Storms later then much cooler; warm-up by late week

By: sullivanweather , 10:38 AM GMT on August 18, 2008

Warnings, advisories and storm reports during the previous 72 hours. Click on map to view individual reports.

storm reports

Northern New England storm reports


Current watches, warnings and advisories.

Eastern US current watches/warnings


Regional Forecast

Synopsis - Issued 8/18 @6:30am

A vigorous shortwave trough will move across Ontario and Quebec on Monday and Tuesday, dropping a strong cold front into the Northeast. Showers and thunderstorms will accompany the frontal passage and much cooler air will filter in behind it. Surface high pressure settles over the region Tuesday night delivering a very chilly late summer night. This high will slowly translate offshore by Thursday as heights build aloft and temperatures moderate. By Friday into the weekend the heat and humidity builds to mid summer-like readings with chances for convection increasing by Saturday night and especially Sunday and Monday as the next trough approaches.

Short-term - Issued 8/18 @6:30am

A lone thundershower over Lake Erie may come ashore along the Pennsylvania-New York border early this morning but as for everyone else Monday should begin as a fine day with mostly sunny skies. Some patchy valley fog will be present but should quickly burn off by mid morning. Temperatures should rise rather quickly into the upper 70’s to mid 80’s by noon under nearly full sun, 12-16°C 850mb temps and mixing to about that level. A few locations may top out near 90°F across the urban corridor of New Jersey with some downsloping. Most other locales outside of the higher terrin will top out in the 80’s. Meanwhile, a sharp trough over Ontario will send a strong cold front towards the region. Areas along the US-Canadian border will be in the right rear entrance region of a developing 90-100kt jet streak @300mb over Quebec. Upper divergence will enhance the broad scale ascent ahead of the approaching trough, thanks in part to a strong shot of PVA. At the surface, moisture pooling ahead of the front combined with the warm airmass over the region will push surface based CAPE values over 1,000J/kg. Surface frontal boundary will initiate storms over Canada during the afternoon hours and slide southeastwards towards the US side of the border by evening. In addition, height falls eroding the northern and western flank of the cap over the region will allow storms to develop over the higher terrain and move eastwards. Winds aloft will increase dramatically during the course of the day. Strong unidirectional flow increases to 40-60kts @500mb, 30-40kts at 850mb by evening. Storms will easily be able to transfer these strong winds to the surface. Initial formation of storms should be cellular in nature but as evening approaches bulk shear will rise to 30-35kts so storms will organize into bowing line segments, especially along the actual cold front. Precipitable water values will range from 1.25-1.5” so any training or back-building of storms may result in flash flooding. Drier times over the past couple days has allowed more of a cushion to flash flooding over New England but the soil still remains wet. The cold front continues southeastward into the region during the overnight as storms weaken with the loss of heating. The warm moist airmass ahead of the front combined with cloud cover will hold up temperatures in the 70’s for the most part. Along and behind the front, precipitation will cool things into the 50’s and low 60’s. Some clearing will occur late that may push temperatures along the US-Canadian border down into the 40’s. A cool crisp breeze will follow in behind the front.

The front continues through the region on Tuesday without the same fanfare as today as the upper support for the system moves well northeast of the region towards the Davis Strait. Some scattered showers and maybe a rumble of thunder will be all that’s left of the front as it clears the southern half of the region. Elsewhere it will be cooler and much less humid. 850mb temps fall all the way down to 2°C over northern Maine with the 10°C isotherm south of the New York-Pennsylvania border. A refreshing, dry northwesterly breeze will give the day an early autumn feel. Some cumulus clouds will dot the region with the greatest concentration of cloud cover over the higher terrain of northern New York and New England. It wouldn’t be surprising if a few of these cumulus clouds produce a few sprinkles or a brief heavier shower, but these will be few and far between. There will be a sharp temperature gradient across the Northeast as areas south of the front climb into the 80’s, but towards the north temperatures will range from the low 60’s to low 70’s. Some locales across the higher terrain may just remain in the 50’s! Surface high begins to build into the Northeast Tuesday night, bringing clearing skies and light winds, aside from Maine. A good night for radiational cooling, temperatures are likely to plummet into the 40’s and 50’s. It may even dip into the 30’s across sheltered valleys in the Adirondacks and may very well be chilly enough for frost if the atmosphere is able to decouple early enough in the overnight. A great night for campfires!

