2014 Hurricane Season. Give in your predictions!

By: trHUrrIXC5MMX , 1:36 PM GMT on March 31, 2014

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Update: April 4 at 3:35 AM
Severe thunderstorms across the Lower Mississippi River overnight into the morning today


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HURRICANE SCORECARD

Hello everyone from WU!
Im happy to announce that today is the official day in which the poll opens for you to give in your prediction for the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.
One more time I would like to serve you keeping up with a list of the bloggers who are wishing to participate.

Last year 142 of you tried and 15 of those were winners. Let's go for another try since last hurricane season was a bit deceiving for me and many forecasting big.
Please read through the information below as there are some important points regarding the easy process.



I hope it's understandable and clear the message for you, as said in the graphic above this is a team effort. I would like you to take your time to give the right forecast. The time is long for you to do so.

You have THREE MONTHS of room for your predictions to be in, even if you want an update of it to be there as well there is time.

Disclaimers:

Please remember that sometimes I may not be around the main blog to catch your predictions for those wanting to be listed so please come to my blog and drop them here. I will surely see them and list you!

I'll be going around from this time on catching as many as I can everywhere outside this blog, IF yours prediction is missing it means i did not see it or you don't want to be included.

The pool closes on July 1. I won't add in or update your forecast after this date because it could be considered cheating and unfair for the other buddies.

I may drop you if you seek constant update of your forecast... this may make me tired of if you try to do so. It's not fair for others who want to join in for the first time and someone taking the time away just for themselves.

Don't worry! I have some friend here who will also go out and search for those predictions I may miss listing.

Every 2 weeks expect an update to the list. Again if I miss your prediction please come in and leave a note in the comment section below.
The scorecard will be updated at the beginning and middle of the month.


WHO WINS?

Same process as last year, take a look below:



I will take my time to designate a winner, trust me, I won't do a mistake about this for you.

If we run into a situation where a storm is possibly stronger than it actually was, like Sandy (designated a major hurricane port facto) then we have to hold the announcement to the winners next year until the National Hurricane Center issues the Post Storm Analysis on the storm. This may be delayed for a while.

For now let's just have fun and enjoy this second try you have! For those who won last year this is your second chance for a double win!!

The new look of "THE SCORECARD".
I took my time to design a new scorecard for you, this time yo won't be listed in alphabetical order as I did last year but in the order I get your predictions.

You will be given a reference number which will also appear on the chart next to your name. When the list becomes too long and it turns a bit difficult to find people I will track you by this reference number. I hope you can remember it.

There are four predictions already listed, myself is included.
Please feel free to join.



I hope I can break last year's 142 predictions.

More information coming later. But this is pretty much how it's going to work. "Lets have a fun long ride once again towards the hurricane season!"



Thanks for visiting! Feel free to leave a comment below.

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Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 168 - 118

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4Blog Index

168. PedleyCA
11:08 PM GMT on April 26, 2014
Hey Max, Since your asking I am going with 9-3-1. I see BayouBug just took my choice, just have to share those with me.
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6253
167. FLCrackerGirl
10:16 PM GMT on April 26, 2014
Max, Thanks for doing the Hurricane Scorecard again this year!

My wholly unscientific guess is 13 Named Storms, 6 Hurricanes & 3 Majors.
Member Since: August 12, 2004 Posts: 47 Comments: 597
166. MaxWeather
9:21 PM GMT on April 26, 2014
Quoting 551. GTstormChaserCaleb:

Hey Max I'm thinking about going with 10/5/2 (not official) I have to look at some things first. Leaning towards a season like 1970. There will be at least 1 major hurricane this season, you can bank on that or I will eat all the blog's crow.
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 32 Comments: 1427
165. MaxWeather
3:08 AM GMT on April 22, 2014
Quoting 164. nigel20:

Hi Max!

In light of the possible or should i say impending El Nino, i'm going with: 10 named storms, 4 hurricanes and 2 Major hurricanes.


Hey Nigel... I caught you... thanks!
42nd listed
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 32 Comments: 1427
164. nigel20
7:27 PM GMT on April 21, 2014
Hi Max!

