High school & college math teacher for the past 20 years. Skywarn storm spotter for the National Weather Service and volunteer for Houston County, AL
By: mvemjsunp , 11:14 AM GMT on April 03, 2014
When I make my "official" weather forecast, I do it the same way I predict the outcome of a college football game. I read everything I can about each team, look at what all the "experts" say, and then inject my own gut feeling. Sometimes I am right, but more times than not, I miss it. I have been a weather enthusiast my entire life, yet I am not sure if I am any better now than when I first began. For predicting rain, I have learned not to depend on any one particular indicator. But yesterday, I noticed three indicators of an approaching storm system: a falling barometer, a shift in the direction and speed of the winds, and the appearance of high cirrus clouds. I believe these are fairly accurate clues to rain. I guess you and I can put those indicators to the test over the next three days. The NWS does have a chance of rain in their forecast through Tuesday, and the possibility of severe or heavy rain does exist. If you get a chance, notice if the clouds start get a little thicker as the day progresses, and also see if you notice if the winds pick-up a little bit throughout the day. If these things happen, and it does rain this weekend, then maybe we can all become better weather guessers.
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