H "DANIELLE" LINKS, GRAPHICS, AND RESOURCES.

By: ncforecaster , 9:48 AM GMT on August 24, 2010

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Hey everyone,

As was the case with TS "Colin", I am once again posting a blog entry that contains the majority of weather links and pertinent data that I typically use myself-for the purpose of TC forecasting. It is not an all exclusive list, but one that I feel will best serve those who take the time to read this particular blog entry.

As many of you already know, I just simply haven't had the time to blog here as consistently as I once did. That being said, I will make an asserted effort to post occasionally (as time permits) when the U.S. coastline is threatened by a significant TC event. In the meantime, I want to wish each one of you the very best and hope you have a great rest of the week.:)

Most sincerely,
Tony

American Red Cross "Hurricane" Preparedness Website.

SPECIAL SECTION: MOST SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LAND AREAS (ATLANTIC BASIN):



The above "image" is the latest Infrared (IR) Satellite Image of H Danielle. (Courtesy of SSD/NOAA).



Latest NHC Public Advisory.

Latest NHC Forecast Discussion.

Latest NWS Local Hurricane Statements.

Note: The "Local" Hurricane Stsatements will be available once a particular locality is threatened by a TC.

LOCAL STORM EVENT/NWS RADARS:

These will be made available when a TC is within radar range of a particular locality.



Latest NOAA Recon "Vortex" Data message

"Live" Recon Data Decoder (Courtesy of "Tropical Atlantic").

Latest Buoy and Ship Observations (Courtesy of NDBC)



The above "image" is the latest "Visible" Satellite Image of H Danielle.



The above image contains the 120 hour forecast tracks of the major global computer models-courtesy of WU. If this image doesn't update automatically at 6 hour intervals, you can access the updated and most recent graphic here.

H DANIELLE SATELLITE LOOPS (Courtesy of SSD/NOAA):

A) Latest "Visible" Satellite Loop
B) Latest "Infrared" Satellite Loop
C) Latest "Water Vapor" Satellite Loop
D) Latest "Dvorak IR" Satellite Loop
E) Latest Close-Up "Water Vapor" Satellite Loop

SECTION #1: TROPICAL CYCLOGENESIS FORECASTS/ANALYSIS:

WHAT TO LOOK FOR IN IDENTIFYING A TC.



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK "TEXT" (NHC)

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION (NHC)


The Above Graphic is the 48 hour Forecasted "Surface" map for the Atlantic Basin (courtesy of NHC).

OPC "Current" Atlantic Basin Surface Analysis



The latest "Wide View" Satellite Image of the Atlantic Basin (Courtesy of SSD/NOAA). Also, here is the latest "Visible" Satellite Loop as well.

The latest Satellite Loops can be found here (It is best to use the respective "Floaters" for analyzing specific invests and/or TC's).



This image shows the latest IR 200 MB Velocity Potential Anomalies. Here is the link to other "MJO" resources courtesy of the CPC.

RAMMB "Real Time" Storm Data

Navy (NRL) Tropical Page

The Latest "Quickscat" Satellite Data.

Latest Dvorak Intensity Estimates (Courtesy of Satellite Services Division)

Latest ADT (Advanced Dvorak Technique) Estimate (Courtesy of CIMSS)

TC Phase Analysis (Courtesy of FSU).

MIMIC (Microwave Satellite Imagery) Courtesy of CIMSS



This is the latest Map designating "favorable" areas for TC development in the Atlantic Basin (Courtesy of PSU). Also, here is the link to PSU Tropical Weather Page that also includes the GFS "Long Range Model" forecasts, etc.

SECTION #2: THE LATEST COMPUTER FORECAST MODEL TRACK GUIDANCE:

Latest Major Global Computer Model Track Guidance (Courtesy of FSU).

ECMWF Computer Model Runs (00Z and 12 Z)-courtesy of Raleighwx/Easternuswx.

South Florida Water Management District (SFWMD) Model graphics

Latest NHC TC Model Output Graphics (Track and Intensity forecasts) Courtesy of FSU.

TC Track and Intensity Model Plots (Courtesy of MIT)

The "Weather Underground" Tropical Weather Page (includes excellent computer model graphics for respective TC's, etc.)

TC Model Guidance Courtesy of CSU.

SECTION #3: ENVIRONMENTAL/ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS (ATLANTIC BASIN):

A) Wind Shear/Upper Level Wind Maps:



The above "wind shear" map displays current conditions (Courtesy of "CIMSS)

NOAA SSD "Current" Wind Shear Map

GFS 72 Hour Wind Shear Forecast (Courtesy of WU)

NAVY Wind Shear Forecasts For the NOGAPS and GFS Models.

Saharan Air Layer Map (Courtesy of CIMSS)

TC Mean Steering Layer Maps (courtesy of CIMSS)

Upper Level Conditions (includes UL winds, vorticity, divergence, convergence, wind shear, etc. all courtesy of CIMSS)

OPC 500 MB Forecast Maps

Unisey's UL Wind Data

B) Sea Surface Temperatures:



The two images displayed above reflect the SST's and SST anamolies for the Atlantic Basin through the past week. (Courtesy of the CPC).



This is the "latest" NOAA TC Heat Potential (TCHP) Map. Also, here is the link to other important SST data from the same site.

NOAA SST MAP

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2. depstein
10:40 AM GMT on August 27, 2010
Incredible. Danielle is a cat 4 and she isn't even in optimal hurricane development territory. God help us if something goes through the Carribean.
Member Since: August 27, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5
1. ncforecaster
10:02 AM GMT on August 24, 2010
I added a couple new links and maps to this particular blog entry.

That being said, please feel free to offer suggestions that could possibly make it even more user friendly. As it stands now, I sincerely hope these links, graphics, and resources might be beneficial to some.

More importantly, I hope each one of you are having a good start to the new week!:)
Member Since: May 17, 2006 Posts: 108 Comments: 1381

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