Mid-term - Issued 8/18 @6:30am

The surface high crests over the Northeast on Wednesday as upper heights begin to build. This will be the first day of a moderating trend that will take temperatures back to normal means by Friday. Afternoon highs are likely to approach average by Thursday but overnight lows will remain below normal until Friday with a drier airmass over the region and lengthening night. It should remain dry throughout the mid-term (Wednesday-Friday).

Long-term - Issued 8/18 @6:30am

Deep layer ridge will be over the Northeast this weekend as increasing southerly flow begins to pump increased humidity levels into an already warm airmass. 850mb temps rise to 14-17°C on Saturday and Sunday, pushing surface temperatures back towards mid-summer readings. With the increase in heat and humidity, diurnal convection will begin to be a concern, although the lack of any synoptic triggers will make for mainly isolated activity, likely terrain enhanced, outflow boundary type pulse storms. A trough will begin to approach by Sunday night and Monday that should lead to a higher concentration of activity although it is still too early to tell whether or not any severe weather will occur with the feature. This trough will also bring an end to the brief return of summer.


Tropical Update

Tropical Storm Fay

At 5:00AM EDT the center of Tropical Storm Fay was located at 25.9°N, 81.7°W along the Florida coast at Cape Romano, about 55 miles south of Fort Myers, Florida. Fay is moving towards the north-northeast around 9mph with a continuation of this heading and forward speed expected today. Maximum sustained winds are around 60mpg with higher gusts. Minimum pressure reported by reconiassance aircraft is near 989mb.

Fay’s appearance has improved over the previous 6 hours or so with the cyclone now having a well-defined CDO with the center of circulation now developing a partial eyewall on the northern semi-circle. Outflow remains poor in the southern and western quadrants but good to excellent in the northern and eastern quadrants. There’s not much time for Fay to strengthen into a hurricane, however, with the center of circulation now coming ashore. Once Fay does move ashore the cyclone should steadily weaken. In about 18-24 hours the center of Fay, whether still a tropical storm or downgraded to a depression, should emerge off the east coast of Florida over the open waters of the Atlantic. From there there’s a small window for re-strengthening to occur but the cyclone is not likely to attain hurricane strength before moving back ashore the Space Coast in 48-60 hours. In all, the cyclone stands very little chance to become a hurricane over the next three days.

The track of Fay becomes highly uncertain after 60-72 hours. A strong mid-latitude deep layer ridge will develop to the north of the cyclone following the passage of a strong cold frontal boundary that will be moving off the East Coast north of the Mason-Dixon line over the next 24 hours. The development of this high will likely slow and/or stall the cyclone either just off the east coast of Florida or just inland of the coast, halting its northward movement. Where Fay moves from there is anyone’s guess as several possibilities arise. It is possible that the high will influence a westward turn to Fay, pushing the storm across the Florida peninsula and back over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico where it will have the potential to re-strengthen, becoming a threat to the east side of the northern Gulf Coast. From there a trough dropping into the Midwest late in the week would likely pick up the storm and accelerate it to the northeast as it undergoes extra-tropical transition. Another possibility has the high not as prominent in the cyclones’ future track as Fay will still bend back towards the west but with a more northerly component. This would prevent the storm from emerging back out over the Gulf of Mexico and keep it inland over northern Florida or southern Georgia where Fay would likely become a remnant low. The good news from either scenario would be more beneficial rainfall to the Southeast as they struggle to come out of the grips of a prolonged drought.


