UPDATE Fri early evening

By: cws6196 , 10:09 PM GMT on October 26, 2012

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I hope everyone is preparing for the impact of Sandy. People should not be panicking, but preparing. The latest guidance still has Sandy impacting land around DE and moving to the NNW. Currently she is weakening (due to wind shear) but I do anticipate another round of strengthening. As I have been saying, a stronger Sandy means a more westerly track toward land, while a weaker Sandy would be a shift to the east and further out to sea. In that scenario the landfall would be further north of MD, while a stronger Sandy means a landfall in MD near Baltimore.

A word of caution: do not focus on the exact path of Sandy nor the exact track of the eye. She is still a large area storm with hurricane and tropical storm force winds hundreds of miles away from her center. Even if there is landfall in DE most of the state of MD will still have sustained winds in the 40s+ mph for a day or more. If landfall is in MD then the wind impact will be 60s+ mph. Keep in mind that as Sandy moves up the coast she will impact MD with her winds, and then she will curve to the west still impacting MD with her winds. We will be impacted by her winds on both of her passes through MD (once along the OC coast and then as she travels west through DE and PA). Consider that if tropical storm force winds extend 300 miles from the eye, how far are you, as the crow flies, from Ocean City and how far are you from the MD/PA line. That will help you determine the wind impact on your location.

Rain from Sandy, depending on your location, could accumulate to a foot or more. Localized flooding is probable. Storm surge will be limited in most of MD given Sandy's current track. The bulk of the storm surge will be north and east of the storm.

Depending on how much Sandy re-strengthens and her exact path, we could be feeling the rain and wind effects from Sunday evening through late Tuesday or even into Wednesday. This will not be a quick storm Please prepare for the duration.

I will have another update either late tonight or later Saturday morning, depending on developments. Follow me on Twitter (www.twitter.com/wxmanmd) for updates and information on the storm My Weather Phone is updated and will remain updated throughout the storm as warnings and watches are issued. Feel free to leave me a message or question on the Weather Phone, or let me know of current conditions and damage (443-470-9804).

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3:38 PM GMT on October 27, 2012
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About cws6196

I provide a weather email service for people in MD. I am a storm chaser & Skywarn spotter. For daily weather tidbits follow me on Twitter: @wxmanMD.

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