Tropical Storm Ernesto has got its act quite together over the past 12 hours and has strengthened, now with winds at 65 MPH. Yeah, the RECON is now confirming that more organization is occurring and rapid intensification could be the deal with Ernesto before it makes landfall in the Yucatan tomorrow night or early on Wednesday as a higher-end category one. Hurricane warnings are up for the area so everyone there needs to prepare now for hurricane conditions at the very least and next...is Mainland Mexico (near/south of Veracruz) as a somewhat weaker but still strong tropical storm/minimal hurricane.
However, Ernesto is not the only game in town. Even though Florence has degenerated into a post-tropical cyclone is no longer an area of concern, we have 2 systems: one in the Eastern Pacific and is very close to TD status (70% chance of TC formation) and the other is far out in the Atlantic near the Cape Verde Islands. This one is tagged as Invest 92L and is not expected to undergo significant development but could slowly develop under marginal conditions and has a 20% chance of TC formation by Wednesday evening. Just an area of interest, models do take this generally towards the Lesser Antilles like Ernesto did. Right now it's not a major area of concern. Ernesto is the main story in the tropics.