Fay isn’t the only game in town now as a strong tropical wave with an area of low pressure along its axis (94L) is showing signs of becoming a tropical depression. The center of the low pressure is located close to 12.5°N, 36.5°W moving towards the west around 8-10kts. Overnight, convection has become consolidated around the center of circulation and the only factor likely preventing this strong disturbance from being named a depression at 5am is persistence. However, I fully expect this disturbance to be named a depression and become the next named storm over the next 18-36 hours, as environmental conditions are favorable for further development. On a side note, the blow-up of convection east of the disturbance could become the next area of interest in the coming days.

The track of this disturbance will likely be just north of due west over the next 24-48 hours then hedge more towards the west-northwest or northwest as a weakness develops in the deep layer ridge to the north of the disturbance/potential cyclone upon reaching 50-55°W. Southwesterly wind shear may become detrimental to development beyond 72 hours as an upper trough axis is progged by models to be over the eastern Caribbean at that time. Whether or not this shear will rip apart the system, assuming it develops, or further hinders development, assuming it doesn’t, is unknown this far in the future. However, the projected moderate to high shear environment will at least slow down or halt the development of this system for some time. In the long range (beyond 5 days time) the deep layer sub-tropical ridge bridging the Atlantic looks to re-establish itself, which could potentially spell trouble for land areas to the west as easterlies expand across the Atlantic basin south of 25°N.


Radar: Northeast Region Loop

NE radar


Local SST's

Northeast SST's

Current SST's off the Northeast Coast.


August Daily Weather Statistics

August 1st - 79°F/57°F....0.00"....60%
August 2nd - 75°F/59°F....0.52"....40%
August 3rd - 75°F/55°F....0.09"....50%
August 4th - 76°F/57°F....0.00"....75%
August 5th - 80°F/55°F....0.00"....60%
August 6th - 80°F/64°F....0.71"....30%
August 7th - 77°F/57°F....0.03"....40%
August 8th - 71°F/57°F....0.07"....30%
August 9th - 76°F/55°F....0.00"....70%
August 10th - 68°F/52°F....0.32"....15%
August 11th - 64°F/57°F....0.11"....10%
August 12th - 72°F/59°F....0.23"....40%
August 13th - 73°F/50°F....0.00"....65%
August 14th - 79°F/60°F....0.30"....60%
August 15th - 71°F/57°F....0.03"....20%
August 16th - 73°F/55°F....0.04"....60%
August 17th - 78°F/50°F....0.00"....80%
August 18th - 80°F/55°F....0.00"....80%
August 19th - 71°F/51°F....0.26"....40%
August 20th - 72°F/43°F....0.00"....100%

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52. sullivanweather
12:41 AM GMT on August 23, 2008
Is this happening during the early morning??

Sometimes dew builds in the gauge and will register a 0.01".
Member Since: March 8, 2007 Posts: 273 Comments: 12612
51. cchamp6
12:18 AM GMT on August 23, 2008
Well for a long while the forecast was thunderstorms and heavy rain. Now it is high and dry. NICE! Well take it. I have had to start watering the garden again though.

Funny thing with my rain gauge. I think it was so used to recording rainfall every day that it has suddenly been registering rain that isnt happening. Maybe it is bored. I think I fixed though. We shall see.
Member Since: December 21, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 2186
50. sullivanweather
6:29 PM GMT on August 22, 2008

Hey, Champ!

I don't know...

I just got home from work, myself. I should be around for the rest of the day now. Been working a lot lately.

This benign weather must've lulled everyone or something. Also, with Fay everyone is over in the tropical theme blogs and such, I gather.

I was thinking about putting out a new blog but this one seems fine for now. No changes in the forecast, though, I should update my tropical section.

