Massive Storm and Severe Weather Possible In Plains Monday

By: Shaun Tanner , 6:18 AM GMT on March 19, 2012

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As always, Weather Underground will be monitoring the progress of the storm that will be discussed in detail below. To get the most updated information on the storm, please follow @wunderground on twitter or "like" our Facebook page.

All corners of the United States will see interesting weather on Monday as an intensely strong storm moves into the Plains. If you have read my blogs before, you know I always start off looking at Weather Underground's Severe Weather Map.


Weather Underground's Severe Weather Map

The more colorful the map, the more active the weather the country will experience. So, I wanted to take each region of the country and explain what can be expected for Monday and beyond.

Southern and Central Plains

The region of the country from eastern Texas through Missouri and Kansas will likely be the hardest hit area of the country, so I will start here.

A tremendous amount of moisture will stream northward from the Gulf of Mexico into the area. When you couple this moisture with the beginning of severe season, this may turn out to be bad news. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a modate risk of severe weather in eastern Texas, and a slight chance for severe weather in surrounding areas.



This area could see typical weather associated with severe weather, including severe thunderstorms, extremely heavy rain, and tornadoes. Residents in this area should monitor local weather conditions and be prepared to take any precautions necessary to protect life and property.

This is also the same area that is under Flash Flood Watches and other Flood Watches in anticipation of a lot of rain over the next few days. The image below shows the forecast rainfall amounts for much of Monday. Note the bull's eye of heavy rain in northeast Texas and east Oklahoma. This forecast is calling for over 2.5 inches in Oklahoma, while the flood watches note that locally some areas could receive up to 6 inches of rain through Tuesday. That amount of rain falling in the area will most likely experience flooding, so please be aware of any flooded roadways and streams.



The crazy part is that this precipitation is just the beginning. Take a look a the following image, showing the 5-day precipitation for the country.



You are reading that correctly. The forecast is calling for over 10 inches of rain in a 5-day period through this week in parts of east Texas through Arkansas and southern Missouri. In addition, 8 inches is possible in Louisiana.


Intermountain West

This area includes Montana and Idaho. The center of the main storm will move out of eastern Montana and into Canada. Winter Storm Warnings are posted for much of Montana in anticipation of up to 2 feet of new snow in the mountainous areas, and up to 8 inches in the lower elevations. In addition, gusty winds up to 25 mph will blow around this newly-fallen snow, creating blizzard conditions in the state and surrounding areas.

Upper Midwest

With all of this stormy weather, you would think the warm weather in the East would be a distant memory. Not so. A warm pocket of air will move through the Dakotas and Minnesota, keeping maximum temperatures well above normal. Minneapolis will see afternoon temperatures in the mid-70s, which is 30 degrees above normal. Let me state that again. Minneapolis will see temperatures 30 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL! Likewise, Fargo, ND will also be warm. There is even the possibility that the city could experience maximum temperatures in the low 80s. That could be 40 degrees above normal. Needless to say, daily record temperatures will likely be set throughout the region.


Forecast Maximum temperatures for Monday.

Southeast and Northeast

Warm temperatures will also continue in the Southeast with widespread 70s and 80s likely. While these temperatures are not completely from left field (afternoon temperatures will be "only" 10-15 degrees above normal), the Northeast will once again experience late Spring-like weather. Normal afternoon temperatures this time of year are in the lower 50s in New York, yet the city will experience in the lower 70s. Boston will only be in the mid-60s, which is still over 10 degrees above normal.

All-in-all, it will be a very, very busy week for the country, so please prepare yourself before it is too late.

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11. WetCats
3:55 AM GMT on March 20, 2012
If this crap with 30 degrees above normal temps continues, some of us are in deep caca. Time to go north! Wayyyyy north!
Member Since: March 20, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 3
10. Patrap
8:24 PM GMT on March 19, 2012
: )
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129844
9. Sativarg
8:23 PM GMT on March 19, 2012
Quoting Patrap:
No...
Hurricanes need a Deep layered Body of 26C water to Sustain them,...
K... Thanks
I abbreviated Tropical depression wrong so I modified my question above.
Member Since: February 23, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1
8. Patrap
8:19 PM GMT on March 19, 2012
No...


Hurricanes need a Deep layered Body of 26C water to Sustain them,...




Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129844
7. Sativarg
8:17 PM GMT on March 19, 2012
What If...
If there where a large amount of moisture in place both in the atmosphere and on the ground in the Mississippi floodplain and the temperatures where above normal in say June and July, would/could a hurricane turned Tropical Depression feed of that energy and threaten the whole lower Mississippi flood plain on up the Ohio river to Indianapolis and beyond with unprecedented disaster?
Member Since: February 23, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1
6. Mandolion
6:20 PM GMT on March 19, 2012
WHAT was it those Mayans were saying?
Member Since: November 30, 2002 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
5. superman
4:39 PM GMT on March 19, 2012
Omaha has had highs of 81, 80, 75, 81, 84, 83 for the last 6 days. In a Place this far North where we usually get a couple of big Snowstorms in March, it is very unusual! The overnight lows the last three nights have been 62, 65, and 66 all record minimums! Our Normal lows are 26-27 the last few nights! The AO continues very high and positive, Overall Pattern is still above normal. We will get thunderstorms and Heavy rain the next few days. Everything is Blooming! Amazing! I Love your Article the Graphs and Charts are Fantastic!!
Member Since: March 28, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
4. VirginIslandsVisitor
2:01 PM GMT on March 19, 2012
Thanks for some very interesting reading!
Member Since: July 30, 2011 Posts: 3 Comments: 709
3. Susie77
12:23 PM GMT on March 19, 2012
Freakiest winter followed by the freakiest spring. STL has been averaging 30+ degrees above normal for the last week, more to come. :(
Member Since: April 14, 2002 Posts: 637 Comments: 560
2. nikkip00t
10:38 AM GMT on March 19, 2012
It's going to rain a lot? Welcome to Oregon! :)
Member Since: February 3, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
1. red0
6:46 AM GMT on March 19, 2012
Welp, seeing as I live in that little yellow bit in the 5 day, I'm thinking I might need to get a raincoat.

This is beginning to look exactly like it did last year. Two weeks of awesome spring weather, followed by 2-3 weeks of torrential downpours. If we get another 115 degree, no rain for 2 months dust-bowl record breaking summer, I'm doing my own personal Grapes of Wrath and getting the hell out of here.
Member Since: June 8, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 30

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About shauntanner

Shaun Tanner has been a meteorologist at Weather Underground since 2004.

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