Caribbean Weather Outlook

By: nigel20 , 3:47 PM GMT on March 26, 2012

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Caribbean Weather Outlook

Saharan Air Layer (SAL)


Wind Shear


Surface Winds


Wave Height


Global SST Anomaly


Global SST's


48hrs Tropical Cyclone Probability


Water Vapor


Infrared Satellite


Visible Satellite


Satellite Imagery-Puerto Rico




Surface Analysis


Tropical Atlantic


Cayman Islands Radar


Belize Radar


Puerto Rico Radar



Cuban Radars


Venezuelan Radar


NE Dominican Republic


Anegada Cam


South Coast of St John Cam


Barbados Cam


Grenada Cam


Westbay Cayman port


Cancun


Rincon,Puerto Rico


St Maarten


St Barts


Soufriere Volcano in the island of Monteserrat


Grand Palladium Jamaica Resort & Spa


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Good night everyone!

National Hurricane Center Discussion

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

AIRMASS THUNDERSTORMS ARE OVER THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF CUBA...AND
OVER CENTRAL AMERICA FROM PANAMA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. A
1005 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER N COLOMBIA NEAR 7N74W. 15-25 KT
TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH STRONGEST WINDS ALONG
THE N COAST OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER
HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...AND THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
CENTERED OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 20N89W ENHANCING
CONVECTION. SW FLOW IS OVER THE CENTRAL AND E CARIBBEAN. EXPECT
... CONTINUED PRECIPITATION OVER CUBA...THE W CARIBBEAN...AND
CENTRAL AMERICA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

8:05PM
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Good afternoon. This is part from the San Juan NWS discussion.

WESTWARD MOVING TUTT ABOUT 35N/60W COVERS A LARGE AREA BUT ITS
ASSOCIATED WINDS ARE WEAK AND DON/T BELIEVE IT WILL BE AN ENHANCING
PLAYER FOR CONVECTION MUCH NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS ESPECIALLY IT
REMAINS TO FAR NORTH TO GET UNDERNEATH THE CYCLONIC FLOW. IT IS
CAUSING PERSISTENT DEEP SHEAR ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC AND IS
SUPPRESSING TROPICAL WAVES TRYING TO DEVELOP. NAM/GFS INDICATES A
WEAK TROPICAL WAVE WILL TAKE THE PRECIPITABLE WATER NOTCH IN ITCZ
AT 10N/40W AND DRIVE IT TO USVI BY SAT AFTERNOON...WITH A LOBE OF
HIGH 700 MB THETA-E FOLLOWING THE WAVE. THE WAVE ARRIVES TOO LATE
(IF MODEL IS CORRECT) TO INCREASE AFTERNOON CONVECTION OVER
PR...BUT DID INCREASE SHOWERS TO SCATTERED AS INDICATED BY
FORECAST FOR USVI. ANOTHER WEAK/LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS
EXPECTED LATE SUNDAY.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 15666
The Bahamas Meteorology Department

BAHAMAS PUBLIC FORECAST WEATHER FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT WEDNESDAY 11TH JULY 2012.

GENERAL SITUATION: THE COMBINATION OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW NORTHEAST OF THE BAHAMAS ALONG WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE VICINITY OF THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS WILL CONTINUE TO TRIGGER SOME UNSETTLED WEATHER ACROS THE ISLANDS TODAY.

WEATHER: MOSTLY CLOUDY AND HUMID WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT.

FOR THE BOATERS: SMALL CRAFT SHOULD BE ALERT FOR GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS IN OR NEAR HEAVY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL AREAS.

WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS, FALLING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT TIMES.

SEAS RUNNING: 2 TO 4 FEET OVER THE OCEAN.

DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURE: 91F 33C OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURE: 75F 24C

SUNRISE: 6:28AM SUNSET: 8:03PM

MOONSET: 1:52PM MOONRISE: 1:19AM THUR.

LOW TIDE: 8:27AM HIGH TIDE: 2:52PM LOW TIDE: 9:11PM.

EXTENDED WEATHER FORECAST: THE MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA IS EXPECTED TO LINGER AS THE TROPICAL WAVE AND UPPER LEVEL LOW PROGRESSES WESTWARD THROUGH FRIDAY.

FORECAST FOR THURSDAY:

WEATHER: MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

WINDS: SOUTHEASTERLY AT 10 KNOTS OR LESS THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND EASTERLY AT 15 KNOTS IN THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS.

SEA: 3 FEET OR LESS IN THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND 3 TO 5 FEET IN THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS.

FORECAST FOR FRIDAY:

WEATHER: VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES DURNING THE EVENING ACROSS THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

WIND: EASTERLY AT 15 KNOTS OVER OPEN WATERS.

SEAS: 3 TO 5 FEET OVER THE OCEAN.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK: THE TROPIC REMAIN QUIET AT THIS TIME AND TROPICAL STORM FORMATIION IS NOT EXPECTED DURNING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

THE END.

I.V.M.
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Dominica Meteorological Service

Weather Outlook for Dominica and the Lesser Antilles


Issued: 12:00 PM on Wednesday, July 11, 2012

The Atlantic high pressure will maintain a brisk trade wind flow. Low level clouds moving with this flow will result in occasional cloudy skies and brief showers across the island chain. Meanwhile, the ITCZ will produce some cloudiness and showers over Trinidad and the Guianas.



A layer of Saharan dust will continue to reduce visibility across the island chain.



Sea conditions are expected to be moderate for the remainder of the week with swells peaking near 7.0 feet. Small craft operators and sea bathers should exercise caution.



A tropical wave located in the central Atlantic is moving westward near 28 km/h.
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Good morning everyone!

National Hurricane Center Discussion

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED IN THE E PACIFIC REGION COVERS THE NW
CARIBBEAN W OF 80W. THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE W ATLC EXTENDS TO
OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 19N TO INLAND OVER CUBA BETWEEN 76W-80W.
MODERATE TO FRESH EASTERLY TRADE WINDS WITH STRONG WINDS OVER
THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN ARE GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN W OF 85W FROM
HONDURAS TO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS
ALONG 10N FROM COLOMBIA ACROSS COSTA RICA INTO THE E PACIFIC
REGION GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS S OF 10N. AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE W
TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS E OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN.
EASTERLY SURFACE FLOW COUPLED WITH THE OPPOSING FLOW ALOFT IS
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN S OF 17N E OF 70W LEAVING THE REMAINDER
OF THE CARIBBEAN WITH FAIR WEATHER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL WAVE
OVER THE WINDWARD PASSAGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN
TONIGHT AND THU PASSING THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL LATE FRI. A
SECOND TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE E CARIBBEAN ON SAT
THROUGH SUN.

8:05AM
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Good morning. A trough and a Tropical Wave will be the dominant features for the rest of this week and next weekend.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
636 AM AST WED JUL 11 2012

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT LOW NORTHEAST OF THE ISLANDS WILL MOVE WESTWARD
JUST NORTH OF THE GREATER ANTILLES AND RELOCATE OVER THE BAHAMAS
ON SATURDAY. A MID-LEVEL LOW IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN ON THURSDAY...INDUCING A TROUGH AT THE SURFACE. STRONG
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC IS MAINTAINING
A MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN.
WETTER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AS AN
INDUCED TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA LATE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...
FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE DURING THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HAZY SKIES WITH LIMITED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
TODAY ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH...SATELLITE AND RADAR
IMAGERY INDICATED A FEW PASSING SHOWERS AFFECTING THE WINDWARD
SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS EARLY THIS MORNING...THE PROBABILITY OF
PRECIPITATION SHOULD DIMINISH SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER SUNRISE.
HOWEVER...THE TYPICAL SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE WEST
SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO WILL HELP TO DEVELOP A COUPLE OF
THUNDERSTORMS NEAR CABO ROJO AND NEARBY MUNICIPALITIES THIS
AFTERNOON.

GFS BRINGS AN INDUCED TROUGH AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA FROM LATE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS TROUGH WILL
BE SUPPORTED BY A MID TO UPPER LOW...WHICH WILL HELP TO INCREASE
THE CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY OVER THE ISLANDS. THIS TRANSLATES TO
INCREASED CHANCE FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA...WITH HI-RES MODELS SHOWING MOST ACTIVE CONVECTION DEVELOPING
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AND THE INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO
RICO. OPERATIONAL MODELS DO NOT INDICATE MUCH IMPROVEMENT IN THE
WEATHER CONDITIONS UNTIL NEXT WEEK...DUE TO THE NEXT TROPICAL
WAVE THAT IS FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR THE ISLANDS DURING THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...EXPECT PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS AND AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
HOWEVER...BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS AND LOCAL MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN INTERIOR AND
SOUTHWEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO INCLUDING AT LEAST IN THE VICINITY
OF TJMZ AND TJPS...FROM 11/17Z THROUGH ABOUT 11/22Z. IN ADDITION...
SAHARAN DUST WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH TODAY...
RESULTING IN HAZY SKIES BUT MOST VISIBILITIES SHOULD AGAIN REMAIN
P6SM.