Maybe later or tomorrow morning. I'll let this one ride for now.
Member Since: March 8, 2007 Posts: 273 Comments: 12612
49. cchamp6
6:16 PM GMT on August 22, 2008
I know the sun is shining, but where did everyone go?
Member Since: December 21, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 2186
48. sullivanweather
6:57 PM GMT on August 21, 2008
I'll be out at work once again today. I'll be back around 9pm.
Member Since: March 8, 2007 Posts: 273 Comments: 12612
47. TheShovler3
12:38 PM GMT on August 21, 2008
You can really tell its August. Working the fair in an open sided building. Its hot during the day and then it drops 30 degrees to the low 50's upper 40's!
Member Since: December 9, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 2579
46. charlesimages
4:44 AM GMT on August 21, 2008
Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 347 Comments: 29278
45. cchamp6
7:53 PM GMT on August 20, 2008
Yikes it was a bit chilly this morning. 41 degrees for the morning low!!!!

Not ready for that yet.
Member Since: December 21, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 2186
44. dean2007
6:33 PM GMT on August 20, 2008
How are the chances of a New England Hurricane looking now as we end August and head into September?
43. sullivanweather
8:35 AM GMT on August 20, 2008

We have some late frosts here this 'spring' too.

Alrighty, bro! Good talking with ya! I'll see ya later!

I think I'ma head out too.
Member Since: March 8, 2007 Posts: 273 Comments: 12612
42. charlesimages
8:30 AM GMT on August 20, 2008
Yeah what ever happened to those 100F days? We had ONE.. in 2007.. and that was rather disappointing too, cause we missed the severe weather LOL

Last year we had I believe 16 days 90F or warmer, no wonder I was so happy last year!

I hope you don't lose your garden Sully, you've put too much work into it for it to go to waste now! Hopefully that all stays away... far away...

LOL I had fun taking that pic.. Oh and by the way, I don't mind winter after about 1 month of it! It wouldn't be so bad if in Spring IT WAS SPRING... but unfortunately in April it's still freakin snowing!! UGGHH... we had frosts INTO JUNE...


Well bro, hate to shove off early (4:30AM) but I need to get some sleep, I have a busy day ahead of me... mainly in the form of house cleaning.. *sigh*...

I will check back here later today if you are around!!

Take care, and I enjoyed chattin with ya this evening/early AM

Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 347 Comments: 29278
41. sullivanweather
8:24 AM GMT on August 20, 2008
I don't mind the cold weather during the winter. I just don't like it during the summer.

I highly enjoy those 100 degree summer days, which seems to have all but disappeared lately. Last time I remember it being that warm was August 1-2 of 2006. Since then the warmest we've been is 94°F which we saw on June 9-10 of this summer.

A GFS run yesterday had the 0°C isothem dipping into my area on 9/5. Hopefully a bogus run. I'm not ready to give up my garden for the season as of yet.

I love that pic. hahaha

I remember when you posted it last winter during that snow
Member Since: March 8, 2007 Posts: 273 Comments: 12612
40. charlesimages
8:18 AM GMT on August 20, 2008

*cough*...yep that was me LMAO
Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 347 Comments: 29278
39. charlesimages
8:17 AM GMT on August 20, 2008
Well let's see, in Michigan we had a cold winter, a cold spring (hell we skipped spring), a cool summer (having only hit 90F ONCE..) and yeah.. Fall has to reward us LMAO

I hope La Nina sticks around for October at least man.. cause last year we were into the 70s, 80s, and even hit 90F with tornadoes.

September should shake this pattern up a bit, right now it's just boring for me! We'll see if Fay's moisture can make it to Michigan and spark something, we have that cold pool aloft too, so hail should be a main threat IF it gets here...

I just hope winter isn't that cold, I sleep with 2 blankets while wearing lounge pants and a t-shirt when its 76F in my room...

Of course...

I do remember one little detail from last winter...
Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 347 Comments: 29278
38. sullivanweather
8:10 AM GMT on August 20, 2008

I am just waiting for a surge of warmer air here this Fall, cool summers have warm falls no?

I dunno...
I guess you can consider that folklore...haha

As for what I'm expecting this winter, I think it may be somewhat similar to last winter.

