Tropical Update 2010: Hurricanes Shary & Tomas Rule A Bumpy End To The Season

By: hurricaneben , 3:11 PM GMT on October 30, 2010

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Well things are getting increasingly more bumpy for Late October as both Shary & Tomas are now official hurricanes. Hurricane Shary is a 75 MPH category 1 racing NE toward extra-tropicalness. The TS Warning has been discontinued for Bermuda and this rather rushing system is not expected to threaten any other land masses. On the other hand, we have Hurricane Tomas which is also a 75 MPH category 1 just recently upgraded. It is currently pacing through parts of the Windward Islands such as St. Lucia where a hurricane warning is in effect. It is supposed to track WNW, strengthen into possibly a major hurricane and threaten Jamaica in a few days where folks there are getting REAL concerned and I don't see why they shouldn't be--a late season surprise MAJOR hurricane potentially on their backyard, something nobody would expect after Late September/Early October and we're already approaching November so this is definitely a very busy end to the season and just as people are beginning to relax, sick of the extremely active season this was, we have a possible major hurricane placing many Caribbean Islands at risk, which takes me to the other islands possibly affected by this potential monster. Besides Jamaica, some models suggest that in the long-term Cuba and Central America may be affected by this system. The good news is that a weak ridge over the Caribbean is supposed to keep this relatively away from the US. But a decent scenario is that it crosses Cuba as a major hurricane, threatens The Bahamas and may kick up the surf and wind along the Florida East Coast although a huge threat to the area is very unlikely at this point but regardless Cuba...Mexico...The Bahamas...and perhaps even Florida may want to keep a close eye on the system. After Shary and Tomas are out of the way, there are not much other likely areas of interest so there is an OK chance that Tomas may be the last of the entire season however I do think it's possible we may see an extra (Sub) Tropical Storm Virginie a bit down the road just in time for the season to completely shut down. I know it's a little early, but I would love to hear some people come up with their own predictions for the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season. If you got some ideas about it, please go ahead and comment.

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1. originalLT
5:59 PM GMT on October 30, 2010
Thanks for your up-date Ben. Too early for me to think about 2011, but it sure will be interesting to see how the next week developes for Tomas, alot of questions on it's future movement after the next 3 days. I think most agree it will be at least a cat.2 or cat.3 in it's life cycle.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 8011

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About hurricaneben

Will devote this hurricane season to provide up-to-the-minute, basic information when a tropical system is threatening land. Both basins included.