And--Cooler by the Lake :)

By: juslivn , 8:13 PM GMT on July 06, 2014

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July 15 -
CHITOWN COOLDOWN! High of 68 today and low of 49! It feels like a Lake Michigan cool breeze all the way inland and across N. Illinois today.

This is an old photo but appropriate :)


 photo Mollyhat1_zps6af85068.jpg">
Molly says 'CHILL BABY'


Heading into the heart of Summer in Northern Illinois. Let's see where the season takes us ;)

Feel free to post severe if I am not around, or anything you'd like to share (within reason, of course :) Stay safe all ships!

-'4th of July Family Picnic in the Heartland'-
4th of July in the Heartland photo 10388628_10204016849481011_87116591155193051161_n_zps6c8ae4f0.jpg">

Garden Progress July 2014 -

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44. Barefootontherocks
4:02 AM GMT on July 24, 2014
Miss(ed) you.
:)

Take care.
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 151 Comments: 18360
43. juslivn
3:45 AM GMT on July 24, 2014
Wow, I should have played the submarine diving signal this morning, lol. We went from incredibly hot and humid to cool and and clear last night very quickly. We did not get any storms or rain here with the front and I forgot to water the garden today. I did the flowers though. This is the first time I've had to water since they were seeds. That's pretty darn wet until now.

It was truly colder by the Lake today as I was out in Waukegan showing homes and it dropped by about 15 degrees from farther west. It was also very, very windy.

Any friends on FB need to just follow me there because it's still just soooo busy. There's some cute kitteh photos there on my page, and I found a baby bunny in a window well today whom i set free, lol! All in a day's work :)

Hope tomorrow is as sweet as it was today here in Chicagoland. No I do not ever, ever see any violence of the areas on the news here...we just are so far removed from all that stuff, even though we are less than 45 miles away. Seriously, that stuff is going on in an area of the city I have never even been to. It's like a foreign land...but distance can be that way It's all relative. There's probably people there who don't even know the Chain of Lakes is so close :/ It's amazing.

Ok ramble scramble...take care all ships at sea or in port, or where ever you may be. Trains are going to bed.

jibbin2's jibbin2033 album on Photobucket">
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
42. juslivn
5:05 AM GMT on July 22, 2014
Hi GG, yes stay-cation. :) As a matter of fact, I'd really like some stormy days to just catch up staying home and inside (and catch up on invests and WU!! I see headlines only and apparently there's something to watch, hmmm?? I better be careful what I wish for, eh??? Hope you are well!

Ylee...lol right! A tesla...
How bout a Hyundai ;) Elantra for work. It's a little bigger engine than the other coupe and may handle a bit better if I get caught in the snow. I'll take the Honda if I know it is going to be bad. Otherwise, it is a sporty car w/decent gas mileage and fits my signs and stuff. So far, it has 40 miles on it already and I <3 it!

And, now back to the weather....
Looks like we get back in the mix tomorrow:



Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
41. Ylee
10:53 PM GMT on July 21, 2014
You're not getting a Tesla, are you? ;' )
Member Since: February 3, 2011 Posts: 92 Comments: 15347
40. GardenGrrl
10:33 AM GMT on July 21, 2014
Oh, stay-cation road trip! Fun!
You do live in a great area.
Member Since: March 25, 2007 Posts: 249 Comments: 9306
39. juslivn
4:30 AM GMT on July 21, 2014
Hi ylee lol, yes us gals from Long Island are soo shady I guess we have trouble with our passports ..lol. Hope you stay out of the severe as we heat up. I'll be by soon to look in.

Hi sandi, we finally got the boat in and I'm picking up my new car tomorrow. Nothing fancy... A gas miser though for my work. Bz bz... Hope you are well too😉

Awesome story tonight !!! Mayflies show up on radar near the Mississippi!
Link
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
38. Ylee
2:24 PM GMT on July 20, 2014
Well, I hope the NSA isn't on your tail now! ;' ) Hope you're having a good weekend!
Member Since: February 3, 2011 Posts: 92 Comments: 15347
37. sandiquiz
12:03 PM GMT on July 20, 2014
Happy Sunday!

I love that photo at the top of your header - it just makes me smile everytime I see it.


Wherever you are, and whatever you're doing, I hope you're having fun :-)
Member Since: October 29, 2005 Posts: 288 Comments: 25977
36. juslivn
3:52 AM GMT on July 16, 2014
Nahhh, this is great sleeping weather! It is just like I were at Door County, a few miles nort...den the temps may drop at night ;) Hope you enjoyed your time off.

