HURRICANE JULIO

By: hurricanes2018 , 4:04 PM GMT on September 13, 2013

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Julio is a hurricane again. Mid-level relative humidity is near 30%!

HURRICANE JULIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102014
500 PM HST TUE AUG 12 2014

THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION OF JULIO HAS STEADILY IMPROVED THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON...AS DEEP CONVECTION HAS WRAPPED ALMOST COMPLETELY
AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. CURRENT INTENSITY VALUES BASED ON THE
12/2330 UTC IMAGERY FROM PHFO AND JTWC ARE 3.5...WHILE THE FINAL T
VALUES ROSE TO 3.5 AS WELL. CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF WHAT NOW
APPEARS TO BE A COMPLETE EYE WALL HAS OCCURRED SINCE THESE FIX
TIMES...AND THE CURRENT INTENSITY FOR THIS PACKAGE RAISES JULIO BACK
TO HURRICANE STRENGTH AT 65 KT.

JULIO WILL REMAIN AT OR NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH IN THE SHORT TERM
WITH WEAKENING EXPECTED BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. JULIO SITS IN A
WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WITH A DEEP TROUGH APPROACHING
FROM THE NORTHWEST. OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED ALONG THE WESTERN
SEMICIRCLE OF JULIO AND HAS REMAINED STEADY TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS
SUGGESTS A RELAXING OF THE SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THAT
HAD BEEN AFFECTING THE SYSTEM AND HAS ALLOWED JULIO TO RESTRENGTHEN
INTO A HURRICANE. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW
TONIGHT...AND SST VALUES ARE NEAR 27C ACROSS THE AREA. AS A
RESULT...SOME ADDITIONAL SHORT-LIVED STRENGTHENING IS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL PASS OVER OR JUST NORTH OF
JULIO IN THE 24 TO 36 HOUR TIME FRAME...PRODUCING VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR THAT IS EXPECTED TO STEADILY WEAKEN JULIO. ADDITIONAL
WEAKENING TO A REMNANT LOW IS EXPECTED BY DAY 4...AND THE INTENSITY
FORECAST CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE SHIPS AND LGEM.

JULIO CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE NORTHWEST...325/6 KT...INTO THE
WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE DYNAMIC GUIDANCE IS TIGHTLY
CLUSTERED IN THE SHORT TERM...SHOWING A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHEAST BY 36 HOURS DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF THE DEEP LAYERED
TROUGH PASSING OVER OR JUST NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. BEYOND 36
HOURS...THE DYNAMIC GUIDANCE SPREAD INCREASES GREATLY DUE TO MODEL
DIFFERENCES IN HANDLING THE INTERACTION OF JULIO WITH THE TROUGH...
MAKING THE TRACK FORECAST HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. THE FORECAST TRACK LIES
ROUGHLY IN THE MIDDLE OF THE DYNAMIC GUIDANCE ENVELOPE AND CLOSELY
FOLLOWS TVCN THROUGH DAY 3. A TURN TO THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST IS
LIKELY ON DAY 4 AS THE FORECAST REMNANT LOW OF JULIO IS STEERED BY A
LOW LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 13/0300Z 29.4N 158.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 13/1200Z 30.1N 158.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 14/0000Z 30.9N 158.7W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 14/1200Z 31.5N 158.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 15/0000Z 32.2N 157.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 16/0000Z 33.8N 156.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
96H 17/0000Z 35.5N 155.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED

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2004. hurricanes2018
3:23 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
2003. hurricanes2018
3:23 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
2002. hurricanes2018
3:23 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
2001. hurricanes2018
3:23 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
2000. hurricanes2018
3:22 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1999. hurricanes2018
3:22 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1998. hurricanes2018
3:22 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1997. hurricanes2018
3:22 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1996. hurricanes2018
3:22 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1995. hurricanes2018
3:22 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1994. hurricanes2018
3:22 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1993. hurricanes2018
3:22 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1992. hurricanes2018
3:22 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1991. hurricanes2018
3:22 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1990. hurricanes2018
3:21 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1989. hurricanes2018
3:21 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1988. hurricanes2018
3:21 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1987. hurricanes2018
3:21 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1986. hurricanes2018
3:21 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1985. hurricanes2018
3:21 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1984. hurricanes2018
3:20 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1983. hurricanes2018
3:20 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1982. hurricanes2018
3:20 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1981. hurricanes2018
3:20 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1980. hurricanes2018
3:20 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1979. hurricanes2018
3:20 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1978. hurricanes2018
3:20 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1977. hurricanes2018
3:19 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1976. hurricanes2018
3:19 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1975. hurricanes2018
3:19 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1974. hurricanes2018
3:19 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1973. hurricanes2018
3:19 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1972. hurricanes2018
3:19 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1971. hurricanes2018
3:19 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1970. hurricanes2018
3:19 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1969. hurricanes2018
3:19 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1968. hurricanes2018
3:18 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1967. hurricanes2018
3:18 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1966. hurricanes2018
3:18 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1965. hurricanes2018
3:18 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1964. hurricanes2018
3:18 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1963. hurricanes2018
3:18 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1962. hurricanes2018
3:18 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1961. hurricanes2018
3:18 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1960. hurricanes2018
3:18 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1959. hurricanes2018
3:17 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1958. hurricanes2018
3:17 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1957. hurricanes2018
3:17 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1956. hurricanes2018
3:17 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1955. hurricanes2018
3:17 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832
1954. hurricanes2018
3:17 PM GMT on August 13, 2014
Julio is a hurricane
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 102 Comments: 100832

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my name is Jason I love reporting severe weather and hurricanes!! I love taking pictures of the weather to.. I live in new haven,conn I love the snow