Increasing Chances Of El Nino To Develop This Summer: But Don't Think You Are Safe

By: hurricaneben, 11:19 PM GMT on March 07, 2014

This will be my first blog post of the year 2014, to inform of recent findings that an El Nino pattern may be set to develop in the coming months, particularly the summer and fall months. After seeing an intense blossom in hurricane activity from 2010 to 2012, then a quiet(er) season in terms of both activity and impact to follow, the tranquility may just be here to stay for at least another season. The NOAA has put up an El Nino Watch and of the 18 El Nino models, ...

Tropical Update 2013: Karen Barely A TS, Bearing Down On Louisiana

By: hurricaneben, 4:20 PM GMT on October 05, 2013

TS Karen
What initially caught much of the US Gulf Coast on the edge amid fears that it may strengthen into a hurricane before landfall and produce potentially widespread damage, Tropical Storm Karen is barely hanging on as it slowly makes its way toward a landfall in SE Louisiana later today--winds still at around 40 MPH and any re-strengthening should be very slight, as it is running out of time to do so. Localized flooding remains a possibility but even the...

Updated: 4:20 PM GMT on October 05, 2013

Tropical Update 2013: TS Karen Weaker, But Still A Flood Threat

By: hurricaneben, 9:41 PM GMT on October 04, 2013

The Northern Gulf Coast is wary and preparing for the range of impacts Tropical Storm Karen might bring from New Orleans to the Florida Panhandle, but it's not expected to be as intense as initially forecast.

TS Karen
Winds are down to around 50 MPH (a change from yesterday's 65 MPH) as Tropical Storm Karen approaches the US Gulf Coast. Tropical storm warnings are in effect from Morgan City LA to the mouth of Pearl River but much of SE Louisiana east...

Tropical Update 2013: TS Karen A Threat To The US Gulf Coast

By: hurricaneben, 9:06 PM GMT on October 03, 2013

TS Karen
Earlier today, Tropical Storm Karen has formed just NE of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico and now has winds up to around 65 MPH. It is a potentially significant concern for a decent portion of the Gulf Coast from SE Louisiana to the western half of the Florida Panhandle. Gradual additional strengthening should occur in the next couple of days and it is likely to at least briefly attain hurricane status sometime tomorrow or early on Saturday. Dry air c...

Tropical Update 2013: Invest 97L Still Hasn't Organized Much, TS Jerry Not A Threat

By: hurricaneben, 12:33 AM GMT on October 01, 2013

The system (97L) we've been tracking in the SW Caribbean remains rather disorganized but gradual development remains likely and we are tracking weak Tropical Storm Jerry which does not appear to be a threat to land.

Invest 97L
Relatively unfavorable conditions are interfering with 97L's development in the SW Caribbean as it remains very disorganized. It is expected to follow a NW track possibly towards the Yucatan and Gulf Of Mexico where wind shear ...

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