&&

.MARINE...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTHEAST OF THE REGION WILL
MAINTAIN A MODERATE TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH
THE SEVERAL DAYS. SEAS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 3 AND 5 FEET THROUGH
THURSDAY...INCREASING SLIGHTLY TO 6 FEET OVER THE WEEKEND WHEN
THE TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE ISLANDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 90 78 88 77 / 20 30 30 30
STT 90 79 88 78 / 20 30 50 50
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 15666
Good night everyone!

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

AIRMASS THUNDERSTORMS ARE OVER THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF CUBA...AND
OVER CENTRAL AMERICA FROM COSTA RICA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. A
1004 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER N COLOMBIA NEAR 7N74W. 15-25 KT
TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH STRONGEST WINDS ALONG
THE N COAST OF COLOMBIA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...UPPER LEVEL SW
FLOW IS OVER THE CARIBBEAN PRODUCING UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AND
OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS W OF 80W. EXPECT...CONTINUED PRECIPITATION
OVER CUBA...THE W CARIBBEAN...AND CENTRAL AMERICA OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

8:05PM
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Quoting DDR:
Hey guys rainfall maybe scarce up the island chain now,but remember they had excess rainfall from Jan-May,so i doubt there's any water issues right now?

Hey DDR. That's dependent on the availability of Water catchment (Water wells, Reservoirs,...etc). There is a need for infrastructural improvement in the distribution of water across many Caribbean countries and additional wells/reservoirs are also needed to catch and store rainfall to ensure enough supply for the drier months.
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
613. DDR
Hey guys rainfall maybe scarce up the island chain now,but remember they had excess rainfall from Jan-May,so i doubt there's any water issues right now?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Scattered Showers with some breaks in the clouds will be the rule for most of the week as a trough lingers nearby.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
301 PM AST TUE JUL 10 2012

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...A LOW NORTHEAST OF THE AREA EMBEDDED
IN A TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC TO THE
BAHAMAS...WILL PASS NORTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY WHILE DISSIPATING.
LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN RE-FORM OVER THE BAHAMA ISLANDS. A NORTH-
SOUTH RIDGE FORMS ON SATURDAY OVER THE AREA BEFORE LOW PRESSURE
DIGS IN FROM THE NORTHEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK.

AT MID LEVELS...LOW PRESSURE NEAR 17 NORTH 44 WEST WILL MOVE WEST
THROUGH WEDNESDAY THEN TURN NORTHWEST AND PASS NORTH OF THE AREA
THURSDAY NIGHT. A RIDGE WILL MOVE IN ON SATURDAY AND FADE SLOWLY
UNTIL A WEAK TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE EAST MID WEEK NEXT WEEK.

AT LOWER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC AND
TROPICAL ATLANTIC MAINTAINING MODERATE TO FRESH EAST TO EAST
SOUTHEAST TRADE WINDS. A WEAK TROUGH WILL BE INDUCED BY THE
PASSING MID LEVEL LOW...OTHERWISE BANDS OF MOISTURE WILL PASS
THROUGH IN THE TRADE WINDS THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...DRIER AIR PREVAILED TODAY AND SIGNIFICANT SHOWERS
HAD NOT YET BEGUN AS OF 10/1845Z. RADAR SHOWED TRACES OF STREAMERS
MOVING OFF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST
INDICATING THE DRYNESS AND THE GENERAL DIRECTION OF THE FLOW.
BETTER MOISTURE IS INDICATED FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A WEAK
TROUGH WILL BE INDUCED AT THE SURFACE BY THE MID-LEVEL LOW
MIGRATING FROM THE EAST AND A BAND OF MOISTURE ROTATING AROUND
IT WILL ENTER THE AREA FROM THE NORTHEAST EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL BRING INCREASED CHANCES OF BRIEF PASSING
SHOWERS IN THE NORTHERN VIRGIN ISLANDS AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDE OF
PUERTO RICO THURSDAY. COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO INDICATED FOR
THE NORTHERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO. THE PASSING TROUGH WILL CAUSE A
RAPID SWITCH IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW FROM EAST NORTHEAST ON
THURSDAY TO EAST SOUTHEAST ON FRIDAY. MODEST MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE THROUGHOUT FOLLOWED BY DRYING ON MONDAY. THE GFS
INDICATES THAT A SOMEWHAT MORE UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL PREVAIL
BETWEEN SATURDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY THAN BETWEEN TONIGHT AND FRIDAY
NIGHT...SO WITH A LITTLE MORE MOISTURE BETTER CHANCES OF SHOWERS
AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE INDICATED FOR THAT PERIOD IN THE
NEXT 5 DAYS. NO MAJOR EVENTS ARE INDICATED AS ALL WAVES LEAVING
AFRICA ARE DISINTEGRATING AS THEY APPROACH THE AREA...IN PART DUE
TO THE INCREASED SHEAR ENCOUNTERED IN THE WESTERN PART OF THE
TROPICAL ATLANTIC.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND TJBQ IN ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA THROUGH ABOUT
11/00Z. IN ADDITION...SAHARAN DUST WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE
LOCAL AREA THROUGH SUNRISE WEDNESDAY...RESULTING IN HAZY SKIES...BUT
MOST VISIBILITIES SHOULD REMAIN P6SM. LLVL WINDS BELOW 20 KFT ARE
ESE 15-25 KT BUT WILL BECOME ENE 10 TO 20 KT BY 11/18Z.

&&

.MARINE...SLIGHTLY INCREASED WINDS BROUGHT SLIGHTLY INCREASED SEAS
WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
SKIES WILL BE HAZY WITH VISIBILITIES GENERALLY BETWEEN 7 AND 12
MILES DUE TO SAHARAN DUST.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 78 90 78 88 / 20 20 30 30
STT 80 89 79 88 / 20 20 30 30

Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 15666
Belize National Meteorological Service

Date:


TUESDAY 10TH JULY 2012

Time:


6:00AM

General Situation:


TROPICAL WAVE WILL CAUSE AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS TONIGHT...

24hr Forecast:


PARTLY CLOUDY TODAY WITH A FEW SHOWERS OVER SOME AREAS ALONG WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDY TONIGHT WITH SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOST AREAS.

Winds:


EAST - NORTHEAST 5-15 KNOTS

Sea State:


CHOPPY

Outlook:


(WED & WED NIGHT) CLOUDY AT TIMES WITH SOME SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOST AREAS ON WEDNESDAY, THEN MAINLY OVER THE SOUTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Dominica Meteorological Service

Weather Outlook for Dominica and the Lesser Antilles


Issued: 12:00 PM on Tuesday, July 10, 2012

The Atlantic high pressure is generating a brisk trade wind flow. Patches of low level clouds moving with this flow will result in occasional cloudy skies and brief showers across the island chain. Meanwhile, the ITCZ will produce some cloudiness and showers over Trinidad and the Guianas.



A layer of Saharan dust will continue to reduce visibility across the island chain.



Sea conditions are expected to be moderate for the remainder of the week with swells peaking near 7.0 feet. Small craft operators and sea bathers should exercise caution.



A tropical wave located in the central Atlantic is moving westward at about 19 km/h.
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
National Hurricane Center Discussion

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE ATLC INTO THE E GULF OF
MEXICO COVERS THE NW CARIBBEAN N OF 16N W OF 72W GENERATING
CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 18N TO
INLAND OVER CUBA BETWEEN 74W-85W. AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM
THE E PACIFIC REGION ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA TO OVER THE SW
CARIBBEAN ENHANCING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE GULF OF HONDURAS FROM 14N-18N W OF 82W WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS
S OF 12N W OF 75W. THE UPPER RIDGE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS
TO OVER THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 72W. THIS IS LEAVING THE REMAINDER
OF THE CARIBBEAN WITH FAIR WEATHER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL WAVE N
OF THE GREATER ANTILLES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE N/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
TODAY AND ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN WED AND THU. A SECOND TROPICAL
WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE E CARIBBEAN ON SAT.

