Major Rainfall for Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee and Florida

By: trHUrrIXC5MMX , 1:06 AM GMT on July 04, 2013

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Blog dedication: We are all one united culture, race, ethnicity and country under God. May God Bless the United States of America!

Major rainfall for the Southeastern US States.

A large disturbance located in the Gulf of Mexico, to which the NHC is giving a 10% chance of cyclogenesis, is held accountable for the major rainfall in the forecast for the southeast. Ruining people's July 4th plans completely.


The disturbance is not expected to develop into a tropical cyclone since it's located in a hostile environment; wind shear will proven any development, however, the storm will continue to generate that massive rainfall


Its possible to have rainfall rates of 2" within those heavy bands, the key is location since they will be isolated, however, if you get picked expect very heavy rain and instant flooding and big runoff.
Places in northern Georgia, eastern TN and far western SC are the best bet.


Rainfall outlook through Saturday...


To come up with my rainfall forecast I used NWS info and a blend of the following maps:

1. WPC 1-3 day rain forecast


2. TWC SE rainfall map


3. Current NWS SE Radar

Currently: Lots of rain, and heavy, is headed for Macon and Atlanta.


Current information:
Widespread flood watches

The so called "Atmospheric river", bringing up the coast rain up to NYC, even further north.

NWS Peachtree City rainfall forecast



Please avoid driving over roads covered with water, you may be severely tricked!
Stay dry and listed to updates, look up for yourself if you want instead.

More updates later



Atlanta, GA radar


HAVE AN SPECTACULAR JULY 4TH CELEBRATION... HAPPY BIRTHDAY USA!

Remember to check the final Hurricane Scorecard, over in the recommended links menu.


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Atlanta, GA


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As of 10:50 PM EDT July 4th

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99. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
2:52 PM GMT on July 07, 2013
trHUrrIXC5MMX has created a new entry.
98. originalLT
2:43 PM GMT on July 07, 2013
I'm playing tennis out doors today from 11:30am till about 1pm. At least it's doubles, don't have to run around as much as playing singles. If I don't report back in, well, you know, "I'm gone" and there's nothing anybody can do about it! Right now it's 87F, and totally sunny.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7500
97. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:35 PM GMT on July 07, 2013
The worst possible combination: over 100 degree temps AND HUMIDITY
I feel bad for all of those working outside, just horrible!
Drink lots of water, always, no matter if your boss gets angry at you...!

your health is first before all!

I'll be working out a local temp map for NYC shortly

Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
96. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:32 PM GMT on July 07, 2013
LT...

Excessive heat warning for NYC, all boroughs... not good!


NYC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
552 AM EDT SUN JUL 7 2013

...DANGEROUS LEVELS OF HEAT AND HUMIDITY ON TAP FOR TODAY...

NYZ072>075-176-178-071630-
/O.CON.KOKX.EH.W.0001.130707T1600Z-130708T0000Z/
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
552 AM EDT SUN JUL 7 2013

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...THE FIVE BOROUGHS OF NEW YORK CITY.

* HAZARDS...EXCESSIVE HEAT.

* HEAT INDEX VALUES...UP TO 105 DUE TO TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE
90S...
AND DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S.

* TIMING...TODAY...WITH THE HOTTEST CONDITIONS OCCURRING IN THE
AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE POPULATIONS WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO ADVERSE
HEALTH EFFECTS.

___

SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD COUNTY; Stamford, Norwalk and Bridgeport

552 AM EDT SUN JUL 7 2013

...DANGEROUS LEVELS OF HEAT AND HUMIDITY ON TAP FOR TODAY...

CTZ009-NYZ069>071-177-179-071630-
/O.COR.KOKX.HT.Y.0004.130707T1600Z-130708T0000Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
552 AM EDT SUN JUL 7 2013

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A HEAT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND WESTERN LONG
ISLAND.

* HAZARDS...HEAT.

* HEAT INDEX VALUES...UP TO 103 DUE TO TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER
90S...
AND DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S.

* TIMING...TODAY...WITH THE HOTTEST CONDITIONS OCCURRING DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
95. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:25 PM GMT on July 07, 2013
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
94. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:18 PM GMT on July 07, 2013
Quoting 92. Astrometeor:


Hope you feel better when you wake up buddy.


thanks Astro...
feeling better than expected today

Good morning all.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
93. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:16 PM GMT on July 07, 2013
Im starting to see development out of this 95L... not a good thing
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
92. Astrometeor
5:04 AM GMT on July 07, 2013
Quoting 90. trHUrrIXC5MMX:
Gnite everyone... Im about to get sick since I was sweating somewhat and went outside when raining, I knew I shouldn't but had to.

getting some pills, hot chocolate and warm bed..
Gnitw


Hope you feel better when you wake up buddy.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
91. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:26 AM GMT on July 07, 2013
one last thing...

near Rome, GA
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
90. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:19 AM GMT on July 07, 2013
Gnite everyone... Im about to get sick since I was sweating somewhat and went outside when raining, I knew I shouldn't but had to.

getting some pills, hot chocolate and warm bed..
Gnitw
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
89. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:05 AM GMT on July 07, 2013
GWINNETT COUNTY
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
88. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:03 AM GMT on July 07, 2013
FULTON COUNTY - ATLANTA
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
87. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:03 AM GMT on July 07, 2013
Today's report... there's gotta be be a higher number for the eastern side of the county

COBB COUNTY
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
86. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:59 AM GMT on July 07, 2013
This is no joke!
brings back memories when I was doing the snowfall forecasts...

