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Aside from the increase in convection along with the development of a high level anti-cyclone above the lower level circulation today, there has been little additional development of 96L.
Based on the latest RECON data, along with radar and satellite imagery, the broad area of Low pressure is currently located over Mona Pass near 19N/68W and will be approaching the northeastern tip of the Dominican Republic soon as the system continues on an essentially westward track at near 20Kts. ...
I can’t help but think of the carnivores finding the easy pickings of the herds collected around the drying water holes at what would become the Agate Fossil Beds. Then, from that, we don’t have to be beardogs. We humans are unique because of our ability to remember, to reason, to develop and to accumulate knowledge; we have the ability to make decisions that influence the future of our environment.
Yet another phenomenally intense rainfall event has occurred in the U.S. this morning (August 22nd) when 3.95” of rain in one hour was measured by a COOP observer at a site 3 miles southwest of Chicago’s Midway Airport. The return period for such at Midway Airport (according to NOAA’s ‘Precipitation Frequency Data Server’) is once in 500 years. This is similar to the Baltimore, Detroit, and Islip, New York events last week (although the Islip event was probably more in the range of once in a 1000 years). Brian Brettschneider of Borealis Scientific LLC has kindly offered this guest blog today featuring research he has done on heavy rainfall trends for 207 sites across the U.S. for a homogenous POR of 1949-2013.
Placing recent urban flooding in climate and broader context
Seasonable weather will continue and finish off the climatological summer.
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