A Personal Flood Prediction for Manitoba.

By: plapman , 11:58 AM GMT on March 13, 2013

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Today will start sunny but will see increasing cloudiness late this afternoon. The winds becoming southerly at 30 km/h late this afternoon. The high will be -7C(19F).
Tonight will be cloudy with a 30% chance of flurries this evening and after midnight. Clearing overnight. The winds will remain southerly at 30 km/h becoming light late this evening. The overnight low will be -10C(14F).
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I have a personal flood prediction to make.
With the temperature remaining below the freezing mark now that it is almost mid March and the snow pack we have with more snow in the forecast I believe it will be a fast melt. In my past experience working on Manitoba rivers the break up of the ice comes in mid April as by then the heat from the sun overcomes the cold. usually by mid March spring thaw has begun on the prairie, but not this year.
My prediction is that due to the weather conditions there will be a fast melt and flooding in low lying areas of the province. The portage Diversion will be put to use again and lake Manitoba will once again rise above it's regulated level. Even with the new outlet channel the outlet of the lake doesn't have the capacity of the input from the diversion, The Whitemud river, and the Water hen River.

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10. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
1:09 PM GMT on March 15, 2013
plapman has created a new entry.
9. masshysteria
5:50 PM GMT on March 14, 2013
Good Afternoon Tony!

Hope you're feeling better day by day and that wintry scene in your webcam will soon be replaced by some pleasant spring greenery! Guess quite a few of us are stuck in this miserably cold, chilly monotonous weather pattern for awhile. Hope April will yield us far better results with no accompanying flood hazards!
Member Since: June 21, 2006 Posts: 59 Comments: 7581
8. unclemush
5:30 PM GMT on March 14, 2013
Hi Tony.We haven't started spring thaw either.The long range forecast from the HPC is cooler and wetter.That's the 8 thru 14 days out.
Member Since: July 7, 2001 Posts: 59 Comments: 13166
7. GardenGrrl
4:41 PM GMT on March 14, 2013
Hi, what's all that white stuff?
Member Since: March 25, 2007 Posts: 244 Comments: 8877
6. Alleyoops
1:51 PM GMT on March 14, 2013
Good morning Tony. No worry about flooding here this spring. We have had too many thaws between snowfalls for it to really accumulate. Just stay safe in Portage. Let's hope it is a slow thaw so flooding is at a minimum. Thinking of you.
Member Since: April 18, 2007 Posts: 190 Comments: 29409
5. Ylee
2:41 AM GMT on March 14, 2013
Hi, Tony! With all the snow that's fallen up there this winter, I had a feeling there may be some flooding in the spring. I hope it's not too bad, though!

Take care!
Member Since: February 3, 2011 Posts: 86 Comments: 14543
4. Alleyoops
4:10 PM GMT on March 13, 2013
Good afternoon Tony. Have a great day. Hope your taking care of yourself and not overdoing anything.
Member Since: April 18, 2007 Posts: 190 Comments: 29409
3. masshysteria
3:57 PM GMT on March 13, 2013
Good Morning, Plap!

Glad to learn that your antibiotics have been taking effect but sorry that they've been seemingly interferring with your INR.

As a note of interest, I recently watched a newsworthy piece, on a local TV news broadcast, about how Azithromycin or Z-Pac (which is generally administered to those with pneumonia or other serious infections), must now contain warnings on its box about how this antiobiotic combination can cause heart palpitations or heart arrhythmia in certain prone patients. Naturally, my jaw dropped a bit as my hubby had to go on those meds last summer (along with penicillin) to cure his pneumonia found in the left lung. Thankfully, hubby doesn't suffer from any heart problems or had any side-effects while on them, but it would be nice if the U.S. FDA did a better job in keeping up with essential drug-related information. Thought I'd link you up to the pertinent news data below. Hope it goes through, as my computer freezes up on me when double tabbing.

LINK TO CBS.COM NEWS REPORT CONCERNING HEART RISKS WHILE ON ZPAC OR AZITHROMYCIN

Glad that you've been in constant touch with your own doctor(s) while you, yourself, are on this or other similarly effective antibiotic(s) and that they've made the necessary recommendations to avoid any further serious complications while on this or Amoxicillin-type drugs.

Naturally, we all hope that your lung infection will soon be completely eradicated and that better springtime weather will come your way to help restore both your physical health, strength and spirits. Hubby and I are also more than ready for much better weather, ourselves, as we're tired of all the wintry snowstorms and cleanup. UGH! At least, today, much residual snow has now melted, dry barren ground is exposed and temps could reach near 51F degrees. Hooray! Unfortunately, by week's end, temps will dip to below average and present another slightly messy story on Sat. Well, fingers crossed as we reach for a decent arrival to spring on the 20th and Easter on the 31st. Hang in there, good buddy, we're all rooting for you!

Member Since: June 21, 2006 Posts: 59 Comments: 7581
2. plapman
12:24 PM GMT on March 13, 2013
Good morning Shore.
Member Since: August 18, 2006 Posts: 2429 Comments: 7266
1. shoreacres
12:15 PM GMT on March 13, 2013
Good morning! Glad to see you up and about. It's not so good to hear your prediction for flooding, but you certainly know what you're talking about and what you say sounds reasonable. We'll hope things don't get out of hand.

The longer days are becoming noticeable now, even apart from daylight savings time. My friend up in Yellow Knife says they're getting six more minutes a day now - pretty soon something is going to decide to melt!

Member Since: October 4, 2004 Posts: 205 Comments: 15288

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About plapman

Retired and loving it. If I'd have known about retirement befor I started my 40 year career with the government of Manitoba I'd have retired first. :)

Personal Weather Stations

Central City
Portage La Prairie, MANITOBA
Elevation: 850 ft
Temperature: 18.3 °F
Dew Point: 0.5 °F
Humidity: 45%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 3.1 mph
Updated: 6:38 AM CDT on April 16, 2014

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