I provide a weather email service for people in MD. I am a storm chaser & Skywarn spotter. For daily weather tidbits follow me on Twitter: @wxmanMD.
By: cws6196, 1:36 PM GMT on July 27, 2013
Enjoying the cooler temps? The rest of the weekend into next week we will continue to experience below normal temps for this time of the year. But, we do have storms on the way thanks to a cold front moving in early Sunday.
TIMING: The strongest of the storms should be late afternoon to early evening on Saturday lastingthrough Sunday.
THREATS: The main threat of the storms is heavy rain with the possibility for flash flooding. The storms should not be severe, although gusty strong wind is possible.
I will have more updates as necessary. Follow me daily on Twitter (@wxmanmd) for weather tidbits and updates.
By: cws6196, 6:06 PM GMT on July 22, 2013
Each day this week will be similar to the other in regards to the weather. We are in a pattern bringing us normal (average) temps for this time of the year, along with a chance for scattered storms each afternoon. So, I won't be posting daily this week, unless something severe is coming, but know that each afternoon you should keep an eye on the sky. Enjoy!
Follow me daily on Twitter (@wxmanmd) for weather tidbits and updates.
By: cws6196, 4:10 PM GMT on July 21, 2013
Well, in step with this past winter, the models don't seem to be doing what they are supposed to be doing. The reality is not matching the data output. I won't bore you with why I say this, but if you want to know tell me and we can talk.
The cold front is still way to our north, not further south where it was projected to be. That, and strong westerly winds yesterday kept most of the storm activity away from the area. Central MD had some nice storms, but northern and southern MD didnt see much of anything. Today the front will move further south, but I don't think as far south as predicted, so I am scaling back my threat assessment for today. The atmosphere is not as unstable as it was yesterday, keeping the severity of any storms to a minimum. I do believe storms will fire though as the front nears and as the atmosphere heats during the day.
TIMING: Scattered storms could begin after 2:00pm this afternoon lasting into Monday.
THREATS: Lightning. Wind and hail should be kept to a minimum in any storms, but also be aware they could occur.
Follow me on Twitter (@wxmanmd) for weather tidbits and updates.
By: cws6196, 3:20 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
update Sat afternoon
If Mother Nature wasn't so powerful I might have some words with her; but I know my place ... Seriously, though, the cold front is not moving as quickly as we all thought, meaning the storms won't begin until a bit later. I had always been saying the storms wouldn't happen until the evening, but I'm now saying later in the evening. Again, S MD will see the bulk of the storms even later. Although, some storm cells in N VA have popped up, and a cell or two did briefly form in S MD. But, the main line of storms will be later.
Keep an eye on the sky. If you can hear the thunder, you can be hit by lightning.
With the cold front moving in from the Great Lakes later today, we have a great risk for storms later this evening into Sunday. The front should stall in PA, giving us rain and storms Sunday into Monday, then moving out Tuesday allowing another cold front to come in Wednesday from the west; more unstable weather. The bottom line ... cooler temps, but rain from now through next week.
TIMING: The rain could start in W MD and central MD late this afternoon, with storm activity early this evening in the same locales.Those in S MD will see rain and storms a few hours later than the rest of the state. Storm activity will last, off and on, through Sunday evening.
THREATS: The main threats are wind and hail, especially overnight and into Sunday afternoon. If this current cloud cover lingers long into the afternoon, the severity of the storms will be decreased.
I will have another update later today as needed. Follow me on Twitter (@wxmanmd) for storms updates and weather tidbits.
Updated: 10:31 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
By: cws6196, 2:04 PM GMT on July 19, 2013
Another hot one today! I will have a more detailed report later, but in summary, I wanted to say that today will be the last of the very hot days. Saturday will be hot, but somewhat cooler as rain and storms move in later in the afternoon. I strong cold front and air mass is moving down from Canada, and when that strong cold front smacks into our very hot and moist air, well, let's just say it could get interesting. I will have more later, but the storms could be strong with hail and damaging winds. Come Sunday and most of the early part of next week the temps will be cooler (relatively speaking) but there will be a good amount of rain each day.
Stay hydrated today and check on the young and elderly. Follow me daily on Twitter (@wxmanmd) for weather tidbits and updates.
By: cws6196, 12:00 AM GMT on July 11, 2013
Chantal has now dissipated; for the moment (was expected). As I've been mentioning, Chantal was never really a threat to us as a tropical system, but I'm still watching her as a rain threat for us.