Guess what?? On my passpost: they asked for more documents!!! Yikes ! what's a natural irish/swedish/french canadian/ scotch American born woman from Long Island, NY supposed to do?? Swim the channel? Dang...
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
35. Ylee
3:47 AM GMT on July 16, 2014
Got your long undies out of the closet yet? :' )
Member Since: February 3, 2011 Posts: 92 Comments: 15347
34. juslivn
3:30 AM GMT on July 16, 2014
Hi Oz, I could not believe how many parks and recreation places I hadn't been to within 2 hours! I suppose my area is 'blessed' lol...not sure, but we found so much we'd never seen before and grew up around here 50 years! Kind of saddened by that. But, I suppose we've been raising kids and working. Which is why we wandered only 2 hours radious. Soooo happy to find our style and pace only thus far away. We're not making any rash decisions, but South Bay YC seems to be our favorite :) along Lake Michigan not far.

Drizzle drizzle foil, 59 degrees, and shizzle, shivvvverrrrr :) drizzle... Night all ships.
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
33. ozgalah
11:33 PM GMT on July 15, 2014
Sounds like you had a productive time looking for new places! Last time we visited Dau cos we were sick we just stayed close to her place and found lots of parks and recreation areas we could walk all day it was great!
Member Since: November 25, 2008 Posts: 3 Comments: 999
32. juslivn
7:59 PM GMT on July 15, 2014
Walk throughs at 8 am were brrrrrrr! Closings went well today ;)

Weather feels like a cool Lake Michigan day. I happen to love this cooldown. However, enough bunk with this polar vortex nonsense huh? Sheesh. We used to have great cool nights, and mornings and mild days back when we never needed the A/C more than a couple times a year back in the day ;)

Okay...gotta run. 2 families with new homes today. I'm thrilled for them :) Ta ta for now.
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
31. juslivn
6:17 AM GMT on July 13, 2014
Well, on another note: We had just the best time today! We went for an adventure and were only less than an hour away! Wow, it was all free...if anyone says this country is so bad...they just really need to get out...probably less than an hour away, there are county parks, forest preserves, town festivals...just sooo much out there within minutes.

We took today and wanted to go to see if there were marinas with camp grounds within 2 hours. As much as we love Door County, it is four hours away. So, we went wandering along the Lakefront closer to home in search. We found an awesome lighthouse we had never been to, only 40 minutes into our trip. (I'll post pics to go on WU in the morning. A completely awesome fog bank rolled in while we were at the lighthouse near Racine.) Racine was nice and they've done a lot with their waterfront and harbourwalk :) But, we continued up the Lakefront farther north through Racine County and into Milwaukee County. Just followed county park, after county park...FREE launches, FREE beaches, beautifully kept docks, some yacht clubs...etc...

The best thing we found in our wanderings just could not be duplicated, ever. As we strolled through a County Park in Cudahay, with an awesome beach, golf course, and pier, a man came strolling up the sand bank, between the tall sea-grass.
He had a cigar in his mouth, and a huge, beautiful kite. At first I thought he had grandchildren close in tow which he may be going to entertain-- but no. He continued walking up the slight rise in the beach, alone. He carried an intricate, large, oak, wooden spool of kite string. He rolled out a bit of string, took a few steps to run to get the brilliant kite to launch, and it began. All with a cigar in his mouth. ;) It was as if I were in a carnival, a one man show in a brilliant random lakeside summer foggy day backdrop... Just Wunderful! Enjoy life and get out there! It's probably happening for free somewhere close just near you ;)

a href="Click to play this Smilebox slideshowCreate your own slideshow - Powered by SmileboxAnother slideshow by Smilebox" target="_blank">
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
30. juslivn
4:21 AM GMT on July 13, 2014
Wab, you have a long night ahead :/ not sure if we'll pop back into the mix, but seems to be dying down here now. Really didn't get that bad right here in Northern McHenry Co. (I was traveling today visiting marinas along lake michigan in southern wisconsin today, so not sure how the rains were here) hope they weren't too bad by you.

just now, next to the lake shore by winthrop harbor/kenosha, this radar above popped rotation where I was running around the lake today ;)
does not surprise me.

Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
29. juslivn
4:05 AM GMT on July 13, 2014
Hi wab...
We are still just missing here at the house but so much rain has flooded out other suburbs south mostly. We're coping with it up north pretty well (so far). It's just a matter of time. Other suburbs south got hit hardest.

Radar now...let's hold our breath on this. I'll check yours momentarily. Stay safe.

Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
28. whitewabit (Mod)
3:52 AM GMT on July 13, 2014
Storms just getting down to me .. still some tall tops over 40K feet ..

Stay Safe up there ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 361 Comments: 31212
27. juslivn
3:45 AM GMT on July 13, 2014


Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1041 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2014

ILZ005-006-011>014-020-022-130430-
COOK IL-DE KALB IL-DUPAGE IL-KANE IL-KENDALL IL-LAKE IL-MCHENRY IL-
WILL IL-
1041 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2014

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 1035 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BULL VALLEY TO
ELBURN TO LITTLE ROCK TO SANDWICH...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...
BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

AREAS AFFECTED...

CENTRAL AND NORTHERN COOK COUNTY...
NORTHERN KENDALL COUNTY...
KANE COUNTY...
EASTERN MCHENRY COUNTY...
NORTHERN WILL COUNTY...
DUPAGE COUNTY...
LAKE COUNTY ILLINOIS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. HEAVY
RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO STANDING WATER ON ROADWAYS AND POOR
VISIBILITY. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS
HAVE PASSED.
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
26. juslivn
2:58 AM GMT on July 13, 2014
We may thread the needle here. But it's all around. Tornado watch and severe t storm warning for counties southwest. Things ramping
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
25. Barefootontherocks
6:09 PM GMT on July 12, 2014
Looks like you may be in the crosshairs today. Take care.

You might want to check this out when you have time -
Now on Kickstarter: a Production of 'Hamlet' Starring Pugs

Have a good Saturday.
:)
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 151 Comments: 18360
24. juslivn
1:46 AM GMT on July 12, 2014
With the super moon looming, thought this reminded me of our friends here on the WU in many ways. ;) night all ships....

a href="" target="_blank">Link
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
23. juslivn
1:17 AM GMT on July 12, 2014
Half price pizza and 2 dollah summer shanty! Can't beat dinner for 17.00 in the heartland :)
Ahhh, the weather --it was good while it lasted! It began to get quite humid and rained (spit) on and off all day today. Now, it seems we are humid and overcast and I can't see much trouble looming, but suppose out West there is...Yewts in OKC are having their second reception party in Piedmont...hope they are having a blast!

For tomorrow --We go back into a stormy pattern and I won't mention the ridiculousness over the bottoms out temps next week --- uh--- who knew??? Crazy! Also, I wanted to come and post immediately after the 6.6 earthquake off Japan...but wasn't able. I Sent Prayers up, right away.

Here's the day 2 (tomorrow) I had heard morning storms may be severe but looks like evening pops additional storms, too.



SPC AC 111726

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1226 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2014

VALID 121200Z - 131200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM ERN NEB TO SRN WI AND A
PORTION OF THE SRN GREAT LAKES...

...SUMMARY...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP FROM PORTIONS
OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN AND A PORTION OF THE
SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES ON SATURDAY. MORE SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES TO THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS.

...SYNOPSIS...
STRONG UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS TODAY WILL
SHIFT WWD INTO THE SWRN STATES AND GREAT BASIN ON SATURDAY. THIS
WILL OCCUR AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH...CURRENTLY APPROACHING NRN
ALBERTA/SASKATCHEWAN FROM THE NORTHWEST TERRITORIES...DIGS SEWD
THROUGH THE WRN TO SRN PERIPHERIES OF A CLOSED LOW CENTERED OVER NRN
MANITOBA. ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE WEAK HEIGHT FALLS WITH THE
CANADIAN SYSTEM DURING THE FIRST-HALF OF DAY 2...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
/CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER UT/...IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EWD FROM SD
ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON AIDING IN TSTM
DEVELOPMENT.

...ERN NEB/IA/FAR NRN MO TO SRN WI AND SRN GREAT LAKES REGION...
A WEAK FRONTAL ZONE STRETCHING FROM SRN NEB THROUGH IA TO SRN WI IS
EXPECTED TO BE MODULATED SOME BY ONGOING TSTMS AT THE START OF DAY 2
WITH THE SRN PERIPHERY OF THIS ACTIVITY BEING A DIFFERENTIAL HEATING
BOUNDARY INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT
STRETCHING FROM NRN WI THROUGH CENTRAL MN TO SRN SD AT 12Z SATURDAY
IS EXPECTED TO ADVANCE S/SEWD AND MERGE/OVERTAKE THE WEAKER FRONTAL
ZONE. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD EXTEND FROM SWRN ONTARIO THROUGH NRN
IND/IL/MO TO SRN KS AND THE TX PANHANDLE BY 12Z SUNDAY. THESE
BOUNDARIES WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR TSTM DEVELOPMENT ON DAY 2.