8:AM
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Quoting DDR:
Good morning
Had some heavy rain this morning almost 2 inches

Hey DDR...hopefully our friends in the leeward islands will get some relief soon!
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
607. DDR
Good morning
Had some heavy rain this morning almost 2 inches
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Good morning. A variable next few days with a mix of sun and clouds with some scattered showers.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
524 AM AST TUE JUL 10 2012

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT LOWS NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL MERGE AND
RE-ESTABLISH NORTHWEST OF THE REGION BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
AT MID LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE REMAINS TO THE NORTHEAST...
BUT A MID-LEVEL LOW IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN ON THURSDAY...INDUCING A TROUGH AT THE SURFACE. STRONG
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC IS MAINTAINING
A MODERATE SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SATELLITE DERIVED PWAT ANALYSIS INDICATED AN AREA
OF 10-15 PERCENT BELOW NORMAL MOISTURE AMOUNTS UPSTREAM OF THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS. THIS AREA OF DRIER AIR WILL REACH THE FORECAST
AREA BY MIDDAY TODAY AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED WITH SAHARAN DUST...
WHICH MAY LIMIT SOMEWHAT THE SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE ISLANDS.
IN THIS PATTERN...OPERATIONAL MODELS GENERALLY SHOW A RELATIVELY
FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS AS PWAT IS TO REMAIN LESS THAN 1.5 INCHES
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...GOES SATELLITE IMAGERY
ALSO INDICATED PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND A FEW SHOWERS EMBEDDED
IN THIS DRIER AIR UPSTREAM OF THE ISLANDS. AS A RESULT...LIGHT
MORNING SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST COASTAL
SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...FOLLOWED BY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
CONVECTION ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO
IN THE AFTERNOON. FOR THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...GFS BRINGS A
MOISTURE SURGE FROM THE EAST AND SOMEWHAT BETTER MID TO UPPER
LEVEL DYNAMICS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE INDUCED TROUGH. WEATHER CONDITIONS
GRADUALLY IMPROVE DURING THE WEEKEND AS MID TO UPPER RIDGE BUILDS
NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...EXPECT PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS AND AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
HOWEVER...BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS AND LOCAL MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN AND AROUND TJBQ AND TJMZ FROM 10/17Z
THROUGH ABOUT 10/22Z. IN ADDITION...SAHARAN DUST WILL BE INCREASING
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH TODAY...RESULTING IN HAZY SKIES BUT
MOST VISIBILITIES SHOULD REMAIN P6SM.

&&

.MARINE...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTHEAST OF THE REGION WILL
MAINTAIN A MODERATE TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH
THE SEVERAL DAYS. SEAS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 3 AND 5 FEET THROUGH
THURSDAY...INCREASING SLIGHTLY TO 6 FEET LATER FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 90 78 90 78 / 20 20 20 30
STT 89 80 89 79 / 20 20 20 30
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 15666

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1032 PM AST MON JUL 9 2012

.UPDATE...CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LINGERED ACROSS WESTERN PUERTO RICO UNTIL THIS
EVENING. ISOLATED PASSING SHOWERS HAVE PREVAILED OVER THE WATERS
AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.

WE HAVE SAHARAN DUST MOVING IN TOMORROW MORNING...WHICH ACCORDING
TO THE NAAPS MODEL...IT COULD HAVE A DECENT CONCENTRATION AT THE
SURFACE...ESPECIALLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD DRY THINGS UP
CONSIDERABLY AS IT MAKES ITS WAY INTO THE LOCAL ISLANDS.
HOWEVER...GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON ACROSS SECTIONS OF WESTERN PUERTO RICO...MOSTLY
IN AREAS WHERE SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE OCCURS. IT IS ALSO WORTH
MENTIONING THAT GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE CONVECTION WILL OCCUR
LATER THAN IT HAS BEEN FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS...SHOWING RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS AFTER 18Z AND LINGERING UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT
DEPENDING ON THE NUMERICAL MODEL.

THE SHORT TERM FORECAST WAS TWEAKED TO INCLUDE HAZE DUE TO SAHARAN
DUST AND ALSO TO ACCOUNT FOR THE TIMING OF THE DUST. CONFIDENCE
IS ON THE LOW SIDE WHEN IT COMES TO THE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THE AMOUNT OF SAHARAN DUST THAT NAAPS MODEL
SHOWS IS CONSIDERABLE...AND IT MAY SIGNIFICANTLY LIMIT OR INHIBIT
CONVECTION. EVEN THOUGH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE
FORECAST...PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION IS ON THE LOW SIDE AT 30
PERCENT OR LESS.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 15666
Good night everyone!

National Hurricane Center Discussion

CARIBBEAN SEA...

SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE ACROSS MUCH OF CUBA ALONG
WITH PORTIONS OF JAMAICA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND HISPANIOLA.

THIS ACTIVITY IS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF DAYTIME HEATING AS
WELL AS THE INFLUENCE OF AN ELONGATED UPPER TROUGH WITH A SERIES
OF CUT-OFF UPPER LOWS THAT EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC INTO
THE W ATLC CONTINUING N OF CUBA INTO THE ERN GULF. A TROPICAL
WAVE MOVING THROUGH PUERTO RICO IS ONLY CAUSING A FEW
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE ISLAND
. A WEAK UPPER TROUGH HAS
ALSO FORMED ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BETWEEN TWO UPPER LEVEL
RIDGES TO EITHER SIDE ACROSS BOTH THE WRN AND ERN CARIBBEAN.
STRONG AND NUMEROUS SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS COVER MOST OF PANAMA
AND PORTIONS OF NRN COLOMBIA ASSOCIATED WITH THE E PACIFIC
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDING S OF PANAMA TO A 1007 MB LOW OVER NRN
COLOMBIA. THE CENTRAL AND ERN CARIBBEAN ARE EXPERIENCING MOSTLY
FAIR CONDITIONS DUE TO DRY AIR ALOFT AROUND THE UPPER RIDGE IN
THE ERN CARIBBEAN. TRADEWIND FLOW OF 15-20 KT IS PRESENT ACROSS
MUCH OF THE BASIN REACHING UP TO 25 KT NEAR THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

8:05PM

Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Meteorological Department Curacao

Weather Forecast for Bonaire and Curaçao valid until Tuesday midday 12:00 l.t., July 10, 2012.
Issued: Monday July 9, 2012. 11:00 l.t. (15:00 UTC).

Weather:
Today: Generally partly cloudy with no significant precipitation
Tonight through Tuesday midday: Partly to briefly mostly cloudy with an isolated shower

Forecast high: 32°C and forecast low: 26°C.
Sunrise: 06:17 and sunset at 19:05.

Winds: East to East Southeast and moderate to fresh; force 4 to 5 (20 to 39 km/hr, 11 to 21 knots).
Mainly during the day, a few gusts to possibly strong; force 6 (40 to 50 km/hr, 22 to 27 knots).

Synopsis: A temporary cloud increase mainly during the overnight and early morning could cause some shower activity over sections of the islands.

Sea conditions: Moderate with waves between 1 and 2 meters.

Significant Tropical Systems: none.

Special features: none.

Outlook until Wednesday midday: Partly cloudy with an isolated shower possible

Forecaster: D. E Barkmeyer
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Dominica Meteorological Service

Weather Outlook for Dominica and the Lesser Antilles


Issued: 12:00 PM on Monday, July 9, 2012

A ridge of high pressure will continue to influence the weather conditions across the Eastern Caribbean for the next few days. Relatively dry air will continue to limit shower activity to brief passing showers.



Meanwhile, a layer of Saharan dust is expected to reduce visibility across the island chain from tomorrow, Tuesday.



Sea conditions are expected to be slight to moderate for the next 12 hours with swells peaking near 5.0 feet. Thereafter, a slight increase to 7.0 feet is expected in moderate conditions.



A weak tropical wave is moving westward, away from the northern Leeward Islands, near 28 km/h. Also, another tropical wave located in the eastern Atlantic is moving westward at about 24 km/h.
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Good afternoon everyone!

National Hurricane Center Discussion

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A SURFACE TROUGH AND UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS PRODUCING
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE S COAST OF CUBA BETWEEN
74W-84W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF NE
HONDURAS FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 82W-86W...AND INLAND OVER W PANAMA
AND COSTA RICA FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 81W-86W. A 1007 MB LOW IS
CENTERED OVER N COLOMBIA NEAR 10N75W. 15-25 KT TRADEWINDS ARE
OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE N COAST OF
COLOMBIA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE
W CARIBBEAN W OF 80W PRODUCING UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AND OVERCAST
HIGH CLOUDS. EXPECT...CONTINUED PRECIPITATION OVER THE W
CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

2:05PM
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Good morning. A few showers for today as a weak wave moves thru.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
555 AM AST MON JUL 9 2012

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK UPPER TROUGH NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL
MERGE WITH AN UPPER LOW THAT IS CENTERED NEAR 30N48W. THE RESULTANT
UPPER LOW WILL DIG SOUTHWESTWARD AND RE-ESTABLISH NORTHWEST OF THE
LOCAL REGION ON THURSDAY. AS THIS PATTERN EVOLVES...A TROPICAL WAVE
WILL MOVE MAINLY NORTHEAST OF THE AREA TODAY. HOWEVER...A TONGUE
OF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WAVE WILL
BRUSH THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A TROPICAL WAVE
EXTENDING FROM THE SW NORTH ATLANTIC INTO THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS. THIS WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE SW NORTH
ATLANTIC PASSING MAINLY NORTHEAST OF THE LOCAL AREA. ALTHOUGH
THE BRUNT OF THE MOISTURE SHOULD REMAINS NORTHEAST OF PR AND USVI
TODAY...ITS SOUTHERN FRINGES WILL AFFECT THE AREA RESULTING IN AN
INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT.

