Tallahassee Forecast Discussion 3-16-2013
Currently there is a surface ridge that is dominating the area and it will bring pleasant weather for today with mostly clear skies. Today's highs will be around 78F. Tonight with clear skies and cooling lows will dip into the lower 50s. With dewpoint temperatures around the 50s as well there will be some fog and dew in the early morning hours. Sunday's maximum temperatures will be slightly cooler than Saturday which will be around 72. There will be some heavier cloud cover that will prohibit the temperatures from being any higher. Sunday night will bring some cooler temperatures as well along with the temperature and dewpoint being near saturation. Lows will be near 62F for Sunday night with the possibility of rain.
The long term period begins with a system forming in the Gulf of Mexico and coming to the Tallahassee area on Sunday evening. Currently the NAM and GFS are mostly in agreement but the GFS is slightly aggressive having the system in our area at 0Z while the NAM has the system offshore in the gulf during this time and arriving slightly after the GFS model. As of this moment I will stick with the GFS having the system from the gulf to arrive in our area at 0Z. On Monday the front that has delivered precipitation to the Ohio valley region will finally push down to our area bringing more rain. Again the GFS has this frontal system arriving at an earlier time than the NAM with the frontal system clearing the area around Tuesday night. For the rest of the period there will be a brief break with precipitation and during that time maximum temperatures will average around the same(upper 60s-low 70s). Friday another frontal system will come to the area to bring more precipitation.