More Rain for Muncie

By: nocaneindy , 2:30 PM GMT on March 02, 2011

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Just a quick update on our upcoming weather. Rain chances start coming back into the picture tomorrow night, and last through Saturday night, when we could transition to some snow showers towards Sunday am. Our heaviest precipitation looks to come in the Friday evening/ night on through Saturday time frame. Really the only good news is the 12z hpc qpf now shows the heaviest precipitation being to our east. Of course, the people in Ohio and points further east don't need that much rain either. So here's to hoping the we continue to see the heaviest precip move east even more!

That said, it's not as if we are off the hook. More than 1.50" of rain could be on the way. That's almost half our average for March! On top of the more than a months worth we received on the 28th, our flood issues will persist for even longer. Areas of southern Indiana are going to have some significant flooding if it keeps this up. As bad as it gets here, its even more troublesome down that a ways as our flooded rivers, creeks, and streams traverse down to those already water logged areas. A dry spell is much needed!

More to come tomorrow on the upcoming systems. The NWS in Indianapolis has a report out on the storms of Feb.27th & 28th. That can be found here.

Days 1-3 QPF

Days 4-5 QPF

5 Day Total QPF

QPF charts from the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center

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3. nocaneindy
4:41 PM GMT on March 03, 2011
Yeah this will be what, the 4th big moisture event we've had in the last 11 days or so? Any of them would of and have been bad enough on there own, but in succession such as this? Definitely not good.

Local NWS here have already introduced chance pops in the extended, for Tuesday and Wednesday. Not really what I wanted to see, but I did expect it. Models seem to like the idea of this wet pattern for us.

I guess one bright side is the lack of instability this time around, so at least we get one less thing to worry over.
Member Since: September 21, 2007 Posts: 34 Comments: 515
2. Buckey2745
8:42 PM GMT on March 02, 2011
It's not looking good. Even if we'd been dry for a while, it looks like this weekend could be wet enough for flooding. The river half a mile from my house is forecast to still be above flood stage by Friday, so it's not a good sign.
Member Since: December 28, 2007 Posts: 610 Comments: 196
1. nocaneindy
4:51 PM GMT on March 02, 2011
The 12z GFS and 12z NAM both are wet for us. I don't like to look long range but even after this next event they just show more of the same. But anything can happen in the extended, maybe we will dry out. I guess we'll see.
Member Since: September 21, 2007 Posts: 34 Comments: 515

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This blog is just my take on weather. Blogs may be few and far between, and some more informative than others. Opinions good and bad welcomed.

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