AFTERWARDS...AN AREA OF DRIER AIR WITH SAHARAN DUST WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...CREATING HAZY SKIES
AND LIMITING THE SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE ISLANDS. ALL OPERATIONAL
MODEL SUGGESTS A DEEP TROUGH PATTERN ALOFT THAT WILL SUPPORT AN
INDUCED TROUGH NEAR THE LOCAL ISLANDS BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
THIS WILL INCREASE AGAIN THE CHANCES OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH HIGH PROBABILITY OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PARTS OF THE
ISLANDS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL ACROSS ALL TAF
SITES THROUGH AT LEAST 09/18Z. BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS WITH
MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS TJMZ...AND TJBQ FROM
09/18Z-09/22Z. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15
KNOTS EXCEPT FOR SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS IN COASTAL AREAS.

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE TRADES WITH SEAS OF 2 TO 5 FEET ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 90 79 91 80 / 40 40 20 20
STT 89 80 90 80 / 40 20 20 20
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 15666
Good night everyone!

National Hurricane Center Discussion

CARIBBEAN SEA...

MOST OF THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA HAS MOVED W OF THE AREA. A FEW
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN NEAR THE ERN SIDE OF THE YUCATAN.
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO ACROSS WRN CUBA ASSOCIATED WITH
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AROUND THE E SIDE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER
THE ERN GULF OF MEXICO. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING COVERS MOST OF THE
WRN HALF OF THE CARIBBEAN. STRONG SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS COVER
SRN NICARAGUA...COSTA RICA...AND WRN PANAMA LIKELY DUE TO THE E
PACIFIC MONSOON TROUGH THAT EXTENDS ACROSS SRN COSTA RICA AND
PANAMA TO NRN COLOMBIA. A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE
ALSO OVER HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO RICO MOSTLY ASSOCIATED WITH
DAYTIME HEATING AND INSTABILITY. THE ERN CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN WATERS ARE MOSTLY CLEAR DUE TO DRY AIR ALOFT AROUND AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN. A WEAK INVERTED UPPER
TROUGH IS ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BETWEEN THE TWO UPPER
RIDGES ACROSS THE ERN AND WRN SIDES. TRADEWIND FLOW OF 15-20 KT
IS ACROSS MUCH OF THE BASIN WITH WINDS REACHING 25 AND POSSIBLY
30 KT IN THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL WAVE NE OF THE BASIN MAY IMPACT THE
NRN LESSER ANTILLES...BUT WILL LIKELY REMAIN MOSTLY N OF THE
BASIN.

8:05PM
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service

ISSUED AT: 09:31AM
Date:Sunday 08th of July 2012

Meteorologist: Arnold Ramgoolam

FOR THE PERIOD THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT:
TRINIDAD,TOBAGO AND THE REM.OF THE LESSER ANTILLES:
Mostly sunny afternoon with brief light showers in
few confined areas will give way to a clear and
cool night.


SEAS: Normal
WAVES: 1.0m to 1.5mIN OPEN WATERS
Near calm IN SHLTD AREAS

Temperature Units:Celsius



FORECAST MAX TEMP.
Piarco: 32 Crown Point: 30
Tides ISSUED AT: 05:28PM
Date:Saturday 07th of July 2012

Port of Spain HIGH 07:05am 07:48pm LOW 01:03am 01:18pm
Scarborough HIGH 06:59am 07:40pm LOW 12:59am 01:16pm
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Dominica Meteorological Service

Weather Outlook for Dominica and the Lesser Antilles

Issued: 12:00 PM on Sunday, July 8, 2012

A ridge of high pressure will continue to influence the weather conditions across the Eastern Caribbean for the next few days. Low level clouds traversing the island chain will result in brief passing showers due to the presence of dry air limiting shower activity. Some increase in cloudiness and showers is anticipated across the northern islands with the passage of a weak tropical wave.



Sea conditions are expected to be slight to moderate through the middle of the week with swells peaking near 5.0 feet.



The weak Atlantic tropical wave located just east of the Leeward Islands is moving westward near 32 km/h. Meanwhile, another tropical wave located in the far eastern Atlantic is moving westward at about 9 km/h.
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Good Afternoon everyone!

National Hurricane Center Discussion

CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION OVER
CENTRAL AMERICA. SEE ABOVE. FURTHER S...SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN...W PANAMA...COSTA
RICA...AND S NICARAGUA FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 80W-86W. A 1008 MB
LOW IS CENTERED OVER N COLOMBIA NEAR 10N75W. 15-30 KT TRADEWINDS
ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE N
COAST OF COLOMBIA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS
CENTERED OVER THE W CARIBBEAN NEAR 17N83W. CONSIDERABLE UPPER
LEVEL MOISTURE AND OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS ARE W OF 77W.
EXPECT...CONTINUED PRECIPITATION OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN AND
CENTRAL AMERICA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

2:05PM
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Good morning.Good weather will prevail for the next couple of days.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
541 AM AST SUN JUL 8 2012

.SYNOPSIS...A GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO
PREVAIL DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS OR SO AS A RIDGE ALOFT PERSISTS
OVER THE FORECAST AREA. UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS THEN FORECAST TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC BY MID WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS...WITH SOME AFFECTING BRIEFLY THE EASTERN HALF OF PUERTO
RICO AS WELL THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS OVERNIGHT. PATCHES OF LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE LOCAL ISLANDS FROM TIME
TO TIME...WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR AND
SOUTHWEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES
DOMINATING THE LOCAL REGION...MAINTAINING RELATIVELY DRY
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA. FOR TUESDAY...THE NORTHERN PART OF A
TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER THE AREA...INCREASING SOMEWHAT
THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS. MEANWHILE...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...AND IS EXPECTED TO
BE LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE AREA FRIDAY NEXT WEEK...TO ENHANCE THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REGION.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS ALL TAF SITES THROUGH
AT LEAST 08/18Z. BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDS WITH MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 08/18Z-08/22Z AT TJMZ AND TJBQ.
WINDS WILL CONTINUE MAINLY EAST AT 10 TO 15 KTS AT THE SURFACE.




&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 79 89 79 / 20 20 20 20
STT 89 79 89 80 / 10 30 30 20
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 15666
Good night everyone!

National Hurricane Center Discussion

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IS CAUSING
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE WRN CARIBBEAN
INCLUDING MUCH OF CUBA...NICARAGUA...HONDURAS...BELIZE...NRN
GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. SEE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION
ABOVE FOR MORE DETAILS. THERE ARE ALSO SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS COSTA RICA...PANAMA...AND NRN COLOMBIA DUE TO A PORTION
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH THAT EXTENDS ACROSS SRN PANAMA TO NRN
COLOMBIA. AFTERNOON CONVECTION IS ALSO ACROSS PORTIONS OF ERN
CUBA AND HISPANIOLA. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE BASIN...FAIR WEATHER
IS MAINTAINED BY DRY AIR ALOFT AROUND AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
CENTERED NEAR THE NRN LESSER ANTILLES. A WEAK UPPER TROUGH IS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BETWEEN THIS UPPER RIDGE AND A
SECOND UPPER RIDGE COVERING THE WRN CARIBBEAN. THE UPPER TROUGH
IS NOT CAUSING ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER. TRADEWIND FLOW OF 15-20
KTS IS PRESENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE BASIN REACHING 25 KTS IN THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. EVEN THOUGH THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL EXIT THE
CARIBBEAN SHORTLY...MOISTURE WILL LIKELY REMAIN OVER THE WRN
PORTION OF THE BASIN FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

8:05PM
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
253 PM AST SAT JUL 7 2012

.SYNOPSIS...A GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO
PREVAIL DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS OR SO AS A RIDGE ALOFT PERSISTS
OVER THE FORECAST AREA. UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS THEN FORECAST TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC BY MID WEEK.

