I provide a weather email service for people in MD. I am a storm chaser & Skywarn spotter. For daily weather tidbits follow me on Twitter: @wxmanMD.
By: cws6196 , 4:48 AM GMT on November 07, 2013
There's been increased chatter about snow in Maryland next week. The other day I saw it mentioned by a select few forecasters, now today many forecasters and media outlets are jumping on it. Here's what's happening: long-range model data is indicating snow late in the week next week. Since cold air should be in place, some people are jumping on the fact that it will be snow and are agreeing with the models. November is a difficult month for us to have snow. It is possible, but difficult. Recall last March when the models showed snow and we had a rain event; same scenario in that March is a difficult month for us to have snow. So, based on the time of the year and the ground temps, I am skeptical of us experiencing a snow event next week. Plus, the model data is indicating a foot or more of snow north of Baltimore City. Really? In December or January, maybe.
So, for the moment, here is my take on this:
1. I don't find long-range forecasts to be helpful and typically do not make them
2. Given the cold air in place, especially at night, the timing of the precip will make all the difference. If the precip occurs during the overnight hours I could agree that we may see some flakes but with no accumulation.
I will keep an eye on how this develops, but please don't follow the hype. Follow me on Twitter (@wxmanmd) for daily weather tidbits and updates.
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