Tropical Update 2013: Invest 98L Could Develop, No Imminent Concern

By: hurricaneben , 6:43 PM GMT on July 22, 2013

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After well over a week of absolute quiet in the tropics, there finally maybe an area of interest somewhat worth watching as it emerges off Africa and shows signs of organization. Invest 98L has organized since it exited off the coast of Africa yesterday and fairly favorable conditions (mostly a lack of dry air) could help it additionally develop in the next 2 days or so before running into very dry air which should tear it apart or at least cause it to rapidly weaken by the middle to end of the week. At this rate, it is quite possible we may see a TD/TS form out of this as early as tonight or tomorrow but should be short lived if anything and not have enough time to strengthen much more than a weak to moderate TS. Odds are pointing toward an eventual recurve but where exactly remains unclear. We'll have a lot of time to monitor (re)development and I don't see anything strong forming out of this in the next 4-5 days at least. NHC gives it a 30% chance of TC formation by Wednesday afternoon. I'll have another update tomorrow afternoon (or sooner, if warranted).

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6. hurricaneben
8:09 PM GMT on July 23, 2013
Quoting 1. nigel20:
Thanks Ben!


Your welcome, thanks for dropping by.
Member Since: May 15, 2009 Posts: 419 Comments: 679
5. hurricaneben
8:09 PM GMT on July 23, 2013
Quoting 2. nydesertdweller:
Wasnt that Quiet last week Ben (lol) , 2-3 inches here, 9+ in San Juan ( Thursday 7- 18)

Power went out 3 times.

Doug in Salinas, PR


I know, I was talking about tropical cyclone development when I mentioned the word 'quiet'. I do know weather was quite rough for you folks down there. So I'm worried that if much moisture from 98L makes it your way, flooding will be a concern.
Member Since: May 15, 2009 Posts: 419 Comments: 679
4. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
8:08 PM GMT on July 23, 2013
hurricaneben has created a new entry.
3. nydesertdweller
7:45 PM GMT on July 22, 2013
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/sju/?n=rainfallrecord_0718


Doug in PR
Member Since: September 26, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 132
2. nydesertdweller
7:42 PM GMT on July 22, 2013
Wasnt that Quiet last week Ben (lol) , 2-3 inches here, 9+ in San Juan ( Thursday 7- 18)

Power went out 3 times.

Doug in Salinas, PR
Member Since: September 26, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 132
1. nigel20
7:26 PM GMT on July 22, 2013
Thanks Ben!
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 8144

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About hurricaneben

Will devote this hurricane season to provide up-to-the-minute, basic information when a tropical system is threatening land. Both basins included.