a while.


see umm, Capulets and Montagues... they hated each other to death but their "offspring" loved each other so much they died for love despite the families' issue

ps... keep such conversation on e-mail please, this place is ab omnibus videtur...
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting 135. Astrometeor:


Ah, the edit. I was about to say...

You don't want to improve TWC? At least make them look more presentable on TV? We can work on their meteorology skills later.


first...why? Im just a simple guy with creativity beyond his imagination (it gets better everytime...as you can see)

second... the people who design this "are supposed to be hired" because they are certified artists with software knowledge ...

third... TWC owns WU, they own my blog and Im 1000% sure they have seen my graphics...
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting 134. trHUrrIXC5MMX:


Are you going to give me a lecture...again???
let's just jump on forward


:)

Can't move on till you two get on friendly footing again.

There's my lecture for ya. Not going to waste my breath beating on a dead horse. Just going to give it a whack every once in a while.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
Quoting 131. trHUrrIXC5MMX:
EDITED!!***
A-...? what's that about? EDIT.... I got it!

me at the TWC...? my originalism will banish away... and be corrupted with their crap but indeed some maps TWC does need LOTS of improvement...

like this one...


Ah, the edit. I was about to say...

You don't want to improve TWC? At least make them look more presentable on TV? We can work on their meteorology skills later.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
Quoting 133. Astrometeor:


I haven't been lurking. Been here more often than you for a while.

"don't care". Right...


Are you going to give me a lecture...again???
let's just jump on forward
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting 132. trHUrrIXC5MMX:


you have been lurking I see

I don't care about that


I haven't been lurking. Been here more often than you for a while.

"don't care". Right...
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
Quoting 130. Astrometeor:


I wouldn't think you'd go since Cody's in there, and two have negative feelings for each other.


you have been lurking I see

I don't care about that
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting 128. Astrometeor:


Max A-, Graphic Artist at TWC.
EDITED!!***
A-...? what's that about? EDIT.... I got it!

me at the TWC...? my originalism will banish away... and be corrupted with their crap but indeed some maps TWC does need LOTS of improvement...

like this one...
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting 129. trHUrrIXC5MMX:


felt like going?
Im sorry for not asking permission "dad"


I wouldn't think you'd go since Cody's in there, and two have negative feelings for each other.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
Quoting 127. Astrometeor:
Why were you in chat?


felt like going?
Im sorry for not asking permission "dad"
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting 125. trHUrrIXC5MMX:


hmm, I have a feeling you may like the one I posted there

edit... why would I do such thing? although TWC is just down the highway here...very close


Max A-, Graphic Artist at TWC.

Edit: And yes, I did like the graphic for the winter you posted.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
Why were you in chat?
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
NHC calling for Henriette to reach 80 mph cat 1 hurricane... all based on it's current look and environment ahead, "unexpected shear" is always possible as it happens with many storms in that area

Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting 124. Astrometeor:
Ever think about sending in an art portfolio to TWC Max? You could help them out with their own graphics.


hmm, I have a feeling you may like the one I posted there

edit... why would I do such thing? although TWC is just down the highway here...very close
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Ever think about sending in an art portfolio to TWC Max? You could help them out with their own graphics.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
well, this is the work I've done this weekend on my (future winter season) snow-map... my very best creation but still half way to go...

this ornate graph took me hours to get to this point... just on the top banner, over 5 hours... thinking, improvising, calculating, trying out, deciding, measuring etc... but worth it...just looking great as it is....

take a peek... the next time you'll see it, and being fully completed, will be when a new winter storm strikes...


I also have to work on the map, lots of touch ups
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Oh man...the Atlantic is taking a rest from the many storms we've had so far... so far now in the heart months of the season NOTHING is expected this upcoming week to develop
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Today is a day important for praying. ..

Good morning everyone. .. awesome day today
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting 118. trHUrrIXC5MMX:
Astro are you done with your "exciting" homework?


