Tropical Update 2012: 97L Not Likely To Develop, Olivia A Strong Tropical Storm

By: hurricaneben , 12:38 AM GMT on October 08, 2012

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The odds of Invest 97L developing into a TD/TS is looking a bit less likely now since it has just hours ago--even then, the odds were relatively on the low side. It is fairly disorganized and it has a very short window to develop into something named or numbered which it probably won't. Most models generally do take it near The Bahamas then either out to sea or towards Bermuda...if there is anything left with the system by then. NHC gives this a 10% chance of TC formation by Tuesday evening.

TS Olivia
Tropical Storm Olivia is a relatively strong tropical storm with winds up to 60 MPH. Some additional strengthening is forecast overnight before starting the weakening process by tomorrow night due to more unfavorable conditions. A hurricane churning out from this one by peak tomorrow is not very likely but certainly not out of the question, however it poses no threat to land.

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10:14 PM GMT on October 09, 2012
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About hurricaneben

Will devote this hurricane season to provide up-to-the-minute, basic information when a tropical system is threatening land. Both basins included.