In light of the possible or should i say impending El Nino, i'm going with: 10 named storms, 4 hurricanes and 2 Major hurricanes.
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 12 Comments: 8488
163. NativeSun
12:58 PM GMT on April 13, 2014
Hi Max, my prediction for the 2014 hurricane season is 14-15 named storms, 6 to 8 hurricanes, and 3 to 4 majors, The reason for this forecast, I believe the El-Nino will be weak to moderate and won't arrive until the fall season. I also think the MDR will warm to normal or slightly above as the summer approaches and vertical instability will be near normal.
Member Since: July 17, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 295
162. trHUrrIXC5MMX
11:23 AM GMT on April 10, 2014
Good morning people.
Such a nice day today.., but cold.

Currently 33F
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
161. trHUrrIXC5MMX
12:39 AM GMT on April 09, 2014
Quoting 160. Hurricane4Caster:
Hey Max,

This year I'm going to forecast these numbers:

9 – 12 Named Storms,
Of those storms, 2 – 4 Hurricanes,
And of those hurricanes, 0 – 2 Major Hurricanes.

With what appears to be an El-Nino - a strong one at that - on the way, I'm being very conservative with my forecast this time around.

Thanks and keep up the good work!


Ok... I have you up now...
you're the 27th... thanks
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
160. Hurricane4Caster
12:36 AM GMT on April 09, 2014
Hey Max,

This year I'm going to forecast these numbers:

9 – 12 Named Storms,
Of those storms, 2 – 4 Hurricanes,
And of those hurricanes, 0 – 2 Major Hurricanes.

With what appears to be an El-Nino - a strong one at that - on the way, I'm being very conservative with my forecast this time around.

Thanks and keep up the good work!
Member Since: February 28, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 54
159. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
7:10 PM GMT on April 05, 2014
trHUrrIXC5MMX has created a new entry.
158. trHUrrIXC5MMX
5:04 PM GMT on April 05, 2014
Good afternoon all

I how have 26 people listed for the 2014 season.
As of now I have nearly 1/5 the amount I had for last year (142 predictions)
the list will keep growing and growing
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
157. trHUrrIXC5MMX
5:03 PM GMT on April 05, 2014
Hey P... thanks
We here just have fun predicting the hurricane season activity as NOAA, Accuweather, WSI, TSR, etc...
Some bloggers here do try to be a little more sophisticated about it. You will see.


You are the 26th on the list.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
156. trHUrrIXC5MMX
5:01 PM GMT on April 05, 2014
Heavy rains from New Orleans - Jackson - Birmingham and Atlanta...
Over half a foot of rain... likely flooding

Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
155. Pcroton
4:15 PM GMT on April 05, 2014
Never got heavy rain down south here. SPC really overplayed that event even after they downgraded it.

Looks like Monday night into Tuesday morning supports a heavy slug of moisture for NJ, NYC, SE CT. All models have the same pocket of heavy rain moving in.



===================
As for the hurricane guessing game. Does anyone actually put a lot of effort into it? Or is this just a hunch and or guessing. What's the most effort? "If El Nino then..." ????

Honestly even the experts are a disaster most of the time with these predictions.

With that said here's a random guess for the fun of it.

14/4/2

Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 72 Comments: 12746
154. Pcroton
4:13 PM GMT on April 05, 2014
Chile still rumbling away. Oklahoma with a swarm. Both maps filtered for just today.





Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 72 Comments: 12746
153. originalLT
2:45 PM GMT on April 05, 2014
Wound up with, 0.23" of rain yesterday and last night.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 8010
152. trHUrrIXC5MMX
4:30 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
Quoting 149. originalLT:
Had a roofing guy come over, it appears that the "flat" roof over the garage is the problem, He's sending me an estimate to ,one, either patch it, or two, put a whole new one on. The main large roof over most of the house is still OK.


