Will devote this hurricane season to provide up-to-the-minute, basic information when a tropical system is threatening land. Both basins included.
By: hurricaneben , 10:24 PM GMT on June 16, 2013
An area of disturbed weather identified as Invest 93L has shown signs of organization in the past 24 hours. It is not far off from TD status but because it is about to move into Central America in the next 12 hours, development into such is rather unlikely in the short term. However it is quite likely that by Tuesday or so, the system will re-emerge into the Southern Bay Of Campeche before a final impact in Mainland Mexico and there, there is the higher possibility of a TD/TS forming and could be quite likely at that. The NHC is going with a 30% chance of TC formation by Tuesday afternoon--which would be higher if a little further from land. Still flash flooding is a possibility regardless due to very heavy rainfall. There is no current threat to the Lower 48.
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