nrtiwlnvragn's WunderBlog

Trying Again To Reason With The Hurricane Season

Posted by: nrtiwlnvragn, 8:23 PM GMT on May 30, 2013

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Model Plots Link

Explanations of the individual models from the National Hurricane Center

Storm Tracks Link
Not Updated Yet

These storm tracks are from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction and include both extratropical and tropical cyclones. They are highly speculative, you will see storms appear and disappear model run to model run. Keys to look for are multiple models forming storms in the same general area and that they persist on multiple model runs. Even then, storm formation may not occur. Method for determining tracks.

Last four GFS

Last four NAM

Last two UKMET

Last two NOGAPS

Last two CMC

Global Hazards Link

Probability of TC Formation within 48Hrs Link

Graphical Products Legend Link

Tropical Surface Analysis Link

24 Hour Surface Forecast Link

48 Hour Surface Forecast Link

72 Hour Surface Forecast Link

Sea Surface Temperature Link

Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Link

Ocean Heat Content

South Florida Visible Loop

Tropical Winds - The Official NWS Miami Newsletter

June Tropical Cyclone Climatology for South Florida

Hurricane Sector Visible Link

Hurricane Sector Infrared Link

Hurricane Sector Water Vapor Link

Trying To Reason With Hurricane Season

Squalls out on the Gulfstream,
Big storms coming soon.
I passed out in my hammock,
God, I slept way past noon.
Stood up and tried to focus,
I hoped I wouldn't have to look far.
I knew I could use a Bloody Mary,
So I stumbled next door to the bar.

Chorus
And now I must confess,
I could use some rest.
I can't run at this pace very long.
Yes, it's quite insane,
I think it hurts my brain.
But it cleans me out and then I can go on.

There's something about this Sunday
It's a most peculiar gray
Strolling down the avenue
That's known as A1A
I was feeling tired, then I got inspired.
And I knew that it wouldn't last long
So all alone I walked back home, sat on my beach
And then I made up this song.

Chorus

Well, the wind is blowin' harder now
Fifty knots of there abouts,
There's white caps on the ocean.
And I'm watching for water spouts
It's time to close the shutters
It's time to go inside.
In a week I'll be in gay Paris;
That's a mighty long airplane ride.

Chorus
Yes, It cleans me out and then I can go on.

Updated: 3:04 PM GMT on June 17, 2013

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Offseason

Posted by: nrtiwlnvragn, 4:03 PM GMT on December 05, 2012

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Model Plots Link

Explanations of the individual models from the National...

Updated: 8:30 PM GMT on May 30, 2013

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Always on My Mind

Posted by: nrtiwlnvragn, 9:21 PM GMT on October 30, 2010

It's now been a year two years since I origionally wrote this, yet you are.....

You came into my life when I met your previous owner and we got along pretty well. You were growing up in a house full of teenagers and their friends, and your lifestyle reflected theirs, late nights and a diet of pizza, burgers and tacos more than dog food. I cautioned that diet was not good...

Updated: 8:54 PM GMT on November 13, 2012

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Trying to reason with the Hurricane Season

Posted by: nrtiwlnvragn, 1:07 PM GMT on May 21, 2010

Updated: 12:29 PM GMT on October 30, 2010

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Offseason

Posted by: nrtiwlnvragn, 12:27 AM GMT on December 01, 2009

Updated: 11:29 AM GMT on May 21, 2010

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