La Nina is showing signs of making a comeback but not as strong as last winters. This should shift the storm track a bit further south than that of this previous winter. It should also be a little colder this winter than last, given the southward shift in storm track. Although I'm not too sure on this yet. There's still plenty of time to see how things pan out. I should have a good idea by October.
Member Since: March 8, 2007 Posts: 273 Comments: 12612
37. charlesimages
8:02 AM GMT on August 20, 2008
Yeah bro, I didn't get a chance to look at everything that you did, but I have been hearing some mixed opinions about this winter.. It's starting to worry me a bit, because I don't like the cold weather...

Yeah Asia is very warm, having been watching the Olympics.. the outdoor activities mainly.. and it's always hot and humid LOL

I am just waiting for a surge of warmer air here this Fall, cool summers have warm falls no?
Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 347 Comments: 29278
36. sullivanweather
7:57 AM GMT on August 20, 2008
Seems to me like the heat shifted from the southern hemisphere to the northern hemisphere.

The month of July had the southern hemisphere showing rather large positive anomalies. In fact, the southern hemisphere had a larger positive temperature anomaly than the northern hemispehre for the first time in over a decade.

This month the southern hemisphere is having their worst month of winter-like weather this year (I say winter-like because their winter is laughable) and the northern hemisphere is having quite a warm month overall, despite the chill across the eastern half of North America. Asia has been quite warm.
Member Since: March 8, 2007 Posts: 273 Comments: 12612
35. charlesimages
7:55 AM GMT on August 20, 2008
Global warming man, that's what is causing all this it has to be..

Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 347 Comments: 29278
34. charlesimages
7:53 AM GMT on August 20, 2008
Lots of cold air in the world right now, this winter should be one to remember...
Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 347 Comments: 29278
33. charlesimages
7:52 AM GMT on August 20, 2008
I don't black market anything, I just set things by the road for free because I am too lazy to go around and collect metals and cash them in LMFAO

I am sick of the way this country is run period, the president isn't smart enough, and the senate and congress suck, they are just money grubbing a$$es
Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 347 Comments: 29278
32. sullivanweather
7:51 AM GMT on August 20, 2008
On a weather related note:

It's currently only 44°F here right now.

There's even a chance for frost up north of here in the Adirondacks.

Waaay to early for all this...
Member Since: March 8, 2007 Posts: 273 Comments: 12612
31. sullivanweather
7:47 AM GMT on August 20, 2008
It stinks...

I'm so sick of it. I really don't know how someone can make it these days (legit too) on minimum wage if they have to drive to work...

Black market much?
Selling questionable substances that would get one in jail much?
Member Since: March 8, 2007 Posts: 273 Comments: 12612
30. charlesimages
7:41 AM GMT on August 20, 2008
LOL yeah no kidding Sully..

We need to all drive or convert our current vehicles to twin lithium ion battery packs with twin alternators to keep them an a constant state of charge, and the only time power would be sapped would be at start up..

But the government won't go for that initiative...noooo oil is too big of a business for that!

Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 347 Comments: 29278
29. sullivanweather
7:37 AM GMT on August 20, 2008
Everyone has to work harder to make up for all that money that's getting uscked out of our wallets everything we fill up our gas tanks to ((((drumroll)))) get to work!

We're spending more money just to make the same amount of money since it seems wages never go up.

Member Since: March 8, 2007 Posts: 273 Comments: 12612
28. charlesimages
7:27 AM GMT on August 20, 2008
Ehh... I'm bored tonight LOL

The leaf cleanup sounds fun, if I could bring a mower over I would (I have a bagger) oh well.. LOL

Yeah seems most people are busy these days.. I just don't get it..

I am still around a bit before I head to bed here soon..
Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 347 Comments: 29278
27. sullivanweather
7:15 AM GMT on August 20, 2008
Hey Chuck!

Everything is good here, you?

It's okay, bro!

I really haven't been around too much lately myself. First I had computer problems with the laptop and other than that I've been working a lot more as of late and I only expect this to pick up even more so as autumn commences. LOTS of leaf clean-up on the way.

