Tropical Update 2012: Threat To Bermuda Slightly Decreases;Michael Peaks As CAT III

By: hurricaneben , 11:41 PM GMT on September 06, 2012

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The threat has decreased a bit since this time yesterday with Hurricane Leslie as the tracks have shifted well to the east of the island--and the impacts are greater when hurricanes pass to the west than east due to the right front quadrant. Leslie has held on to CAT I status--no strengthening or weakening in the past 24 hours--but it may start to strengthen and peak as a category two as it passes to the east of Bermuda on Saturday/Sunday. Other than dangerous rip currents and surf, the impacts on the US should remain minimal to none though Atlantic Canada (particularly Newfoundland) may wanna monitor the latest on Leslie for a potential impact/brush as a weak hurricane sometime next week. A tropical storm watch is in effect for Bermuda, so there will still be quite some significant impacts on Bermuda just not as severe as once thought--probably.

Hurricane Michael
Hurricane Michael has reached its peak earlier today--a category three with winds of 115 MPH. It is now starting to weaken and does not pose a threat to land so there should be no worries about Michael.

Invest 90L
Invest 90L has a 30% chance of TC formation by Saturday evening, slightly lower than earlier yesterday. Development into a TD/TS is still possible just a bit less likely. Regardless much of North (and possibly Central) Florida may be looking at a stormy weekend/start to next week with occasionally heavier rainfall mixed in with potentially increased winds but nothing major. It could always become a named system later down the road once in the Atlantic Ocean.

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About hurricaneben

Will devote this hurricane season to provide up-to-the-minute, basic information when a tropical system is threatening land. Both basins included.