Earlier I stated that as a tropical system weakens it shifts to the west. That happened. Now that she has dissipated, if there is a re-currence (likely) the path should shift far enough west to effect either FL or the Gulf. But, as I have been saying, I'm still watching the interaction with the Low in the SE. Depending on the timing that Low could still bring the rain up our way next week. I will have another update later tomorrow, or sooner if she pops up earlier in the day. Still something to watch.
By: cws6196, 1:34 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
This is why I was waiting until this morning for me to offer an update; now that Chantal is beginning to interact with land she is losing strength. That is to be expected. The uncertainty with tropical systems interacting with land is how weak will they get and how will it affect the path. The weaker a tropical system becomes the greater its tendency to shift to the west (due to its counterclockwise spin). The latest path for Chantal has her doing just that. The issue with a west track is that keeps her over land longer, further weakening her. I wanted to wait with an update to see how that westerly track could effect her impact on us.
The current projected path has Chantal making US landfall in GA Monday morning. I am still concerned that the Low in the SE US could pull the "remnants" of Chantal up the coast. If that happens (as I have been projecting for some time now), we would get dumped with a large amount of rain Tuesday into Wednesday next week. Unless Chantal strengthens and shifts to the north, I don't see her, as a tropical system, impacting us, just the remnants.
I will have another update either late tonight or tomorrow morning. Follow me on Twitter (@wxmanmd) for more frequent updates and weather tidbits.
By: cws6196, 4:29 AM GMT on July 09, 2013
Since my last update there have been some changes in the path, timing, and intensity of Chantal. These fluctuations will be happening for a few more days since Chantal is so far away from us. Come later this week I will have a better idea of her impact, if any, on the mid-Atlantic. There is still some question, not only of the path, but if Chantal can stay together after moving over land, especially Hispaniola and the mountains. Assuming she does stay together, then the question remains as to her path and impact on us.
Over the course of Monday Chantal's projected path was moved more to the NNE. If that path continues it will keep her over water longer, and put the center closer to the Carolinas. But there are still a lot of "if's" in the scenario, and I expect more changes in the path and timing as the week progresses.
Thus far, in the most recent update, if Chantal were to impact Maryland it would be early next week, not the weekend. Some of the models are now taking into account what I previously stated regarding the impact of the Low in the SE US and the High forming to the N in the Atlantic. Those factors, if Chantal stays together, could guide her along the Atlantic coast.
Again, I'm not saying Chantal will impact us, but is most definitely worth watching. Follow me on Twitter (@wxmanmd) for more frequent Chantal information and daily weather updates.
By: cws6196, 4:31 AM GMT on July 08, 2013
We now have a new tropical storm in the Atlantic, Chantal. As I have mentioned before, I do not report on every tropical system out there, only those with a potential to impact the mid-Atlantic. Chantal has that potential. Let me be clear before moving on: I am not saying Chantal will hit us. It is way too early for any certainty in the path. What I am saying, though, is that she is worth watching.
The current path has here near or over Cuba by the end of this week. It is possible that the interaction with land will cause Chantal to break apart and lose her tropical characteristics. It is also possible that she will stay together and continue on the path toward FL.
There is the possibility that by the weekend there could be a Low pressure system around AL coupled with a High pressure system in the Atlantic, north of us. That High would act as a blocking mechanism, keeping Chantal near us, while the Low could steer her toward us. If, that were to happen, at the least we would be dumped with multiple inches of rain. If this were Winter I would be forecasting the potential for a blizzard in this same setup.
Again, I am not saying we will be hit by Chantal, but the possibility exists. As the week progresses I will post updates, and after we know what happens in Cuba I will have a more definitive answer as to how she may or may not impact our area.
Follow me daily on Twitter (@wxmanmd) for weather tidbits and updates.
By: cws6196, 12:22 PM GMT on July 04, 2013
Happy Independence day! Today starts a change in the weather pattern for us! The Bermuda High off the coast is shifting west, and along with other atmospheric changes (if you want details let me know) will dry us out through the weekend. The trade off is hot temperatures combined with high humidity. So it will truly feel like summer in Maryland. But, since the humidity and temps are on the rise, and the cloud cover leaving, allowing the sun to heat the atmosphere, we are in for possible pop up thunderstorms each afternoon starting today through the early part of next week.
Enjoy your holiday and never forget those who have, and still do, sacrifice for us so we have this day to celebrate! Follow me daily on Twitter (@wxmanmd) for weather tidbits and updates.