Thanks for stopping by!
Member Since: March 8, 2007 Posts: 273 Comments: 12612
26. charlesimages
6:39 AM GMT on August 20, 2008
Wow I haven't talked to you in a while Sully, sorry about my absence bro!

Hope all is going well for you.

Take care

Member Since: May 25, 2006 Posts: 347 Comments: 29278
25. dean2007
3:55 AM GMT on August 20, 2008
Blog updated:Link
24. HurricaneKatrina
9:36 PM GMT on August 19, 2008
Quoting Fshhead:
You gotta see this.....
Caught On Tape: Wind Blows Kite Surfer Into Bldg.

Tooooo Much.......
Darwin Award!
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 27 Comments: 267
23. dean2007
8:27 PM GMT on August 19, 2008
You should check out my blog, that's where I have 6 of my 56 photos I took.
22. dean2007
8:27 PM GMT on August 19, 2008
We got hit by some pretty strong storms to my north. Wellfleet, MA got 1" size hail and wind damage. However I escaped with a little heavy rain and some lightning. It was the loudest thunder this year, because it was the closest to us. Very bright lightning all around. I knew we were going to get some big storms right around 1130am this morning, I knew it.
21. sullivanweather
4:11 PM GMT on August 19, 2008

It looks like there's some pretty strong storms heading right for ya.
Member Since: March 8, 2007 Posts: 273 Comments: 12612
20. TheShovler3
11:13 AM GMT on August 19, 2008
Sorry to put a plug in your blog Sully but anyone who is close come visit me at the Sugar Shack at the Dutchess County Fair! I will be tall handsome one hahaha. Just ask for steve if you'd like to meet me. I will be there with 6 other sugar makers. My syrup will be Pints in plastic jugs that have hang tags that say made in clinton corners, ny.

Anyway i have a cousin in Vero beach which could very well be where this re-emerges over the water if she makes it that far.

Garden really boomed over sunday/monday i picked 2.5 dozen tomatoes.

Storms are now rolling in the vicinity.

Member Since: December 9, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 2579
19. crowe1
11:08 AM GMT on August 19, 2008
I saw that video on the news last night.
I'm going to get a kiteboard, but not do that!
What a dumbass!!!
We only got .286" rain here. There was a pretty good lightning show last night that I tried to get on video, have to download yet.
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 15 Comments: 953
18. dean2007
10:47 AM GMT on August 19, 2008
It looks she could have been a hurricane right before landfall. 989mb suggests she could have been one. Also Sully, can you take a look at my blog and see what you think about my forecast map? I believe we could have two Tropical cyclones named within the next 48 hours.
17. Fshhead
8:25 AM GMT on August 19, 2008
Ahhhh bro I have been having a blast!!!!
Like I have told ya before when they are this minimal they are FUUUN!!!

So yea example #ONE, NOT to do in a hurricane there with the kite surfing!!! LOL
Damn fool is LUCKY to be alive. He was thrown across A1A, if there was a car coming he would have been road pizza.

Gonna hop in the shower & check back in at the 5 a.m. advisory...
Member Since: November 19, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 9960
16. sullivanweather
7:53 AM GMT on August 19, 2008

That's hilarious!!

I take it that guy will now be example #1 as to why one shouldn't kite surf during a tropical storm...

From what the camera guy said it sounded like a weak tornado tried to drop down...

Love those Fay pics! Again, I don't know what it is but I relate to those tropical storm pics. Brings back good memories for some reason. Maybe because when we get anything leftover from tropical systems it's usually that lush smelling tropical air, fast moving clouds and unusually dark skies during the daytime from the cloud thickness.

Member Since: March 8, 2007 Posts: 273 Comments: 12612
15. Fshhead
4:07 AM GMT on August 19, 2008
A few more pics from today of Fay in Miami..
Member Since: November 19, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 9960
14. Fshhead
3:35 AM GMT on August 19, 2008
You gotta see this.....
Caught On Tape: Wind Blows Kite Surfer Into Bldg.

