Gordon has left us as it has quickly lost tropical characteristics but there are still 3 AOIs we must monitor as they all may be a threat to land one way or another: but 94L remains the biggest short-term threat of a TC threat.
Invest 94L
This one has been catching everyone's attention for the past few days. Still not a TD as convective activity is a bit too limited for TD/TS classification, but any increase would result in this becoming a tropical cyclone and that seems likely even tonight. One way or another, Northern Lesser Antilles & Hispaniola need to be watching 94L very closely but the Lower 48 may wanna monitor this system as well (particularly Florida, which has been the target of several recent model trends). Still the path beyond the Caribbean Islands are highly uncertain, so let's all keep a watchful eye on 94L...shall we? The NHC gives this a very high 90% chance of TC formation by Wednesday evening.
Invest 96L
Next up is Invest 96L, which still has a lower chance of short-term formation than 94L but must be watched as it does have the potential. Models are very widespread, some taking it into the Caribbean, out to sea or in between. But it could threaten land before all is said and done so 96L should be watched a bit just to keep up with trends and any future threats to land. A TD/TS forming from this one is certainly a strong possibility sometime this week. The NHC gives this a 40% chance of TC formation by Wednesday evening.
Invest 95L
Invest 95L does not have as much time to develop before it moves inland over NE Mexico in a day or two but conditions still are favorable for gradual development in the short run so we will be watching this one as well. Regardless, increasing winds and locally heavy rainfall could be likely impacts for NE Mexico. The NHC gives this a 30% chance of TC formation by Wednesday evening...or Tuesday, in this case.
I'll have another blog post/update on the developing tropical situation tomorrow afternoon or evening--if possible.
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