UPDATE Monday nor'easter Maryland

By: cws6196 , 5:34 AM GMT on November 06, 2012

Well, looking at the models didn't help with a forecast. As is typical for this timeframe prior to the storm, as the data receives an influx of real-time data it tends to throw things off. So, to be precise I will need to wait until I can see the actual placement of the southern low to better determine what it will later do. As I have been saying, timing is everything. If the two systems do not meet in time to merge (phase), not much will happen. But if they do phase, it will be a stronger storm. The more out to sea the low goes, the better chance for us in Baltimore to see snow. The further inland it tracks the less likely for snow.

Here's how I see it at this moment. As Wednesday progresses the wind will pick up as will the rain. Depending on the track, we could see some snow flakes falling. Wednesday night into Thursday evening the winds and rain will increase with gusts into the 30s mph and rain accumulating a few inches. If there is snow it will be mainly wet snow melting on contact with the ground. In some areas we could see a trace to an inch of accumulation, but that will be locally, not widespread.

I should have another update later Tuesday. Follow me on Twitter (www.twitter.com/wxmanmd) for weather updates and information.

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About cws6196

I provide a weather email service for people in MD. I am a storm chaser & Skywarn spotter. For daily weather tidbits follow me on Twitter: @wxmanMD.

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