Tropical Update 2013: 92E Nearly A TD, Flood Risk High For Mexico

By: hurricaneben , 9:38 PM GMT on May 27, 2013

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Invest 92E is continuing to steadily organize as it slowly makes its way towards the Pacific Coast of Mexico. Satellite imagery shows it is very close to TD status and could become one as early as tonight or tomorrow with odds highly favoring one before landfall which should occur around mid week at this rate. With very low wind shear and a strong MJO influence, there is the remote possibility that this could become a hurricane before landfall if it stalls out and comes ashore late in the week but odds do not favor anything much more than a moderate TS at peak. Still very heavy rainfall over the next few days should amount to an increased risk of dangerous flooding so the risk is up there regardless. NHC gives it a very high 80% chance of TC formation by Wednesday afternoon. That'll be all and I'll update by this time tomorrow.

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11:36 PM GMT on May 28, 2013
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About hurricaneben

Will devote this hurricane season to provide up-to-the-minute, basic information when a tropical system is threatening land. Both basins included.