Trying to reason with the Hurricane Season

By: nrtiwlnvragn , 6:27 PM GMT on May 27, 2014

Share this Blog

Should be the poster for the NHC

Click on any image to view original size in a new window

Placeholder for next storm

Model Plots Link

Explanations of the individual models from the National Hurricane Center

Storm Tracks Link
Not Updated Yet
These storm tracks are from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction and include both extratropical and tropical cyclones. They are highly speculative, you will see storms appear and disappear model run to model run. Keys to look for are multiple models forming storms in the same general area and that they persist on multiple model runs. Even then, storm formation may not occur. Method for determining tracks.

Last four GFS

Last four NAM

Last two UKMET

Last two NOGAPS

Last two CMC

Global Hazards Link

Probability of TC Formation within 48Hrs Link

Experimental tropical cyclone genesis probabilities based upon global model output Link

Graphical Products Legend Link

Tropical Surface Analysis Link

24 Hour Surface Forecast Link

48 Hour Surface Forecast Link

72 Hour Surface Forecast Link

Sea Surface Temperature Link

Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Link

Ocean Heat Content

South Florida Visible Loop

Tropical Winds - The Official NWS Miami Newsletter

July Tropical Cyclone Climatology for South Florida

Hurricane Sector Visible Link

Hurricane Sector Infrared Link

Hurricane Sector Water Vapor Link

Trying To Reason With Hurricane Season

Squalls out on the Gulfstream,
Big storms coming soon.
I passed out in my hammock,
God, I slept way past noon.
Stood up and tried to focus,
I hoped I wouldn't have to look far.
I knew I could use a Bloody Mary,
So I stumbled next door to the bar.

And now I must confess,
I could use some rest.
I can't run at this pace very long.
Yes, it's quite insane,
I think it hurts my brain.
But it cleans me out and then I can go on.

There's something about this Sunday
It's a most peculiar gray
Strolling down the avenue
That's known as A1A
I was feeling tired, then I got inspired.
And I knew that it wouldn't last long
So all alone I walked back home, sat on my beach
And then I made up this song.


Well, the wind is blowin' harder now
Fifty knots of there abouts,
There's white caps on the ocean.
And I'm watching for water spouts
It's time to close the shutters
It's time to go inside.
In a week I'll be in gay Paris;
That's a mighty long airplane ride.

Yes, It cleans me out and then I can go on.

About nrtiwlnvragn

nrtiwlnvragn's Recent Photos

Double Bay