Tropical Update 2012: Ernesto No More;TD-7 Struggles

By: hurricaneben , 12:27 AM GMT on August 11, 2012

As Ernesto moves out for the picture (and possibly re-develops over the Eastern Pacific), our attention shifts to Tropical Depression Seven.

Tropical Depression Seven has been struggling since formation yesterday but could have the opportunity to strengthen by a little bit in the next day or so as it approaches impact in the Windward Islands tomorrow. We will probably see this become TS Gordon by tomorrow before being teared apart by dry air. This does not appear to be a threat to the Lower 48, as it is forecast to remain fairly weak and could dissipate just in the next couple of days due to drier air. A tropical storm watch is in effect for the Windward Islands.

Invest 93L AOI
Cooler SSTs is taking its toll on Invest 93L which now has a much lower chance of development in the short term. No immediate threat to land, but Bermuda may be affected a bit later down the road (next week) according to some of these models. Much warmer SSTs could stand in this area of interest's way by the time the week is kicked off. That's when more re-development is possible. The NHC only gives this a 20% chance of TC formation by Sunday evening.

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Will devote this hurricane season to provide up-to-the-minute, basic information when a tropical system is threatening land. Both basins included.