Juslivn

Oh the debate:
Sort of did that today. I saw some parking lots and roads where they shouldn't have been. I'm ok with it. They did make it very pretty, and preserved some of the nicest stuff. Good job you people who work our public works and decide on behalf of us...Thank you for making so much pretty. Our National Parks.

Where I grew up.

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Eh, I sort of had this happen. But my streets looked the same cause they were like in a 32,000 development of really nice houses.
So, Levitt developed some of the suburbs late after the row houses and the 50's.
We had mass retail, and mass housing. And, some of us made it cool.

So, anyway. We have some good looking burbs in Chicago where we have all grown up...if you have been here.

I was sad for a few things in 30 years roaming in and out. I think the concrete elevated bridges over Gilmer and 176 sometimes freak me out -- Where am I, lol

Ok, night all ships be safe at land or in port or moored :) Trains are going to bed. And, now for the weather:




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Dear OZ: Wait. Isn't it summer there? Why are you getting snow?

hmmm? Well I think I should look at your latitude. I'm shocked because you are supposed to be summer? Isn't that late for snow? Maybe just an interesting year.

#135 is a thank you to everyone I have known in this happy life :) Which will keep me writing :)

Wait! So, our Fall is their Spring!

{hugs} Pax.

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Damaging wind event Sat. seems to be what are saying...



DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0228 AM CDT THU OCT 11 2012

VALID 131200Z - 141200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SAT INTO SAT NIGHT ACROSS PARTS
OF THE MID/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES...SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE THAT SPLIT BELTS OF STRONGER WESTERLIES WILL BEGIN
TO CONSOLIDATE ACROSS NORTH AMERICA DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD...AS
THE REMNANT SOUTHERN STREAM CLOSED LOW CONTINUES ITS EAST
NORTHEASTWARD ACCELERATION OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. VARIABILITY IS
INCREASING AMONG THE MODEL DATA CONCERNING THE EVOLUTION OF THIS
FEATURE...FROM WHICH A COUPLE OF MORE DISTINCT SMALLER SCALE
IMPULSES COULD EMERGE AS IT PROGRESSES EAST OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE
PLAINS/MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION. NAM/SREF APPEAR TO MAINTAIN THE
INITIAL CIRCULATION FORECAST TO REACH THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS BY 12Z
SATURDAY AS THE PRIMARY UPPER IMPULSE...AND ACCELERATE IT EASTWARD
INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES BY 12Z SUNDAY...MUCH AS GENERALLY HAS
BEEN INDICATED BY MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE THE PAST FEW DAYS.
HOWEVER...THE GFS SUGGESTS THAT A DISTINCT SECONDARY
IMPULSE...TRAILING TO THE SOUTHWEST...MAY BECOME THE MORE PROMINENT
IMPULSE SATURDAY...AS IT LIFTS EAST OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES...ACROSS
THE SOUTH CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
ECMWF ALSO NOW IS MORE SUGGESTIVE THAT STRONGER MID-LEVEL FORCING
MAY DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE INITIAL IMPULSE...BUT NORTH OF THAT OF THE
GFS.

REGARDLESS...ALL GUIDANCE INDICATES THE CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF A
SUB-1000 MB SURFACE LOW...GENERALLY EAST OF THE MIDDLE MISSOURI
VALLEY TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES REGION. WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR OF
THIS FEATURE...AND SOUTHWARD AHEAD OF THE TRAILING COLD FRONT/DRY
LINE ADVANCING EASTWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...A BROAD
SOUTHERLY 850 MB JET IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN FROM 50-70
KT...BENEATH A 70 KT SOUTHWESTERLY 500 MB JET. THIS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO THE NORTHWARD ADVECTION OF SEASONABLY HIGH MOISTURE
CONTENT AIR /PRECIPITABLE WATER UP AROUND 1.5 INCHES/...WITH 60F
SURFACE DEW POINTS AS FAR NORTH AS PORTIONS OF THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY.

DESTABILIZATION SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT WIDESPREAD
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...INCLUDING PERHAPS CONSIDERABLE POTENTIAL
FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.

...UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...
GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE WARM SECTOR DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW
FIELDS/SHEAR AND FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION...SEVERE
POTENTIAL ON SATURDAY MAY ULTIMATELY BE HIGHER THAN CURRENTLY
INDICATED BY THE SLIGHT RISK CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK. CONDITIONS MOST
SUPPORTIVE OF THIS POTENTIAL STILL APPEAR MOST PROBABLE TO EVOLVE
FROM PARTS OF EASTERN NEBRASKA AND KANSAS THROUGH CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN MISSOURI...IOWA AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
MINNESOTA...SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN AND NORTHWESTERN ILLINOIS.
HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTY LINGERS CONCERNING THE DEGREE OF WARM SECTOR
BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION THAT MAY OCCUR...DUE TO THE
POSSIBILITY OF CONSIDERABLE EARLY PERIOD CONVECTION WHICH MAY SLOW
OR INHIBIT INSOLATION. COUPLED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED MODEL
VARIABILITY...TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS FOR HIGHER SEVERE
PROBABILITIES. BUT A SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE DAMAGING WIND EVENT
APPEARS A POSSIBILITY. IT MAY NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT
CONDITIONS COULD BECOME FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS.

..KERR.. 10/11/2012