APES? Nope. Got done with my AP Calculus though.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
Astro are you done with your "exciting" homework?
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
working this weekend on my snow-map for 2013-2014 winter season... yes, Im going ahead and getting prepared for.

this graph will be a ver very laborious one, I do see how I want it to look when finished.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting 115. Astrometeor:


SO I WAS RIGHT! There is something fishy going on here.

*Looks suspiciously around*

I think Max should be the one getting the drink, I'm fine. Albeit a bit parched. Anyways, I have to go, I have to get my AP Calc homework done. And then I will come back but will be working on some AP Environmental Science Homework.


something fishy... lolol.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting 114. trHUrrIXC5MMX:


there was noting false. You're just making a big deal out of nothing.. get a cold drink or something...


SO I WAS RIGHT! There is something fishy going on here.

*Looks suspiciously around*

I think Max should be the one getting the drink, I'm fine. Albeit a bit parched. Anyways, I have to go, I have to get my AP Calc homework done. And then I will come back but will be working on some AP Environmental Science Homework.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
Quoting 113. Astrometeor:


I saw the +s, I was just emphasizing the point.

What do you mean too far off track? I don't see anything wrong or false I said there.

???


there was noting false. You're just making a big deal out of nothing.. get a cold drink or something...
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting 112. trHUrrIXC5MMX:


I am, didn't you see I plussed your comments?
Thanks sir...

bw you are taking things far off track with that else you said.


I saw the +s, I was just emphasizing the point.

What do you mean too far off track? I don't see anything wrong or false I said there.

???
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
Quoting 111. Astrometeor:


*Whispers behind Max and out of his earshot*


Hmm, Max is acting all dodgy, doesn't want to explain things...strange...wonder what's wrong with him.

*Whispers stop*

Ok, fine Max. Be that way. I actually didn't know that, thought you were just too busy to come and visit.
Just be thankful I went and copied all of Blue's pics over to here so you could see them.


I am, didn't you see I plussed your comments?
Thanks sir...

bw you are taking things far off track with that else you said.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting 110. trHUrrIXC5MMX:


E-mail you what?.... there is nothing to talk about

I just don't want to go there, you know I don't go to the main blog for days sometimes.


*Whispers behind Max and out of his earshot*


Hmm, Max is acting all dodgy, doesn't want to explain things...strange...wonder what's wrong with him.

*Whispers stop*

Ok, fine Max. Be that way. I actually didn't know that, thought you were just too busy to come and visit.
Just be thankful I went and copied all of Blue's pics over to here so you could see them.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
Quoting 109. Astrometeor:
But please tell me, you can e-mail if ya want, why won't you go to the main blog???


E-mail you what?.... there is nothing to talk about

I just don't want to go there, you know I don't go to the main blog for days sometimes.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
But please tell me, you can e-mail if ya want, why won't you go to the main blog???
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
Quoting 105. Astrometeor:


Uh-oh, does Max the Teddy Bear have "issues" with the main blog again?


don't start
ASTRO!!
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
Quoting 103. trHUrrIXC5MMX:


I just don't...


Uh-oh, does Max the Teddy Bear have "issues" with the main blog again?
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
Quoting 101. Astrometeor:


Why not?


I just don't...
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
101. Astrometeor
1:08 AM GMT on August 04, 2013
Quoting 100. trHUrrIXC5MMX:


not going to the main blog sorry...


Why not?
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
100. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:06 AM GMT on August 04, 2013
Quoting 99. Astrometeor:
There have been some wicked hooks tonight on the Great Plains. Kyle posted some pictures of the radar echoes on the main blog, might have to read back a bit, start from around comment #433


not going to the main blog sorry...
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873

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About trHUrrIXC5MMX

I'm just a 21 year old weather graphic geek. Most of you know Max.

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Elevation: 86 ft
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Updated: 7:05 AM EDT on August 22, 2014
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