UPDATE Thursday evening

By: cws6196 , 9:23 PM GMT on January 17, 2013

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Those in Baltimore and north of the city can ignore this as the snow chance is all but gone. That was always the idea, but the hope for a dusting or so lingered.

Those in S MD, all I can say is patience. The snow is coming and we should see about 3 or more inches. In my detailed post last night I talked about my concerns, and the fact that the warmer air staying longer causing more rain to fall was one of them. But what is really happening is a timing issue. Please please understand that Moter Nature does not live by our clocks. One of the dynamics needed to bring us the snow was the forming of a low in the Carolina's. The energy from that low was to help bring in the colder air and moisture. Unfortunately that low is only now forming, hours late by our calculations. This is one of the reasons the rain has persisted in S MD. Now it will get interesting as the energy from the primary low (in GA) is transferred to this new low, especially now that the sun is setting.

Bottom line, this was always a southern storm, and soon we will see the snow falling in S MD. I do believe 3-4 inches in St. Mary's Co is reasonable, with lower amounts as you move north.

Follow me on Twitter (@wxmanmd) for updates and weather tidbits.

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About cws6196

I provide a weather email service for people in MD. I am a storm chaser & Skywarn spotter. For daily weather tidbits follow me on Twitter: @wxmanMD.

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