New England is still digging out, and three years ago today we were in the midst of our second blizzard in only a couple days. Unfortunately, since 2010 many people in Maryland are judging subsequent Winters from the 2010 perspective. That year was not at all normal for us. For perspective, thus far this year we have received snow earlier than we had for the past 10 years (Christmas Eve) and have received more snow than we have in the previous couple Winters, with S MD picking up more than expected. Yes, we are below our Winter norm of around 20 inches, but Winter isn't over yet.
As I have been mentioning for a number of days now, it appears we will have another shot of snow this coming week. Of course it is too far out for details, and things can change, but what I like about this chance is that the storm is a coastal and not a clipper, and the models have had this potential for a number of days now. Coastal storms bring us the heavier snow storms since the Low moves along the coast drawing in the Atlantic moisture and drawing down the cold arctic air. What just hit New England was a strong coastal Low.
TIMING: Thus far the general time frame is Wed afternoon into Thursday morning, and then "another" potential on Saturday.
ACCUMULATION: Way too early to say, although a general consensus would have a spread of a couple inches in S MD to 6 or more inches in Central and Eastern MD.
COMPLICATIONS: What can get in the way of this potential storm? The biggest issue is the exact path of the Low. Too far out to sea and too far inland would hamper our snow chances. Currently different models are showing differing scenarios, but what is comforting is that the models at least are all showing the Low. We have many days for the data to be refined.
I will keep you posted. In the meantime, follow me daily on Twitter (@wxmanmd) for weather updates and info.