RAINFALL UP TO DATE

My town is close to 6"
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
85. trHUrrIXC5MMX
11:54 PM GMT on July 06, 2013
Invests in such location are dangerous, if they turn out to be monsters but this little thing "aint gonna", bears watching still

Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
84. Astrometeor
7:52 PM GMT on July 06, 2013
Boeing 777 lost its tail fin upon an attempt to land at San Francisco International Airport (SFO).

News just broke 20 minutes ago.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
83. trHUrrIXC5MMX
5:35 PM GMT on July 06, 2013
Quoting 81. Astrometeor:


That's all Mexico's good at....other than jumping fences. Besides, when we do beat Mexico, they cry and throw tantrums about it.


I didn't like that... at all sir...
Talk to you tomorrow.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
82. Astrometeor
5:32 PM GMT on July 06, 2013
Quoting 80. trHUrrIXC5MMX:


And I went to sleep soon after I told you to "leave, get out" (lol)
So yeah


Again, like I said in chat, stop making yourself feel better, only makes things worse.

Mexico is a moderately-good soccer team, if I was betting, I would take Brazil for the next World Cup.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
80. trHUrrIXC5MMX
5:24 PM GMT on July 06, 2013
Quoting 78. Astrometeor:


You are welcome buddy.

I was going to come back on last night, but my little brother got to the computer first. So, I wound up watching USA destroy Guatemala in soccer.


And I went to sleep soon after I told you to "leave, get out" (lol)
So yeah
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
78. Astrometeor
3:43 PM GMT on July 06, 2013
Quoting 77. trHUrrIXC5MMX:
Thanks Nathan


You are welcome buddy.

I was going to come back on last night, but my little brother got to the computer first. So, I wound up watching USA destroy Guatemala in soccer.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
77. trHUrrIXC5MMX
3:36 PM GMT on July 06, 2013
Thanks Nathan
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
76. Astrometeor
3:36 PM GMT on July 06, 2013
Here's a better look at the warnings, and Dalila is just a little TD a-swirling away out there.

Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
75. Astrometeor
3:32 PM GMT on July 06, 2013
Visible Loop:

Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
74. Astrometeor
3:31 PM GMT on July 06, 2013
Erick is now a hurricane.



Hurricane watches are posted, and tropical storm watches have been posted for southern Baja.

Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
73. trHUrrIXC5MMX
10:43 AM GMT on July 06, 2013
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
72. originalLT
1:11 AM GMT on July 06, 2013
Just for "giggles" checked the straight line distance from Marietta to Norwalk CT. it is , 785.71 miles!
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7500
71. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:51 AM GMT on July 06, 2013
Quoting 70. originalLT:
Max, just went to one of my favorite reference web sites, --distancefromto.net--. you just type in the names of two cites and their states you want to check the straight line distance between, and it gives you a map and the distance in miles and kilometers. I think it said that Marietta was 16.88 miles from downtown Atlanta.


yep, you get to Atlanta in 10 mins from here
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
70. originalLT
12:49 AM GMT on July 06, 2013
Max, just went to one of my favorite reference web sites, --distancefromto.net--. you just type in the names of two cites and their states you want to check the straight line distance between, and it gives you a map and the distance in miles and kilometers. I think it said that Marietta was 16.88 miles from downtown Atlanta.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7500
69. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:43 AM GMT on July 06, 2013
we cant take this no more...

Flood Watch
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
251 PM EDT FRI JUL 5 2013

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-030>035-041>045-052>05 5-066-067-060300-
/O.NEW.KFFC.FA.A.0009.130706T0000Z-130707T1200Z/
/O.CON.KFFC.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-130706T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILME R-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLO YD-BARTOW-
CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-POLK-PAULDING -COBB-
NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-HARALSON-CARROLL-DOUGLAS-
SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-TROUP-M ERIWETHER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND...
ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE...MARIETTA...ATLANTA...
LAWRENCEVILLE...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT...
DECATUR...NEWNAN...PEACHTREE CITY
251 PM EDT FRI JUL 5 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA.

* FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

* A PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
WILL CONTINUE TO BRING ABUNDANT MOISTURE TO NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

* ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES APPEAR LIKELY THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OVER 3 INCHES POSSIBLE
. THESE
AMOUNTS...COMBINED WITH THE HEAVY RAIN THAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN...
MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA. LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING CANNOT BE RULED OUT...HOWEVER...AFTER SEVERAL DAYS
OF PERSISTENT RAINFALL THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE MORE WIDESPREAD
FLOODING OF CREEKS...RIVERS AND LOW-LYING AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR
LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE
LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
68. originalLT
12:41 AM GMT on July 06, 2013
Sorry Max missed your post # 66, see you are in Marietta.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7500
67. originalLT
12:39 AM GMT on July 06, 2013
Just looked at the Atlanta radar, and again some real heavy showers are moving right towards you Max. BTW, what city or town are you in or near now, in the Atlanta area?
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7500
66. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:37 AM GMT on July 06, 2013
In my city of Marietta, GA
Over 4" of rain have been measured

which is in good accordance with this


You can see nearly 10" of rain in certain places under red... crazy!
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
65. originalLT
12:35 AM GMT on July 06, 2013
And I agree with you 100% Max, they should just start the "INVEST" #'s at 1L and move right on up to 90L or 99L even, makes much more common sense. But I guess "Common Sense" is not so common!
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7500
64. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:34 AM GMT on July 06, 2013
Another big downpour just rushed by...
more to come....

I need to go to Robs Ark now...
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
63. originalLT
12:31 AM GMT on July 06, 2013
Yeah, real hot up here in the NYC Metro area, but in all honesty, not too bad, not like it's 100F or something, just your average July "run of the mill" heat wave.-- highs the next 3 days or so, 89-94F. I hit 92F today on my digital thermometer.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7500
62. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:31 AM GMT on July 06, 2013
Quoting 59. originalLT:
Thanks Astro and Max for confirming that I am not "crazy", well, maybe a little bit, that we had 94L already. I'll just post it, the apparent mix-up or discrepancy by the NHC and or NOAA, on my chart.


in 2011 (I think), they were like half way up the invest count when they decided to start from 90L again... very weird
but not the first time they do these counting errors
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
61. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:30 AM GMT on July 06, 2013
Quoting 55. Astrometeor:


How did you spell ROFL-LOL wrong? lawlz


I did it purposely... spelling inspector
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
60. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:29 AM GMT on July 06, 2013
Quoting 56. Astrometeor:
Did they (NWS) raise the amount forecast?



EVEN MORE RAIN!!!!!!!
WTH!!!!
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
59. originalLT
12:28 AM GMT on July 06, 2013
Thanks Astro and Max for confirming that I am not "crazy", well, maybe a little bit, that we had 94L already. I'll just post it, the apparent mix-up or discrepancy by the NHC and or NOAA, on my chart.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7500
58. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:24 AM GMT on July 06, 2013
Tropical Atlantic

Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
57. Astrometeor
12:18 AM GMT on July 06, 2013
Quoting 54. trHUrrIXC5MMX:
I invite you to the chat sir.


Sure thing senorita.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
56. Astrometeor
12:17 AM GMT on July 06, 2013
Did they (NWS) raise the amount forecast?

Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
55. Astrometeor
11:58 PM GMT on July 05, 2013
Quoting 53. trHUrrIXC5MMX:


ROLFLOL!!!

I knew you were going to say something like that...gotcha!!!
LOL


How did you spell ROFL-LOL wrong? lawlz
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
54. trHUrrIXC5MMX
11:55 PM GMT on July 05, 2013
I invite you to the chat sir.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
53. trHUrrIXC5MMX
11:51 PM GMT on July 05, 2013
Quoting 52. Astrometeor:


I hope Atlanta drowns.


ROLFLOL!!!

I knew you were going to say something like that...gotcha!!!
LOL
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
52. Astrometeor
11:50 PM GMT on July 05, 2013
Quoting 50. trHUrrIXC5MMX:


that's why... LOL

LOLOL


I hope Atlanta drowns.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
51. Astrometeor
11:49 PM GMT on July 05, 2013
Dalila is just one sheared t-storm now.
&
T.S. Erick

Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226
50. trHUrrIXC5MMX
11:48 PM GMT on July 05, 2013
Quoting 49. Astrometeor:


WHAT?! That's not fair. What happens if he never does?


that's why... LOL

LOLOL
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
49. Astrometeor
11:47 PM GMT on July 05, 2013
Quoting 48. trHUrrIXC5MMX:


I'll answer to you after Yakuza does.


WHAT?! That's not fair. What happens if he never does?
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10226

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About trHUrrIXC5MMX

I'm just a 21 year old weather graphic geek. Most of you know Max.

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Cranbury
Norwalk, CT
Elevation: 86 ft
Temperature: 74.5 °F
Dew Point: 68.3 °F
Humidity: 81%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 4.0 mph
Updated: 11:21 AM EDT on August 21, 2014
Park Slope, Brooklyn, NY 11215
Brooklyn, NY
Elevation: 95 ft
Temperature: 64.4 °F
Dew Point: 57.0 °F
Humidity: 77%
Wind: 3.8 mph from the ESE
Wind Gust: 3.8 mph
Updated: 7:43 PM EDT on June 11, 2014
Eagle Ridge
Marietta, GA
Elevation: 1170 ft
Temperature: 81.6 °F
Dew Point: 71.7 °F
Humidity: 72%
Wind: 1.0 mph from the NNW
Wind Gust: 8.0 mph
Updated: 11:21 AM EDT on August 21, 2014

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