Hmm, depending, you should get the new one
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
151. trHUrrIXC5MMX
4:29 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
Gnite Larry
Off to bed too. Heavy rain now.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
150. originalLT
4:24 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
Hitting the hay, G'nite Max.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 8010
149. originalLT
4:15 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
Had a roofing guy come over, it appears that the "flat" roof over the garage is the problem, He's sending me an estimate to ,one, either patch it, or two, put a whole new one on. The main large roof over most of the house is still OK.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 8010
148. originalLT
4:13 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
Last line of showers coming thru right now, you should get them in 5-10 mins., Max.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 8010
147. trHUrrIXC5MMX
4:05 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
2 More skywarn classes for the NWS NYC area added...

May 14 at 7 PM in North Caldwell, NJ at the firemen's community center
May 15 at 6 PM in West Point, NY at the US Military academy
-

Im going on April 29 to west Uconn for mine in Danbury
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
146. trHUrrIXC5MMX
4:02 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
145. trHUrrIXC5MMX
3:59 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
so what happened with that ceiling there Larry?
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
144. trHUrrIXC5MMX
3:57 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
Quoting 141. originalLT:
Beautiful sunrise or sunset , Max, From Columbia?

yeah, its from Columbia, somewhere... it wasn't specified
the picture was taken from the local airport.

Maybe next year I may do that about only exact numbers
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
143. originalLT
3:57 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
I'll check in with my totals in the morning.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 8010
142. trHUrrIXC5MMX
3:55 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
141. originalLT
3:55 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
Beautiful sunrise or sunset , Max, From Columbia?
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 8010
140. originalLT
3:53 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
I agree with BB(post# 134), but it's your contest, you make the rules, Max. It's your, "baby"! And a good one too, very popular.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 8010
139. trHUrrIXC5MMX
3:52 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
Sunset in Columbia, ___ ??


via twitter
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
138. trHUrrIXC5MMX
3:51 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
22s

Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
137. trHUrrIXC5MMX
3:50 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
Oh great job!

05W

Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
136. trHUrrIXC5MMX
3:38 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
Quoting 134. BaltimoreBrian:
I still think it should be exact and not a range. I had the balls to be exact!

LOL...
I give them the freebie.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
135. trHUrrIXC5MMX
3:37 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
Quoting 133. yahoo201027:


My Prediction for the 2014 Hurricane Season calls for 9-12 Named Storms, 3-5 Hurricanes, and 1-3 Major

Thanks...
Your number is 25
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
134. BaltimoreBrian
3:34 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
I still think it should be exact and not a range. I had the balls to be exact!
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 8918
133. yahoo201027
3:32 AM GMT on April 05, 2014


My Prediction for the 2014 Hurricane Season calls for 9-12 Named Storms, 3-5 Hurricanes, and 1-3 Major
Member Since: May 14, 2013 Posts: 28 Comments: 8
132. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:30 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
Yeah Larry I was like dying last night from that darn thing... whatever it was it really made me feel like trash
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
131. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:29 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
IL... thanks. #22
Hey captain. #23

Hey Dakster. You want the singles or the range?
ACE IS A HARD ONE TO COLLECT FROM EVERYONE...
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
130. Dakster
12:31 AM GMT on April 05, 2014
You should add ACE for a tie breaker... just a thought.

Single: 12 - 3 - 1

Range: 9-13, 2-6, 0 - 3

--

Now that everyone is predicting a below average season, watch it be one of the most active seasons out there...
Member Since: March 10, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 10811
129. originalLT
11:33 PM GMT on April 04, 2014
Glad you are feeling better Max. Those type of "bugs" can really knock you out, make one feel miserable. I see there was another "meeting" of fellow WU people--Nathan and Bluestorm5. Hope to see you again soon. Just continue to feel better.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 8010
128. captainmark
11:07 PM GMT on April 04, 2014
Hey Max,

Put me down for 8-3 and 1 with the "G" storm
being the major for bonus points.

