Will devote this hurricane season to provide up-to-the-minute, basic information when a tropical system is threatening land. Both basins included.
By: hurricaneben , 12:04 AM GMT on September 16, 2012
The Atlantic basin is still relatively busy with Hurricane Nadine a potential threat to the Azores Islands and a weak tropical disturbance (92L) capable of developing down the road. What, where and who should take action from these 2 systems will be covered this blog post.
Nadine has strengthened into a category one hurricane overnight and now has winds at around 80 MPH. Movement is to the east at 17 MPH and a northeastern turn should occur by Monday as Nadine heads for cooler waters but still remains on a path that could bring some impacts to the Azores Islands. Fortunately, it's not a major threat to anyone at this time but the Azores Islands could be affected by some increased rain and wind as the latest forecast tracks makes Nadine brush by the Azores Islands as a tropical storm by mid-next week. Of course there's a lot of time to determine exactly what impacts the Azores may see but it's wise to keep an eye on Nadine for all interests in the Azores Islands. No other land masses seem to be threatened by Nadine in the foreseeable future.
This disturbance's rather weak, disorganized and not a major immediate threat to land right now--it is getting close to the Windward Islands and folks there may see some increased locally heavy rainfall as early as tomorrow but not a huge deal, really, maybe some minor flooding in low-lying areas...it should remain weak as it enters the Caribbean but later down the road--perhaps into this upcoming week--conditions could become very favorable for development and that's when more of a population should be paying attention to this area of potential development. TD/TS formation in the short-term doesn't seem likely, but I do think we might see one form beyond the 2-day time frame and possibly something stronger. All Caribbean islands have a chance to be affected--where exactly it goes and how strong it gets, does it affect the Lower 48, we should get a better picture of the outcomes later on--for now, just a weak area of potential to casually monitor for any major development. The NHC gives this a 20% chance of TC formation by Monday evening.
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