&&

DISCUSSION...RIDGE PATTERN ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO PERSIST ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS FEATURE WILL CONTINUE
TO PROMOTE MAINLY DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS. HOWEVER...PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN THE
TRADES WILL INTERACT WITH LOCAL EFFECTS AND DIURNAL HEATING TO
PRODUCE CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS EACH AFTERNOON. FOR MID WEEK...AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS THEN FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC...RESULTING IN A BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY.
MEANWHILE...AT LOW LEVELS...A STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS
THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE A MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND FLOW...BECOMING EAST TO
SOUTHEAST ON MONDAY/TUESDAY.

TO SUMMARIZE...UNDER THE PREVAILING WIND FLOW...CONTINUE TO
EXPECT A FEW PASSING SHOWERS ACROSS THE EAST COASTAL SECTIONS
OF THE ISLANDS DURING THE MORNING HOURS...FOLLOWED BY AFTERNOON
CONVECTION WHICH WILL BE MAINLY FOCUSED ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS
OF PUERTO RICO. SOME OF THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THIS
WEATHER SCENARIO MAY CHANGE BY MID WEEK AS AFOREMENTIONED UPPER
TROUGH DEVELOPS ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC ENHANCING SOMEWHAT
THE SHOWER DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...SCT SHRA/ISOLD TSRA TO DIMINISH LATE AFT IN SW PR.
OTHW PR/USVI WILL BE VFR XCP REMOTE PSBL SHRA TONIGHT. LLVL WIND
E 10-20 KT BCMG 10-15 KT OVERNIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...TRANQUIL MARINE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL
ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS WITH SEAS UP TO 5 FEET AND WINDS UP TO
18 KNOTS THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT TUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 79 90 79 90 / 20 20 20 20
STT 79 89 80 89 / 20 20 30 30
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 15666
Met Service of Jamaica

July 7, 2012 at 5:00 a.m.

LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST

SIGNIFICANT FEATURE… A High Pressure Ridge is across the northern Caribbean including Jamaica.
Comment
The High Pressure Ridge should remain across the area for the weekend.


24-HOUR FORECAST

This Morning… Partly cloudy with windy conditions over southern parishes.
This Afternoon… Windy with isolated showers..
Tonight … Becoming fair.


Maximum temperatures expected today for:
Kingston 33 degrees Celsius
Montego Bay 33 degrees Celsius

3-DAY FORECAST (starting tomorrow)

Sun… Mainly sunny morning. Isolated showers and thunderstorms over hilly areas across the island during the afternoon.
Mon/Tue…Mainly sunny during the morning. Isolated showers and thunderstorms over sections of central and western parishes during the afternoon.


Regionally… A Tropical Wave is generating cloudy conditions across the western Caribbean.

ram
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Dominica Meteorological Service

Weather Outlook for Dominica and the Lesser Antilles

Issued: 12:00 PM on Saturday, July 7, 2012

A ridge of high pressure will continue to influence the weather conditions across the Eastern Caribbean over the next few days. Low level cloud patches drifting along with a brisk trade wind flow will result in occasional cloudiness with brief showers. Additionally,breezy and slightly hazy conditions are anticipated as a thin layer of Saharan dust lingers across the area.



Sea conditions will remain moderate throughout this weekend. However small craft operators and sea bathers should continue to exercise caution.



A tropical wave located in the central Atlantic is moving westward near 28 km/h.
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Good afternoon everyone!

National Hurricane Center Discussion

CARIBBEAN SEA...

ASIDE FROM CONVECTION MENTIONED UNDER TROPICAL WAVES...MOSTLY
FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE BEING OBSERVED ELSEWHERE ACROSS
THE BASIN DUE TO A COMBINATION OF DRY AIR ALOFT AND SOME
SAHARAN DUST INTRUSION FROM THE PREVIOUS DAYS INTO THE
AREA. EASTERLY TRADE WIND FLOW OF 15-25 KT IS ACROSS MUCH OF THE
BASIN...EXCEPT HIGHER IN THE 25-30 KT WITH IN THE SW PORTION
FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 70W-78W. THESE HIGHER WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO LAST ANOTHER 24 HRS BEFORE DIMINISHING SOME.

2:05PM
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Good morning.Good weather in general is expected with hazy and warm next few days with only a few showers.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
511 AM AST SAT JUL 7 2012

.SYNOPSIS...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE
REGION NEXT FEW DAYS. UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP
OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC MID NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ONLY LIGHT PASSING SHOWERS WERE NOTED
OVERNIGHT...MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. GENERALLY..DRY WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH AT
LEAST TUESDAY...AS A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO
DOMINATE THE LOCAL REGION. SAHARAN DUST WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY...WITH NAAPS AEROSOL MODEL
INDICATING ANOTHER ROUND OF SAHARAN DUST BY MID NEXT WEEK.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC MID NEXT WEEK...WHICH WILL HELP TO DESTABILIZE THE LOCAL
ATMOSPHERE SOMEWHAT...ENHANCING THE DEVELOPMENT OF AFTERNOON
SHOWERS WITH POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAINLY OVER THE
WESTERN INTERIOR AND MOUNTAIN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. IN THE
MEANTIME...ONLY PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ARE EXPECTED TO
AFFECT THE REGION FROM TIME TO TIME.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS ALL TAF SITES THROUGH
AT LEAST 07/18Z. BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS WITH MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS CAN BE EXPECTED BETWEEN 07/18Z-07/22Z AT TJMZ AND
TJBQ. HAZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT MOST TAF
SITES...HOWEVER...VISIBILITIES WILL REMAIN VFR FOR NOW. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE MAINLY EAST AT 10 TO 15 KTS AT THE SURFACE.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 79 89 79 / 20 20 20 20
STT 89 79 89 80 / 20 20 20 20
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 15666
Good evening everyone!

National Hurricane Center Discussion

CARIBBEAN SEA...

MOIST CONDITIONS COVER THE NW CARIBBEAN ASSOCIATED WITH A
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO E OF NICARAGUA.
STRONG SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS COVER WRN CUBA WITH MORE SCATTERED
ACTIVITY OVER WATER. THE ACTIVITY OVER CUBA IS ALSO LIKELY
ENHANCED BY DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AROUND THE ERN SIDE OF A BROAD
UPPER TROUGH COVERING THE EXTREME SRN GULF OF MEXICO AND THE FAR
NW CARIBBEAN. SEE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION ABOVE FOR MORE DETAILS.
A LARGE CLUSTER OF STRONG SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IS ALSO IN THE
SW CARIBBEAN FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 80W-83W. EVEN THOUGH THE
TROPICAL WAVE IS JUST N OF THIS CLUSTER...IT IS MOST LIKELY
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE E PACIFIC
ACROSS COSTA RICA TO NRN COLOMBIA. THIS SECTION ALSO LIES
UNDERNEATH AN AREA OF DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ON THE WRN SIDE OF AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE COVERING THE SW GULF. THE CENTRAL AND ERN
CARIBBEAN IS EXPERIENCING MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER DUE TO DRY AIR
ALOFT AROUND AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE COVERING THE ERN CARIBBEAN.
TRADEWIND FLOW OF 15-20 KT IS ACROSS MUCH OF THE BASIN REACHING
25 KT IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. EXPECT THE TROPICAL WAVE TO
CONTINUE MOVING WWD ACROSS THE BASIN WITH FAIR WEATHER REMAINING
IN ITS WAKE.

8:05PM
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Met Service of Jamaica

NEWS RELEASE

Thursday, July 5, 2012 – 5:00 p.m.

*** INCREASED SHOWERS STILL EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY***

A strong Tropical Wave, currently across Hispaniola, is expected to move across Jamaica Thursday night into Friday morning.

While the Wave is across Jamaica, showers and thunderstorms, which may be heavy at times, are likely to affect most parishes but particularly eastern parishes. Expect widespread showers and thunderstorms on Thursday night through Friday morning, with an improvement in weather conditions by Friday afternoon.

Fishers and other marine interests should exercise caution as strong, gusty winds are expected in the vicinity of showers and thunderstorms.

The Meteorological Service will continue to monitor the situation.

vtj/kjg
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Belize National Meteorological Service

Date:


FRIDAY 6TH JULY 2012

Time:


6:00AM

General Situation:


RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS WIL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT...

24hr Forecast:


MOSTLY SUNNY TODAY AND PARTLY CLOUDY TONIGHT WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS GENERALLY ISOLATED.

