Tropical Update 2010: STD-17 Forms In Western Atlantic, No Threat To Land Yet

By: hurricaneben , 5:21 PM GMT on October 06, 2010

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Well we now have STD-17 over the SE Bahamas. It has been designated earlier this morning and is supposed to keep on heading NW for a little bit longer generally toward CONUS but shortly take a sharp curve to the East and likely not even affect Bermuda as it paces toward extatropical characteristics. Now it's supposed to intensify somewhat over the next few days into TS strength and possibly even a strong one before losing tropical characteristics, peaking at 50-70 MPH but it depends on several important factors. Some models do hint at this becoming a category 1 hurricane and I won't be too extremely surprised if that happens, I just think it's a bit of a stretch but rather a decent scenario. Of course for now, let's just keep a watchful eye once in a while in case anything significant changes. Meanwhile, several models do hint at a Western Caribbean area of interest developing sometime early to mid next week but it shouldn't be a real concern to the CONUS either because of the high wind shear in the GOM which is the only place a Western Caribbean disturbance can go if it wants to hit the CONUS, even if it goes to Florida it is likely to run into some pretty nasty troubles so you have no need to worry at the moment and for now let's shift our focus to STD-17 just to see what happens in its rather interesting future.

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About hurricaneben

Will devote this hurricane season to provide up-to-the-minute, basic information when a tropical system is threatening land. Both basins included.