VERY RICH MOISTURE WILL RESIDE INVOF THESE BOUNDARIES WITH PW VALUES
OF 1.75-2 INCHES. SURFACE HEATING...EXPECTED TO BE STRONGEST SOUTH
OF THE WEAK FRONT/DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARY...COMBINED WITH THE
MOIST AIR MASS WILL RESULT IN MODERATE-STRONG INSTABILITY /2500-3500
J PER KG/. FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO THE UT SHORTWAVE TROUGH
AND WAA WITHIN THE NOSE OF A CENTRAL PLAINS LLJ EXTENDING INTO THE
SLIGHT RISK AREA WILL SUPPORT TSTM DEVELOPMENT INTO SATURDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 35-55 KT...GIVEN
STRENGTHENING WLY MIDLEVEL WINDS ATTENDANT TO THE UT TROUGH AND
AMPLIFYING CANADIAN TROUGH...WILL SUPPORT BOTH BOWING LINE SEGMENTS
AND SUPERCELLS. ALL SEVERE HAZARDS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH DAMAGING
WINDS BECOMING A GREATER THREAT SATURDAY NIGHT WITH ANY UPSCALE
GROWTH INTO AN MCS. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY PERSIST EAST INTO
LOWER MI AND PARTS OF NORTHWEST OH LATE INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...GIVEN
THE INCREASE IN FORCING AND ASCENT AS THE CANADIAN UPPER TROUGH
UNDERGOES STRONGER AMPLIFICATION.

...NERN ND/FAR NWRN MN...
TSTMS SHOULD DEVELOP AND/OR MOVE SSEWD ALONG A COLD FRONT ATTENDANT
TO THE CANADIAN SHORTWAVE TROUGH AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES INTO NERN
ND/NWRN MN SATURDAY EVENING. ALTHOUGH DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE
SUFFICIENT FOR STORM ORGANIZATION...WEAKER INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT
THE COVERAGE OF THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

...NORTHERN ROCKIES TO CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND SPREAD EAST
INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE WEAK BOUNDARY
FROM KS TO NEB. VERTICAL SHEAR AND FORCING WILL BE SOMEWHAT WEAKER
OVER THESE AREAS. HOWEVER...STEEP LAPSE RATES AND MODERATE
INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL THROUGH EARLY SAT EVENING.

..PETERS.. 07/11/2014
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
22. juslivn
1:09 AM GMT on July 11, 2014
Severe Saturday? Guess we get into the mix according to the SPC...details tomorrow as we get a tad closer.

Lake Michigan in the news today as the water temps went frigid due to North winds and Upwelling. I heard the Salmon are crazy!

Here's a great link and NWS report:
Link

Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
21. juslivn
5:01 AM GMT on July 10, 2014
Oz I hope your holiday was fabulous! Btw, we will be visiting Toronto. I'd like to know if there are any 'must see' places which should be on da list? I have to find stuff from my heritage which is Sir Wilfred Laurier, I'm a grand niece or something...but related. My family on my Grandfather's side was French Canadian and our family came down to Hurley, WI (yeah, we founded Hurley...lol) in like 1586. (uhm lemme check those facts in the 'mornin. ;) But, gawsh that fits...

Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
20. juslivn
4:45 AM GMT on July 10, 2014
Oh, it's the 3rd wettest meteorological summer in 143 years make that...

I suppose I should change the header which is mistaken...but then again I'll just do it tomorrow. It's not quite that far off.

Lurking and laughing...love the blogs tonight. Night all ships!


Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
19. Ylee
1:39 AM GMT on July 10, 2014
In your case, I think boring is good for a change...... :' )
Member Since: February 3, 2011 Posts: 92 Comments: 15347
18. ozgalah
12:16 AM GMT on July 10, 2014
Hi Jus belated 4th July wishes looks like you had a good time! Garden looks productive and the flowers are very pretty! We are picking citrus, oranges, tangelos (H's favourite), mandarins and lemons, now have to find things to do with them all! Dogs are all home after our trip and things are getting back into routine, hope the weather is being kind!
Member Since: November 25, 2008 Posts: 3 Comments: 999
17. juslivn
11:08 PM GMT on July 09, 2014
Hi Sandi and Ylee, it was a very nice day today. I didn't get to enjoy it much, but it sure helps photographing houses with big blue skies and fluffy clouds :)

Suppose I should change my headline eh?

Not much else going on...garden is growing, yewts are working. Mom goes back to FL tomorrow. yada yada...I'll try to be back to post something more exciting soon :)

Thanks for stopping by.
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
16. sandiquiz
2:08 PM GMT on July 09, 2014
Just dropping by to say hello and wish you a good Wednesday and Thursday...like your header image says... "worthy of an award"!
Member Since: October 29, 2005 Posts: 288 Comments: 25977
15. Ylee
5:06 AM GMT on July 09, 2014
Your weather graphic claims "Splendid Days Wednesday and Thursday". I hope they are nice, even if you are up to your elbows in work! LOL!

Take care!
Member Since: February 3, 2011 Posts: 92 Comments: 15347
14. juslivn
4:43 AM GMT on July 07, 2014
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1140 PM CDT SUN JUL 6 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EASTERN BOONE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
MCHENRY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 1215 AM CDT


* AT 1136 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM HARVARD TO 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPRON TO POPLAR
GROVE...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MARENGO...WOODSTOCK...WONDER LAKE...MCHENRY...PISTAKEE HIGHLANDS...
ISLAND LAKE...ALGONQUIN...HEBRON...RICHMOND...BULL VALLEY...
MCCULLOM LAKE...SPRING GROVE...HUNTLEY...SUNNYSIDE...LAKEWOOD...
PRAIRIE GROVE...LAKEMOOR...HOLIDAY HILLS...LAKE IN THE HILLS AND
OAKWOOD HILLS.


OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED...
BOONE COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS...MCHENRY COUNTY COLLEGE...MCHENRY COUNTY
FAIRGROUNDS...MORRAIN HILLS STATE PARK...
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
13. juslivn
4:27 AM GMT on July 07, 2014


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1290
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1111 PM CDT SUN JUL 06 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...SE WI...NE IL...SW LOWER MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 070411Z - 070515Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...STRONG TO SEVERE STORM THREAT WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING
INTO SE WI/NE IL AND SW LOWER MI. TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR
FURTHER STORM INTENSIFICATION/ORGANIZATION.

DISCUSSION...AN ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND THREAT WILL PERSIST WITH
STORMS CURRENTLY INCREASING FROM SE WI/NE IL TOWARD SW LOWER MI.
EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES HAVE INCREASED THIS EVENING TO AROUND 30-35
KT AS HEIGHTS CONTINUE TO FALL IN CONJUNCTION WITH APPROACHING UPPER
SHORTWAVE TROUGH. WHILE SOME WEAK INHIBITION EXISTS DUE TO DIURNAL
COOLING...MLCAPE VALUES GREATER THAN 1500 J/KG AND ADEQUATE MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES IN CONJUNCTION WITH STRONGER DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL
SUPPORT CONTINUED THREAT FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. WSR-88D VWP/S
FROM CHICAGO...GRAND RAPIDS AND MILWAUKEE INDICATE 0-1 KM SRH VALUES
GREATER THAN 250 M2/S2 WHICH ALSO INDICATE A POTENTIAL FOR A STRONG
DOWNBURST OR AN ISOLATED TORNADO WITH STRONGER BETTER ORGANIZED
CELLS. TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR FURTHER
INTENSIFICATION/ORGANIZATION.

..LEITMAN/HART.. 07/07/2014
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
12. juslivn
4:17 AM GMT on July 07, 2014
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
11. Ylee
3:36 AM GMT on July 07, 2014
Looks like they are cranking up a bit, but haven't reached severe levels. Yet.

Member Since: February 3, 2011 Posts: 92 Comments: 15347
10. juslivn
3:22 AM GMT on July 07, 2014
Uh the chaser vids and pics of the tornadoes in IA are extreme! They are no slackers! Probably some of the best structure I've ever seen so close by...why isn't there a watch again? or a high risk? I'm sooo confused. Is the 'B' team on staff tonight? or are unpopulated areas treated rather differently?