Winds:


EAST - NORTHEAST 10-20 KNOTS

Sea State:


CHOPPY - MODERATE

Outlook:


(SAT & SAT NIGHT) BECOMING CLOUDY WITH SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOST AREAS, AS A TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHES AND CROSSES THE COUNTRY.
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Dominica Meteorological Service

Weather Outlook for Dominica and the Lesser Antilles

Issued: 6:00 AM on Friday, July 6, 2012

A ridge of high pressure is the dominant feature across the Eastern Caribbean. Low level clouds moving with a brisk trade wind flow will result in occasionally cloudy skies and brief showers. Additionally, hazy and breezy conditions are anticipated across the islands.



Meanwhile, instability over the extreme southern Caribbean will produce unsettled weather over Trinidad and the Guianas.



Sea conditions will remain moderate during the next couple days with swells peaking near 8.0 feet. Some improvement is anticipated along the eastern coast of the island on the weekend.



A tropical wave located in the central Atlantic is moving westward near 37 km/h.
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Good morning everyone. I'm getting some light showers from the tropical wave east of Jamaica...hopefully we'll get a lot more.

National Hurricane Center Discussion

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 24N72W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...PASSING
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CUBA AND EASTERN JAMAICA...TO 13N79W IN THE
CARIBBEAN SEA.
RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH OF 15N
BETWEEN 66W AND 83W IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA...AND IN THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN FROM 20N TO 24N BETWEEN 60W AND 76W.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 8N73W...BEYOND THE COLOMBIA/PANAMA
BORDER...TO 8N81W IN PANAMA...BEYOND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...
INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION IS IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE
LINE THAT RUNS FROM THE EAST CENTRAL COASTAL PLAINS OF NICARAGUA
TO COASTAL COLOMBIA NEAR 10N76W...AND IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN COASTAL WATERS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA TO THE NORTH OF 6N
TO THE EAST OF 80W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION
IS IN COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 5N BETWEEN 72W AND 73W...AND FROM
6N TO 10N BETWEEN 73W AND 77W IN COLOMBIA. THE SOUTHWESTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FINDS ITSELF IN A BROAD SURFACE
CYCLONIC ENVELOPE.

8:05PM
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Good morning. No big rainmaker events are forecast for the next few days.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
516 AM AST FRI JUL 6 2012

.SYNOPSIS...A MID LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS JUST NORTHEAST OF THE
FORECAST AREA. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
AS A DRIER AIR MASS WITH SAHARAN DUST MOVES OVER THE AREA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE TROPICAL WAVE WHICH THE BACK EDGE AFFECTED THE
REGION YESTERDAY CONTINUED TO MOVE WEST AND AWAY FROM THE LOCAL
REGION. AT THIS MOMENT THIS WAVE WAS LOCATED OVER HAITI. A MUCH
DRIER AIR MASS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REGION TODAY AS A SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL GENERATE A MORE
STABLE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS THE REGION. ALTHOUGH LIMITED...LINGERING
MOISTURE COULD INTERACT WITH LOCAL EFFECTS AND GENERATE ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
MAINLY OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. TODAY MAIN
CONCERN WILL THE INCREASING SAHARAN DUST ACROSS THE REGION.

SATELLITE IMAGES ARE SHOWING AN AREA OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ABOUT 250
MILES EAST OF THE ISLAND OF ST MARTIN. THIS AREA OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE COULD BE REACHING THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT
AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...INCREASING SLIGHTLY THE SHOWER AND
CLOUD COVERAGE ACROSS THE EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS. THE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTHEAST WILL BE THE MAIN
LIMITING FACTOR FOR THESE SHOWER DEVELOPMENT.

INCOMING WEEK...MODELS SUGGEST SEVERAL AREAS OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
MOVING ACROSS THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA. THEREFORE EXPECT SHOWERS IN
THE MORNING AFFECTING THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND EASTERN PORTIONS PUERTO
RICO AND AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE ISLAND..


&&

.AVIATION...
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS ALL TAF SITES THROUGH
AT LEAST 06/18Z. BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS WITH MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS CAN BE EXPECTED BETWEEN 06/18Z-06/22Z AT TJMZ AND TJBQ.
HAZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT MOST TAF SITES...HOWEVER...
VISIBILITIES WILL REMAIN VFR FOR NOW. WINDS WILL CONTINUE MAINLY
EAST AT 10 TO 15 KTS AT THE SURFACE.


&&

.MARINE...A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS THE NORTH
CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS
ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY. FOR THIS
REASON MARINERS ARE URGED TO EXERCISE A CAUTIONS ACROSS PUERTO
RICO AND USVI LOCAL WATERS DUE TO STRONG WINDS. THE WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO RELAX AFTER SATURDAY NIGHT.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 78 90 79 / 20 30 30 40
STT 90 79 90 80 / 20 50 50 40
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 15666
Good night everyone!

National Hurricane Center Discussion

CARIBBEAN SEA...

WHILE THE NW CARIBBEAN IS UNDER MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS DUE TO
DRY AIR ALOFT...THE SW CARIBBEAN IS COVERED IN MOIST CONDITIONS.
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS COVER THE AREA S OF 15N BETWEEN
82W-86W...AND S OF 12N BETWEEN 77W-82W...INCLUDING MUCH OF
NICARAGUA...COSTA RICA...AND PANAMA. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY IS
INFLUENCED BY THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDING THROUGH PANAMA TO NRN
COLOMBIA. THIS AREA ALSO LIES UNDERNEATH AN UPPER OF DIFFLUENCE
ALOFT AROUND THE BASE OF A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH COVERING THE
NW CARIBBEAN...CUBA...AND THE BAHAMAS. THE UPPER TROUGH IS ALSO
ENHANCING CONVECTION NEAR A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN. SEE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION ABOVE. THE COMBINATION OF
THE WAVE AND THE UPPER TROUGH IS SUPPORTING
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF HISPANIOLA AND JAMAICA. DRY
AIR ALOFT IS BEGINNING TO MAKE ITS WAY ACROSS THE FAR ERN
CARIBBEAN BEHIND THE SURGE OF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE
PROVIDING FAIR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES. EXPECT THE
WAVE TO CONTINUE TO PUSH WWD DRAWING MOISTURE INTO THE CENTRAL
AND WRN CARIBBEAN.

8:05PM
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
It all ends tonight and a return to dry and hazy weather will occur from Friday going thru the weekend.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
319 PM AST THU JUL 5 2012

.SYNOPSIS...THE TRAILING EDGE OF A TROPICAL WAVE NOW CROSSING
PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST AND AWAY
FROM THE REGION TONIGHT...BUT MOISTURE WILL LINGER ACROSS THE MONA
PASSAGE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. A WEAK UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES
ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. A MID LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS JUST
NORTHEAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A DRIER AIR MASS WITH SAHARAN DUST MOVES
OVER THE AREA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AREAS OF STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
AFOREMENTIONED TROPICAL WAVE PRODUCED TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER THE EASTERN HALF
OF PUERTO RICO DURING LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. IN THE
TRAILING EDGE OF THE TROPICAL WAVE A SEVERE STORM FORMED AND MOVED
FROM PATILLAS NORTHWESTWARD TO VEGA BAJA. SOME REPORTS OF POWER
OUTAGES...DOWNED TREES AND STRONG WINDS WERE RECEIVED WITH THIS
SEVERE STORM. THE REST OF PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND USVI
RECEIVED MAINLY LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL.

WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING AS THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVES WESTWARD INTO HISPANOLA. ALL
OPERATIONAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE MOISTURE WILL DECREASE RAPIDLY
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT. PWAT WILL SUBSIDE FROM 2.1 TO
1.4 INCHES ON SATURDAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM THE EAST TO EAST-
NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY MORNING. A RELATIVELY DRIER AIR MASS WITH SAHARAN
DUST WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ISLANDS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...LIMITING
THE SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA.

&&

.AVIATION....NRMS SHRA OVR TAF SITES WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER XPCT VFR THROUGH TUE XCP FOR OBSCURING SOME MTNS
REST OF TODAY...AND IN ISOLD/SCT SHRA AT TIMES. LLVL WINDS WILL BE E
TO ESE 15 TO 30 KT.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS WILL BE NEAR 6 FEET IN MANY AREAS TODAY AND
TONIGHT...SUBSIDING SLOWLY AFTER THAT. THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
SURROUNDING WATERS MAY DRIVE SEAS LOCALLY HIGHER. SCATTERED
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND BUT A GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT
IS EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 80 91 80 89 / 40 40 30 30
STT 80 90 80 89 / 40 40 50 50
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 15666
The Bahamas Meteorology Department

PUBLIC FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT THURSDAY 05TH JULY 2012.

GENERAL SITUATION: A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE REMAINS STATIONARY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND LOW OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS CONTINUES TO TRIGGER SOME CONVECTION AROUND THE GREAT BAHAMA BANKS AND THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS.

