hurricaneben's WunderBlog: Covering Atlantic & EPAC Basins Since '09

Tropical Update 2013: TS Alvin Struggling;EF-4 Kills 6 In Texas, More To Come

Posted by: hurricaneben, 12:05 AM GMT on May 17, 2013

TS Alvin
After a decent burst in intensification, higher shear is taking its toll on Alvin and TS Alvin has slightly weakened since this morning--now only hanging around with winds around 45 MPH (it reached a peak of 50 MPH overnight). There remains no threat to land as Alvin should soon make a straight westward track and should dissipate well before it reaches any land masses.

Severe Weather In TX;6 Killed
Severe weather in Texas spawned a destructive tornado in the town of Granbury TX killing 6, alongside at least 9 other tornadoes that caused lesser damage and 7 additional injuries. More is on the way and occurring right now as of Thursday evening in Louisiana--damaging winds and large hail are hazards though the severe weather risk shouldn't be as substantial as last night. The weekend and early next week may face more hail/wind hazards for the Midwest.

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Tropical Update 2013: TS Alvin Forms In EPAC But No Major Threat

Posted by: hurricaneben, 12:05 AM GMT on May 16, 2013

Tropical Storm Alvin has formed in the Eastern Pacific basin, with winds around 40 MPH. Due to relatively high SSTs and lower shear ahead of Alvin, rather swift intensification may bring it up to hurricane status as early as Friday AM and there is a decent chance of it nearing CAT II status towards the weekend. Fortunately there is no immediate direct threat to land--high surf and rip currents may be somewhat of a threat for swimmers along the Pacific Mexican coastl...

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Tropical Update 2013: First EPAC Invest Develops, But No Threat To Land

Posted by: hurricaneben, 11:17 PM GMT on May 13, 2013

The first Invest of the year in the Eastern Pacific is slowly increasing in convection (90E). Conditions are relatively favorable for development with wind shear a tad bit rough but a bit low for this time of the year (10-30 knots). Additional development could occur but should remain rather slow and it does seem rather possible that we could see a TD/TS out of this in the next few days. NHC hasn't tagged it yet because we're less than 2 days from the official start...

Updated: 11:17 PM GMT on May 13, 2013

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Model Activity Hints At Potential STS Near SE US Few Days Out

Posted by: hurricaneben, 4:06 PM GMT on April 27, 2013

Certain models, such as the GFS and formerly the Euro, have on-and-off indicated the potential of a subtropical system to develop close to the SE US Coastline anytime from mid-week to next weekend and bring increased rainfall/winds from Florida to North Carolina. While the models haven't been entirely persistent, it is something worth keeping an eye on model trends in the future. Conditions are currently relatively adverse for development (in the 30-50 knot wind she...

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Retiring From Severe Weather: Will Return Hurricane Season

Posted by: hurricaneben, 12:05 PM GMT on April 16, 2013

I'm just making this blog post to announce that I'm retiring from severe weather blog posts due to an extremely busy schedule with school and such--I'll return with a blog post during the first day of hurricane season when summer break is much closer. Thanks.

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