Tooooo Much.......
Member Since: November 19, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 9960
13. dean2007
12:10 AM GMT on August 19, 2008
Thanks sully.
12. sullivanweather
10:23 PM GMT on August 18, 2008

I think the GFS is sniffing out the right path right now. I think it'll make a Port Charlotte to Naples area landfall and continue north for 12 hours or so then turn NNE or NE, perhaps emerging back out over the Atlantic.

But the ridge building in north of the cyclone should send the storm back west. I dunno what degree of latitude it will make this turn but if it happens soon enough it may just pop out back in the Gulf in about 4 days.

Either way I think Fay will be with us for at least the next several days.

Also 94L is worth keeping an eye on. Given the upcoming steering currents over the tropical Atlantic this may become of some interest in about 10 days time. Long way to go before then, though.
Member Since: March 8, 2007 Posts: 273 Comments: 12612
11. sullivanweather
10:19 PM GMT on August 18, 2008
Okay Fish! I'll talk to you later!
Member Since: March 8, 2007 Posts: 273 Comments: 12612
10. dean2007
10:16 PM GMT on August 18, 2008
What do you think Fay will do? East of Florida, west of Florida, go over Florida?
9. Fshhead
10:14 PM GMT on August 18, 2008
Allright I gotta get, I will talk to later man!!!
Member Since: November 19, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 9960
8. Fshhead
10:13 PM GMT on August 18, 2008
Yea I am getting a treat outta this one. Having a good time watching the clouds racing & the heavy rainfall. I suuuure hope my luck continues rest of the season.
Member Since: November 19, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 9960
7. Fshhead
10:12 PM GMT on August 18, 2008
This person took an awesome pic of a band. I saw some similar to that yesterday but I was heading to work & ya guessed it no freakin camera Oh Well LOL My shots were at 1st light this morning.
Member Since: November 19, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 9960
6. sullivanweather
10:11 PM GMT on August 18, 2008
The pics are awesome!

Reminds me of a tropical

I like those early morning when there's a tropical system, or most often in my case, it remnants moving in. The clouds are so dark early in the morning and it seems to take forever to get bright.

Member Since: March 8, 2007 Posts: 273 Comments: 12612
5. Fshhead
10:09 PM GMT on August 18, 2008
Sorry was gettin ready.
Yea some decent gusts & some heavy rain at times. Yea no prob getting there, if it gets bad I willl just pull over a minute, there are a fast movers LOL
Member Since: November 19, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 9960
4. sullivanweather
9:57 PM GMT on August 18, 2008
Hey Fish!

I'll go check em out!

Good luck getting there. How's the winds/rain thus far?

Get a few inches? Any 40mph gusts?
Member Since: March 8, 2007 Posts: 273 Comments: 12612
3. Fshhead
9:54 PM GMT on August 18, 2008
Hey Bro,
Had some decent cells going over today. Especially in the past hour or so. Got some pics on my blog of some of the 1st arrivers this morning. It got put in the V.I.P. photos LOL I was in shock lol Anyways getting ready to head to my bro's & will check back in later. I am gonna get some pics & vids hopefully.
Ohhhhh sorry bout the bee attack. Bet that stings a little huh?
Member Since: November 19, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 9960
2. sullivanweather
9:44 PM GMT on August 18, 2008
Hey Shovler!

Just got in from working. Had to call it quits because of a close encounter with a bees nest. I got stung quite a few times and right now my right index finger is about 3x as large as my left.

As for Fay, she was being interrupted by the upper level low which was about 100mi to her SW earlier on in the day. That low was causing southwesterly wind shear over Fay causing her to look asymmetric. Since this moring the shear has relaxed some and this is evident by the most recent flare up of convection over the center.
Member Since: March 8, 2007 Posts: 273 Comments: 12612

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Thomas is an avid weather enthusiast, landscaper and organic gardener. This blog is dedicated to Northeast and tropical weather forecasting. Enjoy!

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Mid-October snowfall

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