Mark.
Member Since: August 27, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 100
127. ILwthrfan
10:49 PM GMT on April 04, 2014
Probably going to be a rather slow year with El Nino on the horizon, but we shall see. Put me down for 10-3-1.
Member Since: February 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1540
126. Bluestorm5
10:43 PM GMT on April 04, 2014
Well, that was interesting. Nathan managed to get my attention by telling me where on campus he and his mom was via Twitter (!!!!!!). Nathan was little shorter than I imagine him to be and little soft with his voice. I think he was little shell shocked by meeting me in person because he was little shy :P I'll admit I was little shy too haha. His mom is a very nice lady too. As his mom told me and Nathan, what a small world we live in!
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 8075
125. trHUrrIXC5MMX
9:55 PM GMT on April 04, 2014
Quoting 123. wxgeek723:
Hey Max

Giving this one a shot.
12-4-1

Alright weather geek... Thanks
You're the 21st listed
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
124. trHUrrIXC5MMX
9:54 PM GMT on April 04, 2014
Quoting 122. Bluestorm5:


Trust me, I know how to use the "magic wand" and setting up layers :) That's how I got the gradients going on my graphics. It just that when I used the magic wand on a county in NC, it highlighted the whole state rather than one county since the program mistaken light gray lines for white. Paint.NET is very good at making the graphics look clean and sharp by "seeing" different shades of same color into one color. However, because of that... light gray get mistaken as white.


Ok ok,you know how to deal with it. Good!
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
123. wxgeek723
9:21 PM GMT on April 04, 2014
Hey Max

Giving this one a shot.
12-4-1
Member Since: August 28, 2008 Posts: 79 Comments: 3714
122. Bluestorm5
9:03 PM GMT on April 04, 2014
Quoting 121. trHUrrIXC5MMX:
That map works best in photoshop.
You can change the color, add shadows, removed things, add, etc.
Even the coastline it does and the big thing many people can't do when mapping is the layer overlay and most importantly is the clipping mask

You can do is with that...so easy



Trust me, I know how to use the "magic wand" and setting up layers :) That's how I got the gradients going on my graphics. It just that when I used the magic wand on a county in NC, it highlighted the whole state rather than one county since the program mistaken light gray lines for white. Paint.NET is very good at making the graphics look clean and sharp by "seeing" different shades of same color into one color. However, because of that... light gray get mistaken as white.
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 8075
121. trHUrrIXC5MMX
8:49 PM GMT on April 04, 2014
That map works best in photoshop.
You can change the color, add shadows, removed things, add, etc.
Even the coastline it does and the big thing many people can't do when mapping is the layer overlay and most importantly is the clipping mask

You can do is with that...so easy

Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
120. trHUrrIXC5MMX
8:45 PM GMT on April 04, 2014
Hey guys... I know Larry was asking where I was yesterday since I didn't post here, well I. Got really sick at work n had to drive home. My fever was rising and my stomach was crushing on itself. I didn't go to the hospital but was very close to.

It was from noon yesterday on this happened... By 4-8 the worst pain... Until 9 something mom went to the pharmacy to but something I never tried before and it helped a lot.
It was by midnight today when it was slowly easing. By 3 am I was smiling again.

I didn't sleep at all last night but I don't feel sleepy which is weird. I was able to go back to work today. I'm just tiered from that.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
119. Bluestorm5
8:44 PM GMT on April 04, 2014
Quoting 118. trHUrrIXC5MMX:
Hey blue


Whawww? You are going to meet the messy-room guy they call Nathan?
That's big news, are you wearing your suit n tie? It's a special occasion, gotta look classy for.

Lol

I might get to find some of you later in your universities... I plan to do a lot of traveling in the future.


I'm happy you got the big map as a good tool for your graphics... Can't wait to see one of those room out for us to see.
I thought you missed seeing my post about it but good you didn't.


Yeah, I'm having hard time using that map for Paint.NET because the program keep mistaking gray lines for white. I ended up finding something else, but I bookmarked the map so I can work on that map this summer. That map is very well detailed and I love it.
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 8075
118. trHUrrIXC5MMX
8:37 PM GMT on April 04, 2014
Hey blue


Whawww? You are going to meet the messy-room guy they call Nathan?
That's big news, are you wearing your suit n tie? It's a special occasion, gotta look classy for.

Lol

I might get to find some of you later in your universities... I plan to do a lot of traveling in the future.


I'm happy you got the big map as a good tool for your graphics... Can't wait to see one of those room out for us to see.
I thought you missed seeing my post about it but good you didn't.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873

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I'm just a 21 year old weather graphic geek. Most of you know Max.

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