I go now...my blood pressure is rising...I hope there are no casualties in IA. I don't have the scanner page on, but probably should.
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
9. Barefootontherocks
3:03 AM GMT on July 07, 2014
On radar, they look pretty scattered right now, but those storms in IA up to NW IL and Wisc look like they could flare up into a conga line, given a proper atmosphere.
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 151 Comments: 18360
8. Barefootontherocks
2:57 AM GMT on July 07, 2014
Hahaha, Lasagne in the fridge? How can you not eat it? Yumm. 'Nite!
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 151 Comments: 18360
7. juslivn
2:52 AM GMT on July 07, 2014
Okay...We've had a few tornado warnings pop out of Iowa already...they say in the discussion there may be a tornado or two...
Why the heck isn't there a watch on this? that? I mean IA? Hmmmm? kind of curious cause seems to me people oughtta be a watchin???
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
6. juslivn
2:49 AM GMT on July 07, 2014
BF - And, I have a big day tomorrow with a lot to do for a realtor tour. Lasagna from the restaurant :) Looks fantastic and I'll be up all night thinking of what's in my fridge, lol!

Light show already off in the distance now...I should go play spotter at the top of the hill. I'm sure it is amazing. But, then again, I've got a busy day tomorrow, as I said. Night BF...

Ylee, ha ha it's Chicago, I'm not exactly watching baseball, lol. (and I'll probably get some feedback on that, but I seriously don't know how sox or cubs are doing? Suppose I'm outed at 1st base, lol...I'll be sure to tune in this week ;) As for the Mets? hahaha its dose other guys...dey seem to be having a rough go with this one tonight...let's hope it just falls apart all the way.
Although--feeling bad for Iowa now...they're sure popping the bulk of the storms still. I'm sure anyone here can find the warnings. I won't post warnings unless it heads our way tonight...just too much



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1288
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0907 PM CDT SUN JUL 06 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SRN INTO ERN IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 070207Z - 070300Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...SEVERE THREAT MAY PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE HOURS THIS
EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND A TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
STRONGEST STORMS. AREA CONTINUES TO BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WATCH.

DISCUSSION...A FEW STRONGER CELLS WERE NOTED ON RADAR IN
MADISION...JASPER...BENTON AND BUCHANAN COUNTIES IN IA JUST AHEAD OF
THE SFC COLD FRONT. THESE STORMS WERE ALONG THE AXIS OF GREATEST
INSTABILITY IN AN UNCAPPED AIRMASS ACROSS CNTRL IA. THE 00Z DVN RAOB
SUGGESTS THAT CAPPING INCREASES WITH EASTERN EXTENT HOWEVER...SO
LONGEVITY REMAINS UNCERTAIN. THESE STRONGER STORMS ARE LIKELY
TAPPING INTO EXTREME INSTABILITY IN A NARROW CORRIDOR THAT RECEIVED
STRONGER DAYTIME HEATING. ADDITIONALLY...THE DVN 88-D VWP SHOWS
AROUND 150-250 M2/S2 SRH...WHICH HELPS EXPLAIN THE MOSTLY
SHORT-LIVED LAND SPOUT TORNADOES ACROSS CENTRAL IA THIS
EVENING...AND THE LONGER-LIVED AND DEEPER TORNADO-PRODUCING
MESOCYCLONE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TAMA/BENTON COUNTY SUPERCELL. WHILE
CURRENT PARAMETER SPACE WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES...SEVERE
POTENTIAL SHOULD WANE WITH EWD EXTENT AS DEEP LAYER SHEAR WEAKENS
AND CAPPING INCREASES. TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR ANY
INCREASE IN ACTIVITY...BUT A GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY REMAINS AS TO
BOTH EVOLUTION AND LONGEVITY OF THE ONGOING THREAT.

..LEITMAN/HART.. 07/07/2014
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
5. Barefootontherocks
2:24 AM GMT on July 07, 2014
Guck. Another overnight thing. At least it did not disturb the weekend.
:)
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 151 Comments: 18360
4. Ylee
1:52 AM GMT on July 07, 2014
Quoting juslivn:
Pretty impressive Goes
Tornado Warnings starting to come out in the Iowa formation. Michigan formation is impressive as well with one severe warning so far. Mets here are saying late--after 10 for us? Not sure. Will certainly be watching.
Getting rather dark here.