FOR NORTHWEST BAHAMAS

WEATHER: MOSTLY SUNNY, HUMID AND HOT WITH FEW BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS LIKELY TODAY EXCEPT FOR SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS OR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER THE GREAT AND LITTLE BAHAMA BANKS AREA. FEW CLOUDS AND WARM AT NIGHT WITH THE CHANCE OF A SHOWER.
ADVISORY: BOATERS OVERALL AREAS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS IN OR NEAR HEAVY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORM.
WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS IN THE NW BAHAMAS
SEAS: 2 TO 4 FEET OVER THE NW BAHAMAS.


DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURE 92°F 33°C.
OVERNITE LOW TEMPERATURE 79°F 26°C.

SUNRISE: 6:25 AM THU. MOONSET: 8:19 AM THU.
SUNSET : 8:04 PM THU. MOONRISE:9:38 PM THU.

HIGH TIDE 9:39 AM THU. & 10:05 PM THU.
LOW TIDE 3:47 PM THU. & 4:32 AM FRI.

FORECAST FOR FRIDAY

WEATHER: PARTLY SUNNY AND HOT IN THE NW BAHAMAS BUT PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
WINDS E TO SE AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS ACROSS THE EXTREME NW BAHAMAS BUT EASTERLY AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS ELSEWHERE.
SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET IN THE EXTREME NW BAHAMAS BUT 4 TO 7 FEET OVER THE AREA ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST FOR SATURDAY

WEATHER: PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ACROSS THE NW AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
WINDS E TO SE AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS IN THE NW AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND E TO SE AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS IN THE SE BAHAMAS.
SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET IN THE NW AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND 4 TO 6 FEET OVER THE SE BAHAMAS.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK: …TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.




END..gg
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Dominica Meteorological Service

Weather Outlook for Dominica and the Lesser Antilles

Issued: 12:00 PM on Thursday, July 5, 2012

A ridge of high pressure is now the dominant feature across the Eastern Caribbean as moisture associated with a previous tropical wave continue to move away from the islands. As a result, fair to partly cloudy skies, breezy and hazy conditions with a few scattered showers can be expected over the islands during the next 24 hours.



Meanwhile instability over the extreme south Caribbean will produce unsettled weather over Trinidad and the Guianas.




Sea conditions will remain moderate during the next couple days with swells peaking near 8 feet. Some improvement is anticipated along the eastern coast of the island, on the weekend.
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Good afternoon everyone!

National Hurricane Center Discussion

THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

BROAD UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA TO THE
NORTH OF 29N BETWEEN 30W AND 50W. IT IS POSSIBLE TO FIND
MULTIPLE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERS WITHIN THE LARGER-SCALE
AREA OF BROAD CYCLONIC WIND FLOW. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG
35N46W 29N47W 22N49W. NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION IS APPARENT.

A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT
IS NEAR 28N56W TO 28N71W...ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA...TO A 1018 MB
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N84W.

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT IS SWEEPING ACROSS SPAIN AND PORTUGAL
SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N11W TO 31N20W.
NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION ACCOMPANIES THE
FRONT.


8:05AM
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Good morning. It has been a wet overnight hours in PR with some heavy showers with thunder. For today,we can expect more rain as the tail of wave moves thru.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
446 AM AST THU JUL 5 2012

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH MID-WEEK NEXT WEEK. LOW PRESSURE
THEN ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN ON THURSDAY AND MOVES ACROSS
PUERTO RICO OVER THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND.

AT MID LEVELS...A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE CONTINUES ACROSS THE
ATLANTIC BETWEEN 20 AND 30 NORTH LATITUDE. HIGH PRESSURE FORMS IN
THE ATLANTIC ON MONDAY AND STRENGTHENS AS IT MOVES INTO THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC...PEAKING WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A TROUGH MOVES
SOUTH OF THE HIGH AND INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN ON FRIDAY.

AT LOWER LEVELS...THE LAST LEG OF A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS WILL MOVE ACROSS PUERTO RICO TODAY. SOME MOISTURE
WILL TRAIL THIS WAVE BUT A GRADUAL DRYING TREND WILL SET UP
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS WILL
CONTINUE DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE THAT CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE
ATLANTIC AND EXTENDS FARTHER WEST TOWARD THE UNITED STATES LATER
NEXT WEEK. A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE WILL PASS MAINLY SOUTH OF THE AREA
ON TUESDAY WITH A SECOND TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK. NEITHER WAVE IS
EXPECTED TO BE AS STRONG AS THE PRESENT WAVE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING
HAVE GROWN IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY SINCE MIDNIGHT BUT DIMINISHED
SINCE 05/08Z. PART OF THIS BAND WAS CROSSING THROUGH VIEQUES AS OF
05/08Z...BUT MUCH OF THE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS ARE WITHIN
10 OR 15 MILES OF SOME ACTIVE SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. THE BAND
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS PUERTO RICO DURING THE MORNING
HOURS BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL. AT THIS TIME ONLY URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS
EXPECTED AS SHOWERS HAVE BEEN MOVING AT ALMOST 30 KNOTS TOWARD THE
WEST NORTHWEST. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR
SOME VERY STRONG WIND GUSTS...AND WINDS HIGHER THAN 45 KNOTS HAVE
BEEN SEEN ON THE DOPPLER RADAR JUST BELOW 5 THOUSAND FEET. THESE
ARE LIKELY TO AFFECT SOUTHEAST PUERTO RICO SOMETIME BEFORE 6 AM
AST...BUT NOT WITH THE FULL FORCE NOTED AT 5 THOUSAND FEET. BOTH
THE NAM AND THE GFS NOTE VERY UNSTABLE LIFTED INDICES THAT
CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME THERE IS NO REAL
AGREEMENT ON MOISTURE BETWEEN THE THREE MAIN MODELS. THE 12 HOUR
ACCUMULATION IN THE NAM12 LEAVES NO RAIN OVER SAN JUAN ON
TODAY...THE GFS IS AGGRESSIVE DURING THE MORNING HOURS BUT
DROPS POPS BELOW 50 PERCENT AFTER 05/18Z...THE ECMWF HAS GOOD
MOISTURE AT 05/12Z BUT BEGINS DRYING THE AREA OUT AT 06/00Z AND
THE NAM5 ACTUALLY RAMPS POPS UP AFTER 06/00Z TO BRING A BETTER
CHANCE OF RAIN...AT LEAST FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND EASTERN
PUERTO RICO TONIGHT. CURRENTLY THE MAIN AREA OF CONVECTION
APPEARS TO BE MOVING THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA AND SHOULD LEAVE BY
THIS AFTERNOON. BUT SOME UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND INSTABILITY
REMAIN AND MIMIC SHOWS THE BACK EDGE OF THE PRECIPITABLE
WATER...CURRENTLY EAST OF 60 WEST...MOVING MORE SLOWLY TOWARD
PUERTO RICO THAN IT HAD BEEN. THIS SUGGESTS THAT A LITTLE EXTRA
MOISTURE BEING ADDED TO THE BACK SIDE OF THE WAVE COUPLED WITH
CONTINUED INSTABILITY FAVOR THE FORMATION OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CARIBBEAN AND ATLANTIC WATERS EAST OF
PUERTO RICO INTO THE EVENING AND HAVE THEREFORE LEANED THE
FORECAST IN THIS DIRECTION. FROM THERE EXPECT DRYING THROUGH
SATURDAY. AN AREA OF MOISTURE CAN BE SEEN IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC
STRETCHING FROM 24 NORTH 45 WEST TO 14 NORTH 38 WEST BEHIND A WEAK
MID-LEVEL TROUGH THAT APPEARS TO BE HEADED OUR WAY AND WILL LIKELY
ADD TO SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE WEEKEND. IN FACT SOME WRAP-AROUND
FROM THE CURRENT WAVE MAY ALSO RETURN ON FRIDAY TO KEEP POPS
HIGHER THAN THE DUSTY AIR BEHIND THE WAVE WOULD SUGGEST. AFTER THE
WEEKEND THE GFS SUGGESTS A WEAK WAVE ON TUESDAY...THAT PASSES
MAINLY SOUTH AND ANOTHER TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK. THESE WAVES
APPEAR MORE FRAGMENTED AND ARE PERHAPS JOINED BY IMPULSES
ORIGINATING OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC RATHER THAN OFF OF AFRICA.


