The East Coast Swirl...

By: stormy2008, 8:41 PM GMT on September 07, 2009

Low pressure off the coast of N.C. continues to get better organized. Frying Pan Shoals (41013) is currently reporting a pressure of 29.79, while station 41037 reports a pressure of 29.87... that's a fairly tight pressure gradient considering the distance between the buoys.It's clear from NexSat that there's a COC... the question is will the SW shear inhibit any further development?More shortly.

Updated: 8:48 PM GMT on September 07, 2009

Horrific Ike...

By: stormy2008, 11:24 PM GMT on September 12, 2008

Hurricane Ike continues to barrel towards Galveston and Houston. I expect catastropic flooding along the island and the bay, with considerable loss of life.Winds continue to increase, and it appears Ike may be trying to get his last breath... I expect him to make landfall over Galveston as a Cat 3 - winds 115-120 mph.Again... heavy loss of life is likely.

Updated: 11:25 PM GMT on September 12, 2008

Hurricane Hanna?

By: stormy2008, 1:30 AM GMT on September 06, 2008

Hanna continues to rapidly move north, and I expect she'll make a landfall between Bull Bay, SC and Wilmington, NC as a Cat 1. Hurricane. Winds 75 mph with gusts to 85 mph in an extremely small area near the center/core.Looking at buoy data, her wind field seems to be contracting. The highest wind I could find was from a ship report some 73 nm to her south, and that was 49.9 kts sustained(57 mph). Link.Hurricane Hunters are reporting a pressure of 978.7 mb at 01:09:...

Updated: 1:46 AM GMT on September 06, 2008

Hanna Heading North...

By: stormy2008, 6:57 PM GMT on September 03, 2008

As expected, Hanna has begun her north-northwest move. Interestingly, most of the models have also been shifting more to the right, now with a landfall now more likely between MYR (Myrtle Beach) and MHX (Morehead City).Here's an interesting statement from the NWS in MHX:"A DISTURBING TREND IN LATEST HURRICANE MODEL TRACK GUIDANCE (AND LATEST GFS) FOR HANNA AS A MORE SLOWLY EVOLVING SYSTEM (WHICH IS BACKED UP BY CURRENT OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS). THIS MAY EVENTUALLY LEAD...

Updated: 9:29 PM GMT on September 03, 2008

So Where's Hanna-montana heading?

By: stormy2008, 9:32 PM GMT on September 02, 2008

T.S. Hanna has continued to defy most of the models, and even the NHC at times. While she looked quite ragged earlier today, deep convection is trying to re-organize around the center of circulation (COC).The system appears to be moving towards the 'loop' that the models advertised a few days ago... I expect another 3-6 hours of a South-East drift before Hanna begins to move more towards the North, then North-East, followed by a more North to North-West jog.I expect...

Updated: 9:48 PM GMT on September 02, 2008

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