 photo goesvis07072014_zps205c4858.gif">


I was thinking the Mets weren't playing in Chicago this weekend, but you were instead talking about weather "mets", lol! Got baseball on the brain, I guess! :' )
Member Since: February 3, 2011 Posts: 92 Comments: 15347
3. juslivn
12:59 AM GMT on July 07, 2014
Pretty impressive Goes
Tornado Warnings starting to come out in the Iowa formation. Michigan formation is impressive as well with one severe warning so far. Mets here are saying late--after 10 for us? Not sure. Will certainly be watching.
Getting rather dark here.

 photo goesvis07072014_zps205c4858.gif">
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
2. juslivn
9:48 PM GMT on July 06, 2014

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1285
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0444 PM CDT SUN JUL 06 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...SE MN...WRN/CNTRL WI...CNTRL/NRN IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 062144Z - 062245Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING JUST AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
FROM W-CENTRAL WI INTO SE MN. ARE IS BEING MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE
WATCH ISSUANCE...AS LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS COULD ACCOMPANY
STORMS INTO THE EVENING HOURS. BUT...UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS WITH
REGARDS TO COVERAGE AND LONGEVITY OF SEVERE POTENTIAL.

DISCUSSION...CONVECTION WAS BEGINNING TO INITIATE JUST AHEAD OF THE
SFC COLD FRONT ACROSS W-CNTRL WI INTO SE MN PER LATEST VIS IMAGERY
AND LIGHTNING DATA. ADDITIONAL CELLS APPEARS TO BE TRYING TO DEVELOP
FURTHER SOUTH IN HOTTER...MORE UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS N-CNTRL/NW IA
AS WELL. 21Z MESOANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE IMMEDIATE DOWNSTREAM
AIRMASS IS UNCAPPED...EXCEPT ACROSS SRN WI AND FAR NE IA WHERE CLOUD
COVER HAS BEEN AN ISSUE ALL DAY AND WHERE ELEVATED CONVECTION ALONG
A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH IS CURRENTLY ONGOING. DESPITE THIS LIMITING
FACTOR FURTHER DOWNSTREAM...AT LEAST A NARROW CORRIDOR OF HIGHER
SEVERE POTENTIAL EXISTS ACROSS SE MN INTO PARTS OF NRN/CNTRL AND ERN
IA ALONG THE GREATER INSTABILITY AXIS. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR AROUND
30-40 KT AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT ROTATING UPDRAFTS
CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL. WHILE STORMS MAY INITIALLY REMAIN DISCRETE
ALONG THE FRONT...AS STORM MERGERS OCCUR AND OUTFLOWS INTERACT...AN
EVENTUAL EVOLUTION TOWARD CLUSTERS OR BOWING SEGMENTS IS
POSSIBLE...WITH AN ATTENDANT INCREASE IN DAMAGING WIND THREAT.


THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOUD COVER OVER SRN WI POSES UNCERTAINTY IN HOW
FAR E SEVERE THREAT MAY EXTEND ACROSS WI. TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WATCH ISSUANCE.

..LEITMAN/HART.. 07/06/2014
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051
1. juslivn
8:19 PM GMT on July 06, 2014
Quoting 369. Barefootontherocks:

LPL. Good timing. Was just gonna link the 1130 convective outlook.

Have a safe day.


Hi BF, thanks for the link, yes...we're still going in and out of cloud cover. It feels like we could get something? But, it going to be iffy.
I'll be in and out so if it pops, I'll probably watch here at WU. Have a good one!

...SRN MN...WI...IA...NRN IL...
VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS LOW CLOUDS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO ERODE FROM NERN
IA INTO WI WHICH HAS LIMITED HEATING AND MAINTAINED A CAPPED AIR
MASS. HOWEVER...HEATING IN THE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT FROM NWRN
IA INTO SERN MN AND NWRN WI IS GRADUALLY ERODING CIN. IN
ADDITION...SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY REMAIN OVER THE
REGION. WHILE THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE COVERAGE IS
UNCERTAIN...AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL AND WIND STILL APPEAR
LIKELY FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING...CENTERED ON IA...NRN IL
AND SRN WI.

THE 20Z UPDATE INCLUDES A SLIGHT WWD SHIFT TO THE SIG HAIL AREA
TOWARD THE IA PORTION OF THE COLD FRONT WHERE STRONGER HEATING
EXISTS.
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 85 Comments: 10051

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Located by the Fox River and Chain of Lakes in Northern Il. We boat, fish, love the outdoors, pets, and enjoy life.