Hurricane in Maryland next week?

By: cws6196 , 9:51 PM GMT on October 21, 2012

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Ok, before you read on please remember that I am but the messenger here. There is the "potential" for a tropical system to effect Maryland later this weekend. Yes, you read that correctly. Keep in mind that the hurricane season does not end until Nov 30.

Currently, south of Cuba, there is a weather system which is termed an "invest", or area of interest for possible tropical development. The invest in question is 99L. Computer weather model data is all over the place right now, but there is indication, and some consensus, of the system strengthening to hurricane status and moving up the east coast. If this happens the timing would be later this coming weekend into early the following week. Models this far out are not reliable, but certain data and dynamics in place make this a possibility. At this time it appears it would just hug the coast, but if certain projected dynamics do occur it "could" come up the Bay.

Do not panic. This is a week away. Just because some dynamics are in place on the computer models does not necessarily mean it will come true. But, we do need to be aware of this potential storm system impacting MD. The local NWS has already begun mentioning it and they typically don't speculate this far out.

I will keep you posted as the model data is updated. I should have a better idea of what is happening by Wednesday or so.

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2:35 AM GMT on October 23, 2012
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About cws6196

I provide a weather email service for people in MD. I am a storm chaser & Skywarn spotter. For daily weather tidbits follow me on Twitter: @wxmanMD.

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