More BOOM For Tropics: 94L Nearly A TD, Hurricane Gordon & More

By: hurricaneben , 11:50 PM GMT on August 19, 2012

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There's more ingredients added to the brewing tropical stew.

Hurricane Gordon
Hurricane Gordon has winds at 85 MPH and is nearing the Azores Islands. Greatest impacts should be tomorrow morning when a lot of high winds and heavy rainfall is forecast so stay alert if you're in the Azores Islands as the weather is steadily detotiriating in these islands. Weakening is expected to continue and Gordon could become extratropical in the next couple of days.

Invest 94L
Invest 94L is probably the biggest threat after Gordon leaves the Azores Islands. It is very close to TD status and I definitely think one will form by at least tomorrow. The NHC gives this a very high 80% chance of this occurring by Tuesday evening. Models do make this a concern for the N Lesser Antilles where everyone should be on high alert for a likely tropical storm or even hurricane in their area this week. The long-term is very uncertain but it looks like the Caribbean islands (Haiti, Jamaica, Cuba) have a good chance of seeing impacts. Lower 48? Not very clear yet, but the way things are looking, we may very well see a threat for someone along the US Mainland Coastline--that's too far out to tell so let's all just watch and see how things pan out down the road.

Invest 95L
Invest 95L is meandering and has some decent chance of nearing TD/TS status before finally moving inland over NE Mexico. The NHC gives this a 20% chance of happening by Tuesday evening.

African AOI
Not an Invest yet, but we are starting to eye one tropical wave that just emerged off of Africa and has the opportunity for slow development.

To wrap things up: the tropics are starting to look highly busy so follow along because if you're not threatened now, you may be in the near future.

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1. originalLT
12:36 AM GMT on August 20, 2012
Thanks Ben. I guess the longer it takes 94L to strengthen, the further West it would go before any sort of recurvature, is that what you think too?
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7713

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About hurricaneben

Will devote this hurricane season to provide up-to-the-minute, basic information when a tropical system is threatening land. Both basins included.