|By: mgreen91, 3:35 PM GMT on August 04, 2006||+0|
Tropical Storm Chris currently has winds of 40 mph and a pressure of 1012 mb. Chris is located at 20.8 N and 69.3 W or about 125 miles north of ESE of Grand Turk Island. It is moving West at 12 mph. Chris has not degenerated today and in fact has gained organization. Recon has reported 43 kt flight level winds in Chris which support a tropical storm. Currently, Chris mantains a large surface circulation that has quite alot of vorticity. An area of convection has begun to expand from the southeast quadrant of the storm and over part of the center. This will continue to add energy to Chris. Once again, Chris has amazingly mantained tropical storm strength and is continuing to organize. Shear is a large inhibitor now though as well as dry air. Despite an expected break in these conditions tomorrow, Chris will be probably limited to moderate tropical storm strength until it gets into the Gulf of Mexico. Before that point, Chris may bring tropical storm conditions across the Bahamas, Hisponolia, and Cuba, as well as Florida if Chris gets more north. Tropical storm watches are up for Northern Hisponolia as well as the Central Bahamas. Tropical Storm warnings are in effect in the South Eastern Bahamas. All interests along Chris's path must continue to monitor Chris. The heavy rains in Puerto Rico should start to taper off but, will continue in Hisponolia and possibly into the Bahamas. After Chris passes into the Gulf Of Mexico, it will have favorable conditions to strengthen. This is indicated by all computer models. That situation will have to be watched very closely when it happens. I will continue to update.
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