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Last Updated: 2:41 PM GMT on June 18, 2009 — Last Comment: 12:31 AM GMT on July 29, 2009

	EARLY SEASON TC ACTIVITY FOR ATLANTIC BASIN.

Posted by: ncforecaster, 2:41 PM GMT on June 18, 2009

Hey everyone,

This blog entry continues my ongoing research into Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone activity. In this entry, I have focused on all Tropical Cyclones that achieved Tropical Storm intensity during the early season months of June and July. In addition, I have also listed the unusual Tropical Storms that developed prior to the official start of a respective hurricane season (January 1-May 31).

THE CLIMATOLOGICAL RECORD BY THE NUMBERS:

This constitutes an extensive historical review regarding hurricane season climatological storm data for the past 59 seasons (1950-2008).

ALL TROPICAL STORMS:

JANUARY:

1978

FEBRUARY:

1952

APRIL:

1992 (ST), 2003

MAY:

1951, 1953, 1959, 1970, 1972, 1976, 1981, 2007, 2008

JUNE:

3 = 1968
2 = 1957, 1959, 1982, 1986, 1997, 2003, 2005
1 = 1954, 1956, 1958, 1960, 1964, 1965, 1966, 1972, 1974, 1975, 1979, 1981, 1989, 1993, 1994, 1995, 1996, 1999, 2001, 2006, 2007
0 = 1950, 1951, 1952, 1953, 1955, 1961, 1962, 1963, 1967, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1973, 1976, 1977, 1978, 1980, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1987, 1988, 1990, 1991, 1992, 1998, 2000, 2002, 2004, 2008

JULY:

5 = 2005
4 = 1966, 1995
3 = 1989, 1990, 1997, 2008
2 = 1959, 1960, 1970, 1973, 1979, 1985, 1996, 2003
1 = 1954, 1955, 1956, 1961, 1963, 1964, 1969, 1971, 1974, 1975, 1976, 1978, 1991, 1998, 2002, 2004, 2006, 2007
0 = 1950, 1951, 1952, 1953, 1957, 1958, 1962, 1965, 1967, 1968, 1972, 1977, 1980, 1981, 1982, 1983, 1984, 1986, 1987, 1988, 1992, 1993, 1994, 1999, 2000, 2001

ALL U.S. TROPICAL STORM LANDFALLS:

Note: These totals combine both Tropical Storm and Hurricane landfalls (i.e. all named storms).

FEBRUARY:

1952

MAY:

1959, 1972, 1976

JUNE:

3 = 1968
2 = 1957
1 = 1953, 1956, 1958, 1960, 1965, 1966, 1972, 1974, 1981, 1982, 1986, 1989, 1993, 1995, 1996, 2001, 2003, 2005, 2006
0 = 1950, 1951, 1952, 1954, 1955, 1959, 1961, 1962, 1963, 1964, 1967, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1973, 1975, 1976, 1977, 1978, 1979, 1980, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1987, 1988, 1990, 1991, 1992, 1994, 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2002, 2004, 2007, 2008

JULY:

2 = 1959, 1970, 1979, 2005
1 = 1954, 1960, 1978, 1985, 1994, 1995, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2006, 2008
0 = 1950, 1951, 1952, 1953, 1955, 1956, 1957, 1958, 1961, 1962, 1963, 1964, 1965, 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1974, 1975, 1976, 1977, 1980, 1981, 1982, 1983, 1984, 1986, 1987, 1988, 1989, 1990, 1991, 1992, 1993, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2004, 2007

ALL U.S. HURRICANE LANDFALLS:

JUNE:

1 = 1957, 1966, 1972, 1986

JULY:

2 = 1959, 2005
1 = 1979, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2008

ALL U.S. MAJOR HURRICANE LANDFALLS:

JUNE:

1 = 1957

JULY:

1 = 2005

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	MY 2009 FORECAST/BY THE NUMBERS.

Posted by: ncforecaster, 11:00 AM GMT on June 09, 2009

Hey everyone,I hope you are each having a wonderful 2009 thus far.:) This particular blog entry will contain the numerical data that corresponds to My 2009 Atlantic Basin hurricane seasonal forecast. In the preceeding entry, I provided the meterological reasoning as to what I expect to materialize during the season. Since the time I prepared this forecast (May 31), it has become even more likely that the weak El Nino I have been forecasting too develop...may do s...

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Updated: 11:04 AM GMT on June 09, 2009

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	MY 2009 ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL FORECAST.

Posted by: ncforecaster, 8:12 PM GMT on June 04, 2009

WHAT FACTORS INFLUENCED MY SEASONAL HURRICANE FORECAST?1) AMO CYCLE: As I have discussed in previous blog entries, the AMO cycle is the abbreviation for the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation. To reiterate, it is a decades long change in regional (i.e. Atlantic Basin) upper level atmospheric wind patterns (circulation) that greatly influence the major parameters affecting both tropical cyclone (TC) formation, as well as their subsequent ability to intensify.The majo...

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	EL NINO/LA NINA/NEUTRAL ENSO/AMO:WHAT HISTORY TELLS US!

Posted by: ncforecaster, 1:51 AM GMT on April 17, 2009

Hey everyone,This is my very first blog entry for 2009. I hope each one of you (and your families) have had a good new year thus far. As I have tried to do since I first joined this community in late October of 2005, I want to post a few blog entries that will hopefully help others gain a greater understanding of Tropical Cyclone (TC) forecasting and the many atmospheric parameters that influence them. For the first entry of this new year, I have decided to once ...

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Updated: 4:39 AM GMT on April 20, 2009

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	HAPPY HOLIDAYS TO ALL/THANKS, ETC.

Posted by: ncforecaster, 9:03 PM GMT on December 22, 2008

Hey everyone,I wanted to take a moment to thank each one of you who have left me such very thoughtful comments/sentiments in both my previous blog entry here, as well as via email correspondence (that I hadn't had a chance to do so previously). Since I presume email communication is meant to be private, I will simply acknowledge those of you specifically whom exhibited such kindness "publicly" in both my hurricanchaser and ncforecaster blogs...while I have been awa...

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Updated: 9:06 PM GMT on December 22, 2008

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