Will devote this hurricane season to provide up-to-the-minute, basic information when a tropical system is threatening land. Both basins included.
By: hurricaneben , 6:43 PM GMT on July 22, 2013
After well over a week of absolute quiet in the tropics, there finally maybe an area of interest somewhat worth watching as it emerges off Africa and shows signs of organization. Invest 98L has organized since it exited off the coast of Africa yesterday and fairly favorable conditions (mostly a lack of dry air) could help it additionally develop in the next 2 days or so before running into very dry air which should tear it apart or at least cause it to rapidly weaken by the middle to end of the week. At this rate, it is quite possible we may see a TD/TS form out of this as early as tonight or tomorrow but should be short lived if anything and not have enough time to strengthen much more than a weak to moderate TS. Odds are pointing toward an eventual recurve but where exactly remains unclear. We'll have a lot of time to monitor (re)development and I don't see anything strong forming out of this in the next 4-5 days at least. NHC gives it a 30% chance of TC formation by Wednesday afternoon. I'll have another update tomorrow afternoon (or sooner, if warranted).
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