&&

.AVIATION...THE LAST LEG OF A TROPICAL WAVE HAS SPREAD
TSRA FROM THE LEEWARD ISLANDS TO THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND THE ERN COAST OF PUERTO RICO. THESE ARE ACCOMPANIED BY
STRONG TURBULENCE AND MVFR AND LCLY IFR CONDS IN VERY HEAVY RAIN.
CONDS WILL MOVE ACROSS PUERTO RICO DURING THE DAY AND EXPECT
WIDESPREAD MTN OBSCURATIONS OVER THE AREA THRU 05/22Z. LLVL WINDS
ARE 15 TO 30 KNOTS...BUT SPOTS REACHING ALMOST 50 KNOTS HAVE BEEN
OBSERVED ON DOPPLER RADAR BETWEEN 4 AND 10 KFT. ISOLATED TOPS TO
ALMOST 60 KFT HAVE BEEN OBSERVED BUT MOST AREAS ARE BELOW 30 KFT.


&&

.MARINE...SEAS WILL BE NEAR 6 FEET IN MANY AREAS TODAY AND
TONIGHT...SUBSIDING SLOWLY AFTER THAT. THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA
TODAY MAY DRIVE SEAS LOCALLY HIGHER...AND SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS FOR SQUALLY CONDITIONS.
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND BUT SOME
IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 80 91 80 / 60 60 50 30
STT 88 80 90 80 / 90 60 50 50
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 15666
Good night everyone!

National Hurricane Center Discussion

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA TO HELPING SUPPORT
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL AMERICA.
SOME OF THE ACTIVITY FARTHER S AND IN THE SW CARIBBEAN CAN ALSO
BE ATTRIBUTED TO THE E PACIFIC MONSOON TROUGH THAT EXTENDS S OF
PANAMA TO NRN COLOMBIA. CUBA IS ALSO IMPACTED BY HEAVY
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING AND
INSTABILITY. DESPITE THE WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY OVER LAND...THE NW
AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WATERS REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR DUE TO DRY AIR
ALOFT AROUND AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH COVERING MUCH OF THE BASIN
WITH AXIS FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO THE SW CARIBBEAN. A
SECOND TROPICAL WAVE IS BRINGING MOIST CONDITIONS TO THE ERN
CARIBBEAN WITH ACTIVITY ACROSS PUERTO RICO...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND THE NRN LESSER ANTILLES. SEE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION
FOR MORE DETAILS. ACTIVITY NEAR THE WAVE MAY ALSO BE INFLUENCED
BY DIFFLUENCE ALOFT BETWEEN THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE MAJORITY
OF THE BASIN...AND AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE ERN CARIBBEAN
ALONG 64W. EXPECT THE WAVE TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WWD DRAWING
MOISTURE INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.

8:05PM
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Good loud t'storm just rolled through here with lots of rain. Hoping for more...our cistern needs it!

Lindy
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
303 PM AST WED JUL 4 2012

.SYNOPSIS...A TUTT EXTENDS SOUTHWARDS ACROSS HISPANIOLA INTO THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALOFT EXTENDS
NORTHWARDS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN FROM THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN. THIS PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY AND
POSSIBLY INTO THE WEEKEND AS UPPER HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
OVERHEAD. STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS THE NORTH
CENTRAL ATLANTIC EXTENDS WEST SOUTHWEST INTO THE SOUTHWEST
ATLANTIC AND INTO THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN. A TROPICAL WAVE
CONTINUED TO CROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES WITH LEADING EDGE NOW
MOVING ACROSS THE THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR
AND SATELLITE IMAGERY...AS WELL AS SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED
THAT QUICK BURSTS OF SQUALLY CONDITIONS HAVE BEGAN TO MOVE ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...UPPER TROUGH TO THE WEST OF AREA WILL ALSO HELP
CREATE AREA OF DIFFLUENCE ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH THURSDAY AS TROUGH LIFTS FURTHER NORTHWEST AND HIGH
BUILDS OVERHEAD. THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
THROUGH THURSDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BRING INCREASING CLOUDINESS WITH
PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ISLANDS AND
SURROUNDING WATERS THROUGH THURSDAY. HOWEVER...EXPECT A BRIEF
LULL IN THE DETERIORATING WEATHER CONDITIONS BY LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT WHEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL TAPER OFF/DIMINISH
AS THE WAVE AXIS MOVES OVER THE AREA. BY EARLY MORNING THURSDAY
AND POSSIBLY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...EXPECT THE MOIST TRAILING
PORTION OF THE WAVE TO AFFECT THE AREA. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER
ROUND OF INCREASING CLOUDINESS AND SHOWER ACTIVITY TO THE REGION.
EXPECT PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS ALTHOUGH THE ACTIVITY
WILL BE FAST MOVING. IN ADDITION...STRONG WIND GUST BETWEEN 35 TO
40 MPH WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS AND SQUALLS.

OVERALL LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST A SLIGHTLY DRIER TREND WITH
INCREASING CONCENTRATION OF SAHARAN DUST BY LATE FRIDAY AND INTO
THE WEEKEND. STILL HOWEVER SUSPECT THAT THERE WILL BE SUFFICIENT
RESIDUAL MOISTURE AROUND TO AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF EARLY
MORNING AND AFTERNOON CONVECTION ACROSS PARTS OF THE ISLANDS. BY
THEN EXPECT ACTIVITY TO BE MAINLY IN ISOLATED AREAS. MODEL
GUIDANCE ALSO SUGGEST LOW LEVEL TROUGH IS TO APPROACH THE REGION
LATE SATURDAY OR SUNDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING SLIGHTLY MORE EAST
NORTHEAST. THIS AGAIN MAY BRING ADDITIONAL PERIODS OF SHOWERS TO
THE REGION. SO FAR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED.

&&

.AVIATION...SHRA/TSRA EN ROUTE TO THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND MOVG ACROSS
PR ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE NOW JUST EAST OF THE USVI. AS A
RESULT...MVFR/IFR CONDS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS UP 40 KTS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE LOCAL TAFS SITES IN PASSING SHRA/TSRA. LLVL EAST TO NORTHEAST
WINDS OF 15 TO 30 KTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...VEERING
TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

&&

.CLIMATE...TODAY MARKED 36 CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF TEMPERATURES OF 90
DEGREES OR MORE AT THE SAN JUAN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. THIS OFFICIALLY
BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 35 CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF TEMPERATURES 90 DEGREES
OR HIGHER WHICH WAS SET IN 1981 AND WAS TIED YESTERDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 79 89 80 89 / 50 50 40 40
STT 79 89 81 89 / 60 60 40 40
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 15666
000
ABNT20 KNHC 041734
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA AND THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
LESSER ANTILLES...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO...AND OVER
ADJACENT WATERS. A WIND GUST TO 46 MPH WAS REPORTED EARLIER TODAY
IN A BRIEF SQUALL AT ST. CROIX. GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY SOME OF THE STRONGER SQUALLS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0
PERCENT
...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/KIMBERLAIN
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Services

ISSUED AT: 10:12AM
Date:Wednesday 04th of July 2012

Meteorologist: Akil Nancoo

FOR THE PERIOD THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT:
TRINIDAD & TOBAGO:
Sunny spells will be interrupted by a few light to
moderate showers in varying localities. There is
the slight chance of the afternoon thundershower
occurring in a few confined areas.

THE REMAINDER OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
Cloudy with intermittent moderate to heavy and at
times thundery showers occurring in broad areas.



Gusty winds,street and flash flooding may occur
in heavy showers and thundershowers.


SEAS: Normal
WAVES: 2.0mIN OPEN WATERS
Near calm IN SHLTD AREAS

Temperature Units:Celsius



FORECAST MAX TEMP.
Piarco: 33 Crown Point: 31
Tides ISSUED AT: 05:40PM
Date:Tuesday 03rd of July 2012

Port of Spain HIGH 03:53am 03:03pm LOW 10:29am 10:37pm
Scarborough HIGH 03:38am 04:46pm LOW 10:20am 10:27pm
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979
Dominica Meteorological Service

Weather Outlook for Dominica and the Lesser Antilles
Issued: 6:00 AM on Wednesday, July 4, 2012

A tropical wave located near the Lesser Antilles is moving westward near 28 km/h. This wave is expected to result in an increase in cloudiness with showers and possible isolated thunderstorms across the region during the next 12 to 24 hours.

Residence in areas prone to flooding, landslides and falling rocks are advised to exercise caution.

Sea conditions will remain moderate during the next 24 hours with swells peaking near 8 feet.
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 14 Comments: 8979

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Kingston,
Elevation: 731 ft
Temperature: 80.0 °F
Dew Point: 73.0 °F
Humidity: 80%
Wind: 1.0 mph from the NE
Wind Gust: 0.0 mph
Updated: 10:38 PM EST on July 29, 2015

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