Tropical Update 2011: TS Don Gradually Intensifies In GOM, TS Warnings Up For Texas

By: hurricaneben , 2:49 PM GMT on July 28, 2011

After struggling in intensification overnight, Tropical Storm Don has finally began to slowly strengthen. Now packing winds of around 45 MPH, Tropical Storm Don is tugging along towards the Texas Coast and tropical storm watches and warnings are now in place for much of the Texas Coastline as the small system tries to organize. Very warm SSTs and low shear should help it strengthen a bit more quicker before landfall tomorrow night in the Corpus Christi area. The NHC keeps it a moderate to strong tropical storm during landfall but being the nature of small tropical cyclones, I see this get a bit stronger--perhaps a very weak hurricane before landfall. I'd give this a 30-40% chance of becoming a hurricane, the NHC gives it about a 15-20% chance. Everyone from Brownsville to Galveston should closely watch this system for any changes in forecast intensity and track. The bad news is that although it should dump some beneficial rainfall, the circulation is tiny so only a small area should get the much-needed heavy rains.

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hurricaneben's WunderBlog: Covering Atlantic & EPAC Basins Since '09

About hurricaneben

Will devote this hurricane season to provide up-to-the-minute, basic information when a tropical system is threatening land. Both basins included.