Steve and Jeff's 'Sub-Blog' for Tropical Weather Discussion

Last Updated: 11:30 AM GMT on August 26, 2005 — Last Comment: 6:31 PM GMT on August 26, 2005

	Katrina poised to strengthen.

Posted by: evolution, 11:30 AM GMT on August 26, 2005

Throughout the night Katrina continued on that stubborn southwest track crossing the everglades and eventually turning nearly due west within the past several hours. She is now over the warm Gulf waters and is showing attempts to pick up steam. Crossing the everglades with so much warm water available, probably is the culprit for her lack of weakening. She did only have to cross about 80 miles or so of land.

Again, this puts most in our area out of the woods. The ridge to the north of us is still strong, but showing signs of weakness both to the east and west. Current forecasts have the ridge weakening further to the west later today. This will cause Katrina to continue on the west track she's on until the weakness allows a more northerly turn. IF and I say IF, the weakness deepens to the northeast part of Florida, and Katrina stays close enough to the coast, there is just a tiny, slight chance that she could feel that weakness and make the turn a bit earlier than expected. That is the only scenario that would put our area at any sort of risk today....although a very unlikely scenario.

Current conditions in the area are overcast, cool, and breezy with some occasional strong gusts from the east-northeast.....again...that ominous feeling in the air that somewhere closeby....something very bad is happening. Will update as neccesary, but Katrina is looking like she has the potential to be a very dangerous storm for anyone that has the misfortune of being in her path.

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